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EUR/USD Technical Update

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EUR/USD Technical Update

Published: November 25, 2025

Technical Analysis

1. MARKET OVERVIEW:

The EU/RUSD pair is currently trading at 1.15674, oscillating in a mixed trend across different time frames. The pair has shown a short-term and long-term uptrend, while the medium-term trend exhibits a downtrend. This indicates a potential consolidation phase or a tug of war between buyers and sellers in the market.

2. TREND ANALYSIS:

Short-Term: The pair is in an uptrend as it trades above the 21-day moving average (MA21) at 1.15605. The recent price action suggests that the bulls have control over the short-term market dynamics.

Medium-Term: The pair is in a downtrend in the medium-term as it is trading below the 50-day moving average (MA50) at 1.16311. The market has been bearish in the medium-term, indicating selling pressure.

Long-Term: The EUR/USD pair is in an uptrend in the long-term. It is trading above the 200-day moving average (MA200) at 1.14147, suggesting that the bulls dominate the long-term trend.

3. KEY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS:

Short-Term: The short-term support level is at the 20-day mark at 1.14944. The resistance is at the 20-day mark at 1.16479.

Medium-Term: The medium-term support level is at the 50-day mark at 1.14145. The resistance is at the 50-day mark at 1.16094.

Long-Term: The long-term support is at the 200-day mark at 1.10. Resistance at 1.187

4. FIBONACCI LEVEL ANALYSIS:

The current price of 1.15674 sits very close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent uptrend from 1.01768 to 1.19179, which acts as a support level at 1.15070. A break below this level could see the pair drop to the 38.2% level at 1.12528.

5. OVERALL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:

The overall technical outlook is NEUTRAL. The mixed trend in different time frames indicates a lack of clear market direction. The pair is trading near the 23.6% Fibonacci level and the short-term MA21, which could act as pivotal points for future price movements. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential breakouts or rebounds. If the price breaks above the short and medium-term resistance levels, it could trigger a bullish scenario. Conversely, a break below the short and medium-term support levels could signal a bearish market.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

UPTREND Movement (247 days)

Starting Point (100%): 1.01768 on January 13, 2025

Ending Point (0%): 1.19179 on September 17, 2025

Level Price Distance Status
0.0% 1.19179 +0.03505 (+3.03%) RESISTANCE ↑
23.6% 1.15070 -0.00604 (-0.52%) SUPPORT ↓
38.2% 1.12528 -0.03146 (-2.72%) SUPPORT ↓
50.0% 1.10473 -0.05201 (-4.50%) SUPPORT ↓
61.8% 1.08419 -0.07255 (-6.27%) SUPPORT ↓
78.6% 1.05494 -0.10180 (-8.80%) SUPPORT ↓
100.0% 1.01768 -0.13906 (-12.02%) SUPPORT ↓

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