Today’s forex market reflects a cautious sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic data releases. The DXY index is stable at 99.62, up 0.0141%, as traders await critical developments in U.S. fiscal policy.

The EUR/USD pair has eased from two-week highs, trading around 1.1670, as market participants focus on a pivotal U.S. congressional vote that could impact economic stability. Conversely, USD/JPY has gained 0.50%, reaching 154.85, buoyed by a dovish stance from the Bank of Japan and speculation surrounding potential fiscal easing in Japan.

In the commodity sector, gold remains near a three-week high, consolidating gains as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach before the U.S. government shutdown resolution. Meanwhile, the USD/CAD pair is consolidating losses near the 1.4000 level, reflecting a pause after a 0.7% decline over the past three days.

Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving U.S. military presence in Latin America and ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, continue to influence market sentiment. Additionally, India’s inflation data, which cooled to 0.25%, raises expectations for further rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India, potentially impacting the INR’s performance in the coming days.

Date	Time	Cur	Imp	Event	Actual	Forecast
2025-11-12	02:00		Medium	German CPI (YoY) (Oct)	2.3%	2.3%
2025-11-12	02:00		High	German CPI (MoM) (Oct)	0.3%	0.3%
2025-11-12	05:00		Medium	OPEC Monthly Report
2025-11-12	05:00		Medium	Eurogroup Meetings
2025-11-12	05:30		Medium	CPI (YoY) (Oct)	0.25%	0.48%
2025-11-12	05:45		Medium	ECB’s Schnabel Speaks
2025-11-12	06:40		Medium	ECB’s De Guindos Speaks
2025-11-12	07:05		Medium	BoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
2025-11-12	08:30		Medium	Building Permits (MoM) (Sep)		0.8%
2025-11-12	09:20		Medium	FOMC Member Williams Speaks
2025-11-12	10:20		Medium	Fed Waller Speaks
2025-11-12	12:00		Medium	EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
2025-11-12	12:15		Medium	FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
2025-11-12	13:00		High	10-Year Note Auction
2025-11-12	16:30		Medium	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock		1.700M
2025-11-12	16:45		Medium	Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)
2025-11-12	19:30		Medium	Employment Change (Oct)		20.0K
2025-11-12	19:30		Medium	Full Employment Change (Oct)
2025-11-12	19:30		Medium	Unemployment Rate (Oct)		4.4%

**Overview:**
Today features several key economic events that may significantly impact forex markets, particularly focusing on inflation data from Germany, CPI figures from India, and employment statistics from Australia. The most critical releases include the German CPI and Australia’s employment data, both of which could influence EUR and AUD pairs.

**Key Releases:**
1. **German CPI (YoY & MoM)**: Both the YoY and MoM figures for October came in at 2.3% and 0.3%, respectively, matching forecasts. This stability suggests no immediate inflationary pressures, which may keep the ECB’s monetary policy steady.

2. **Indian CPI (YoY)**: The CPI for October was reported at 0.25%, significantly below the forecast of 0.48%. This unexpected drop could signal weaker inflationary pressures in India, potentially impacting the INR negatively.

3. **Australian Employment Change**: The employment change is anticipated to be 20.0K, with the unemployment rate expected to hold at 4.4%. Any deviation from these figures could lead to volatility in AUD pairs.

**FX Impact:**
The EUR/USD and AUD/USD pairs are likely to see heightened activity. A stable German CPI may support the EUR, while weaker inflation in India could pressure the INR. Conversely, if Australia’s employment data deviates significantly from forecasts, the AUD could experience notable fluctuations against major currencies.

Name	Symbol	Price	Daily (%)	5D (%)	1W (%)	1M (%)	3M (%)	6M (%)	YTD (%)	12M (%)	MA50	MA100	MA200	RSI	MACD
EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar	EURUSD	1.1575	-0.1294	+0.2233	+0.7789	-0.2362	-1.1773	+3.4157	+11.23	+8.5388	1.1664	1.1667	1.1350	44.87	-0.0034
USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen	USDJPY	154.90	+0.5348	+1.2776	+0.8759	+1.8717	+5.2896	+6.3792	-1.3332	+0.9265	150.43	148.74	147.82	66.10	1.0862
GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar	GBPUSD	1.3108	-0.3421	-0.2507	+0.6628	-1.7110	-3.5133	-1.4947	+4.4537	+1.8098	1.3381	1.3438	1.3265	29.13	-0.0081
USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc	USDCHF	0.7992	-0.1499	-0.8314	-1.3735	-0.3889	-0.6860	-4.2415	-11.52	-9.2097	0.7983	0.8000	0.8273	54.35	0.0020
AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar	AUDUSD	0.6538	+0.1225	+0.8344	+0.8079	+0.6094	-0.2092	+2.0641	+5.1125	-0.6021	0.6563	0.6542	0.6452	58.04	-0.0009
USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar	USDCAD	1.4013	-0.0214	-0.7001	-0.6234	+0.1036	+1.8972	+0.4178	-2.3471	+0.6573	1.3940	1.3836	1.3940	53.55	0.0029
NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar	NZDUSD	0.5662	+0.1061	+0.4076	+0.3473	-1.1313	-5.3336	-3.6045	+0.3952	-5.1451	0.5795	0.5877	0.5856	37.10	-0.0040

**Overview:**
The Majors FX group exhibits mixed momentum, with a general bearish sentiment in the Euro and British Pound pairs, while the U.S. Dollar shows strength against the Japanese Yen. Overall, the market appears to be consolidating, with some pairs nearing critical support and resistance levels.

**Key Pairs:**
1. **USD/JPY**: Currently priced at 154.9020, this pair shows bullish momentum with an RSI of 66.10, approaching overbought territory, and a positive MACD of 1.0862. This suggests potential for further upside but watch for a possible pullback as it nears overbought levels.

2. **GBP/USD**: Priced at 1.3108, this pair is in a bearish phase with an RSI of 29.13, indicating oversold conditions, and a negative MACD of -0.0081. A rebound could be imminent, but caution is warranted as the trend remains downward.

3. **EUR/USD**: At 1.1575, this pair shows a neutral-bearish stance with an RSI of 44.87 and a negative MACD of -0.0034. It remains vulnerable to further declines if support levels are breached.

**Trading Imp

Name	Symbol	Price	Daily (%)	5D (%)	1W (%)	1M (%)	3M (%)	6M (%)	YTD (%)	12M (%)	MA50	MA100	MA200	RSI	MACD
EUR/GBP	EURGBP	0.8829	+0.2270	+0.4643	+0.1020	+1.4874	+2.4080	+4.9609	+6.4774	+6.6034	0.8717	0.8682	0.8554	74.31	0.0028
EUR/JPY	EURJPY	179.26	+0.4095	+1.4844	+1.6444	+1.6121	+4.0299	+9.9972	+9.7144	+9.5602	175.44	173.51	167.72	64.85	0.7493
EUR/CHF	EURCHF	0.9249	-0.2588	-0.6456	-0.6125	-0.6349	-1.8570	-1.0061	-1.5959	-1.4523	0.9310	0.9333	0.9373	51.98	-0.0004
EUR/AUD	EURAUD	1.7701	-0.2480	-0.6126	-0.0226	-0.8503	-0.9828	+1.3124	+5.7913	+9.2054	1.7772	1.7833	1.7585	36.76	-0.0029
GBP/JPY	GBPJPY	203.03	+0.1870	+1.0230	+1.5536	+0.1253	+1.5856	+4.7979	+3.0594	+2.7694	201.24	199.83	196.01	50.70	0.2116
GBP/CHF	GBPCHF	1.0476	-0.4656	-1.0961	-0.7071	-2.0834	-4.1686	-5.6820	-7.5661	-7.5481	1.0680	1.0749	1.0961	33.82	-0.0038
AUD/JPY	AUDJPY	101.26	+0.6571	+2.1106	+1.6820	+2.4816	+5.0590	+8.5725	+3.7235	+0.3140	98.71	97.29	95.36	66.46	0.5799
AUD/NZD	AUDNZD	1.1547	+0.0433	+0.4218	+0.4607	+1.7680	+5.4155	+5.8892	+4.7162	+4.8964	1.1325	1.1134	1.1019	87.83	0.0066
CHF/JPY	CHFJPY	193.80	+0.6811	+2.1577	+2.2839	+2.2655	+6.0182	+11.13	+11.51	+11.18	188.41	185.90	178.96	62.53	0.8804
NZD/JPY	NZDJPY	87.68	+0.6081	+1.6851	+1.2190	+0.7145	-0.3290	+2.5436	-0.9512	-4.2773	87.14	87.37	86.52	53.71	0.0106

**Overview:** The Crosses FX group exhibits a mixed trend, with some pairs signaling bullish momentum while others show bearish tendencies. Notably, overbought conditions in certain pairs suggest potential corrections.

**Key Pairs:**
1. **EUR/GBP:** Currently at 0.8829 with an RSI of 74.31, indicating overbought conditions. The MACD at 0.0028 suggests bullish momentum, but caution is advised for potential pullbacks.
2. **AUD/NZD:** Priced at 1.1547, this pair is significantly overbought with an RSI of 87.83. The MACD at 0.0066 confirms bullish momentum, but a reversal may be imminent.
3. **GBP/CHF:** At 1.0476, this pair shows an RSI of 33.82, indicating oversold conditions. The MACD at -0.0038 suggests bearish momentum, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

**Trading Implications:** Watch for resistance at 0.885

Name	Symbol	Price	Daily (%)	5D (%)	1W (%)	1M (%)	3M (%)	6M (%)	YTD (%)	12M (%)	MA50	MA100	MA200	RSI	MACD
USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira	USDTRY	42.23	+0.0197	+0.1659	+0.3867	+1.0085	+3.5624	+8.7509	+19.63	+23.04	41.71	41.11	39.52	74.59	0.1482
USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand	USDZAR	17.06	-0.5659	-1.6892	-2.4649	-2.0184	-2.4947	-5.2080	-9.0861	-4.7380	17.33	17.52	17.92	33.32	-0.0309
USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht	USDTHB	32.42	+0.2784	+0.1545	-0.4300	-0.6131	+0.5209	-2.2905	-5.0353	-5.9199	32.30	32.36	32.88	34.75	-0.0062
USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona	USDSEK	9.4569	+0.0656	-1.1649	-1.2939	-0.5438	-0.8120	-2.8250	-14.21	-12.71	9.4170	9.4914	9.7406	55.50	0.0249
USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone	USDNOK	10.06	+0.1822	-1.2653	-1.5643	-0.3848	-1.1530	-3.3368	-11.15	-8.6702	10.00	10.08	10.32	54.28	0.0353
USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone	USDDKK	6.4523	+0.1288	-0.1943	-0.7351	+0.2517	+1.2691	-3.1875	-9.9696	-7.7676	6.4012	6.3981	6.5845	55.32	0.0188
USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso	USDMXN	18.28	-0.1671	-1.4658	-2.0947	-1.2854	-1.7992	-6.0966	-11.38	-10.10	18.45	18.58	19.22	41.40	-0.0037
USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty	USDPLN	3.6524	+0.0959	-0.7141	-1.4945	-0.5922	+0.6291	-3.6514	-11.07	-10.64	3.6437	3.6443	3.7379	52.94	0.0078
USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint	USDHUF	332.69	+0.1921	-0.4083	-1.5279	-1.4926	-1.3299	-7.4659	-15.78	-13.45	333.97	337.32	351.35	43.56	-0.3485
USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna	USDCZK	20.94	+0.1105	-0.5680	-1.2638	-0.0134	+0.3778	-5.9248	-13.33	-11.79	20.84	20.94	21.79	52.10	0.0551

**Overview:** The Exotic FX group displays mixed signals, with a bullish trend in USD/TRY and bearish momentum in USD/ZAR and USD/THB. Overall, the group is experiencing volatility, with specific pairs showing significant divergence in momentum.

**Key Pairs:**
1. **USD/TRY**: Currently at 42.2347, RSI at 74.59 indicates overbought conditions, while the positive MACD (0.1482) suggests strong bullish momentum. Watch for potential resistance around 43.00.
2. **USD/ZAR**: Priced at 17.0599, the RSI of 33.32 signals oversold conditions, coupled with a negative MACD (-0.0309), indicating bearish momentum. Support is likely around 16.80.
3. **USD/THB**: At 32.4200, the RSI at 34.75 also indicates oversold territory, with a negative MACD (-0.0062), suggesting continued weakness.

**Trading

Disclaimer

The content on MarketsFN.com is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. All investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and should conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before acting. MarketsFN.com and its authors are not liable for any losses or damages arising from your use of this information.