AUDUSD Analysis Update
· Forex · QuoteReporter
AUDUSD Trendlines and Fibonacci Update
Published: November 21, 2025
Technical Analysis
1. **Market Overview:**
The AUDUSD pair is currently trading at 0.64576, with a bearish trend evident across short, medium and long-term timeframes. The pair has been below its major Moving Averages (MA21, MA50, and MA200), and the bias remains to the downside as bears continue to control the market dynamics.
2. **Trend Analysis:**
Short-term (vs. MA21), medium-term (vs. MA50), and long-term (vs. MA200) trends are all in a downtrend, indicating a strong bearish sentiment in the market. This is further confirmed by the current price trading below all the given moving averages.
3. **Key Support and Resistance Levels:**
– Short-term: The immediate support is at the 20-day level of 0.64210, with resistance at 0.65597.
– Medium-term: The 50-day levels provide a support at 0.64003 and resistance at 0.65669.
– Long-term: The 200-day support and resistance levels are at 0.64209 and 0.68039 respectively.
4. **Fibonacci Level Analysis:**
The Fibonacci retracement, calculated from the uptrend movement that started on 2025-04-09 at 0.59135 and ended on 2025-09-17 at 0.67064, places the pair around the 23.6% retracement level. This indicates a potential resistance at 0.65193. The next key support is the 38.2% level, which is at 0.64035.
5. **Overall Technical Outlook:**
Given the current technical landscape, the overall outlook remains bearish. The price trades below all the key moving averages and the Fibonacci retracement levels suggest more room for downside. However, a break above the immediate resistance at 0.65597 could alter the short-term bearish outlook. Traders should keep an eye on these key levels for potential trading opportunities.
This analysis is based on current data and market conditions, which can change over time. Therefore, traders should also consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when making trading decisions.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
UPTREND Movement (161 days)
Starting Point (100%): 0.59135 on April 09, 2025
Ending Point (0%): 0.67064 on September 17, 2025
| Level | Price | Distance | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 0.67064 | +0.02488 (+3.85%) | RESISTANCE ↑ |
| 23.6% | 0.65193 | +0.00617 (+0.96%) | RESISTANCE ↑ |
| 38.2% | 0.64035 | -0.00541 (-0.84%) | SUPPORT ↓ |
| 50.0% | 0.63099 | -0.01477 (-2.29%) | SUPPORT ↓ |
| 61.8% | 0.62164 | -0.02412 (-3.74%) | SUPPORT ↓ |
| 78.6% | 0.60832 | -0.03744 (-5.80%) | SUPPORT ↓ |
| 100.0% | 0.59135 | -0.05441 (-8.43%) | SUPPORT ↓ |
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