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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Drops 0.67% After Earnings, Profit Beats Forecast and Revenue Exceeds Estimates

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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Drops 0.67% After Earnings, Profit Beats Forecast and Revenue Exceeds Estimates

NVIDIA Corp., founded in 1993 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, specializes in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and multimedia software. The company operates through two main segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Compute & Networking. NVIDIA’s products cater to a diverse range of applications, including gaming, enterprise workstations, cloud computing, automotive infotainment systems, and AI-driven computing platforms.

Nvidia has recently reported a significant earnings beat, causing a notable surge in its stock price and influencing broader market trends. The company’s third-quarter results showcased a 32% jump in its auto business, attributed to new self-driving technology partnerships. This performance has not only bolstered investor confidence but also triggered a tech rally, with the Dow and Nasdaq both climbing. Nvidia’s strong earnings have also positively impacted other stocks and sectors, including data center suppliers and related technology firms.

Despite initial gains, there have been fluctuations with the stock market’s Nvidia bump showing signs of fading. Nevertheless, Nvidia’s robust performance in AI and data centers continues to drive optimism about its future growth trajectory and leadership in AI technology. This has led to a broader reassessment of AI-related stocks and has had ripple effects across tech investments, influencing stock movements and strategic decisions in related industries.

The current price of the asset at $183.60 shows a slight decline today, down by 0.67%, indicating a modest bearish movement in the short term. This price is significantly lower than both the 52-week and year-to-date (YTD) highs of $212.19, reflecting a 13.47% decrease from these peaks. Such a decline could suggest a cooling-off period following earlier highs or a reaction to broader market or specific sectoral shifts.

The asset’s price is currently below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages by 5.1% and 1.55% respectively, indicating recent underperformance relative to these short-term trends. However, it remains well above the 200-day moving average by 20.42%, signifying stronger long-term upward momentum despite recent pullbacks.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44.9 leans towards neither overbought nor oversold territories, suggesting a lack of extreme momentum in either direction, which aligns with the slight negative movement observed today. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at -0.59 further confirms this bearish sentiment in the short term.

Considering the price is closer to the week’s low ($179.65) than the high ($196.00), and given the negative short-term indicators (RSI, MACD), investors might be cautious. However, the significant gain from the 52-week low ($86.61) indicates substantial growth over the longer term, which might still attract long-term investors.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) announced its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 on November 19, 2025, showcasing record revenues and a remarkable year-over-year growth. The company’s total revenue for the quarter reached $57.0 billion, marking a 62% increase from the same period last year and a 22% rise from the previous quarter. This growth was primarily driven by a substantial 66% year-over-year increase in Data Center revenue, which totaled $51.2 billion.

Earnings per share (EPS) also saw significant growth, with diluted EPS at $1.30, up 67% compared to Q3 2025 and 20% from Q2 2026. NVIDIA’s net income stood at $31.9 billion, reflecting a 65% increase from the prior year. Operating income followed suit at $36.0 billion, up 65% year-over-year.

Gross margins remained robust, with GAAP gross margins at 73.4% and non-GAAP at 73.6%, despite slight declines from the previous year. NVIDIA returned $37.0 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with $62.2 billion still available for future repurchases.

Looking ahead, NVIDIA expects revenue to be around $65.0 billion for the next quarter, with projected GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of approximately 74.8% and 75.0%, respectively. Operating expenses are anticipated to be around $6.7 billion (GAAP) and $5.0 billion (non-GAAP). The company’s strong performance is attributed to increased demand for AI compute capabilities across various sectors, including significant advancements in AI infrastructure and partnerships.

Earnings Trend Table

Date Estimate EPS Reported EPS Surprise %
0 2025-11-19 1.26 1.30 3.17
1 2025-05-28 0.93 0.96 2.84
2 2025-02-26 0.84 0.89 5.50
3 2024-11-20 0.75 0.81 8.58
4 2024-08-28 0.64 0.68 6.03
5 2024-05-22 0.56 0.61 9.48
6 2024-02-21 4.64 5.16 11.32
7 2023-11-21 3.37 4.02 19.21

The EPS data from the quarters spanning from November 2023 to November 2025 shows a clear upward trajectory in both estimated and reported EPS figures, indicating a period of growth for the company. Starting in November 2023, the reported EPS of 4.02 significantly exceeded the estimate of 3.37, marking a substantial surprise percentage of 19.21%. This trend of outperforming estimates continues consistently across all subsequent quarters.

A notable anomaly in the data is the sharp decrease in EPS estimates and reported figures from February 2024, where the reported EPS drops from 5.16 to 0.61 in May 2024. Despite this decrease, the company continued to exceed EPS estimates, suggesting effective management expectations and perhaps strategic adjustments.

The increasing EPS estimates over time, coupled with consistently higher actual EPS figures, suggest strong financial management and potentially a robust operational performance. The surprise percentage, while varying, remains positive, which could indicate conservative estimation or operational efficiencies that surpass expectations. This trend is crucial for investor confidence and indicates a potentially bullish outlook for the company’s financial health.

Dividend Payments Table

Date Dividend
2025-09-11 0.01
2025-06-11 0.01
2025-03-12 0.01
2024-12-05 0.01
2024-09-12 0.01
2024-06-11 0.01
2024-03-05 0.004
2023-12-05 0.004

The dividend data spanning from December 2023 to September 2025 exhibits a clear trend in the adjustment of dividend payments. Initially, the dividend was set at 0.004, as observed in the payments dated December 5, 2023, and March 5, 2024. This lower dividend rate suggests a conservative approach possibly reflecting the company’s strategic financial management or a response to external economic conditions at that time.

Subsequently, there is a noticeable increase in the dividend amount starting June 11, 2024, where the dividend rises to 0.01 and remains consistent through to September 11, 2025. This increment marks a significant shift towards a more generous dividend policy, potentially indicative of improved financial health or a positive outlook by the company’s management regarding future earnings and cash flow stability.

This consistent payment post-increase suggests confidence in the sustainability of this higher dividend rate, reflecting positively on the company’s financial practices and stability during this period.

On November 20, 2025, four major financial firms updated their ratings and target prices for Outer, reflecting a positive outlook on the company’s financial prospects.

  1. Truist reiterated its “Buy” rating, raising the target price from $228 to $255. This adjustment suggests that Truist analysts expect Outer’s market performance to continue improving, potentially due to operational efficiencies or market expansion strategies that exceed previous expectations.

  2. The Benchmark Company also maintained a “Buy” rating while increasing their target price from $220 to $250. This significant uplift in the target price indicates a strong confidence in Outer’s growth trajectory and its ability to outperform previous financial forecasts.

  3. Susquehanna reaffirmed its “Positive” stance, with an upward revision in the target price from $230 to $250. This change underscores Susquehanna’s continued optimism about Outer’s strategic initiatives and its potential to deliver enhanced shareholder value.

  4. Robert W. Baird continued to endorse Outer with an “Outperform” rating, adjusting their target price upward substantially from $225 to $275. This is the highest target price set by the firms listed, reflecting a particularly bullish outlook on Outer’s performance and market position.

Overall, these updates collectively signal a strong market confidence in Outer’s future performance, with all firms not only reiterating their positive ratings but also opting for notable increases in their target prices. This consensus could influence investor sentiment and market behavior favorably towards Outer in the upcoming period.

As of the latest data, the current price of the stock stands at $183.60. This price is significantly below the revised target prices set by various analysts. Truist has increased its target from $228 to $255, The Benchmark Company from $220 to $250, Susquehanna from $230 to $250, and Robert W. Baird from $225 to $275. This suggests a consensus among analysts that the stock has substantial upside potential, with target prices ranging from $250 to $275, indicating an optimistic outlook on the stock’s future performance.

The consistent upward revision in target prices by reputable analysts points to a positive sentiment in the market regarding the stock’s prospects, likely driven by strong earnings, strategic growth initiatives, or positive market conditions affecting the sector. This data is crucial for investors looking for growth opportunities, as the average target price suggests a significant potential increase from the current trading price.

Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. Markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. By acting, you accept full responsibility for your choices.