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USDCHF Trendlines and Fibonacci Update

· Forex · QuoteReporter

USDCHF Trendlines and Fibonacci Update

Published: December 11, 2025

Technical Analysis

1. Market Overview:
The USDCHF pair is currently trading at 0.79749. The pair has been in a consistent downtrend, as indicated by the current price being lower than the MA21, MA50, and MA200, respectively. This suggests a bearish bias in the market. However, the price is hovering just above its nearest support level, indicating a potential pivotal point for market participants.

2. Trend Analysis:
In the short-term, medium-term, and long-term, the trend for USDCHF is bearish as confirmed by the MA21, MA50, and MA200. The price is consistently below these moving averages, signifying a strong bearish momentum across various time frames.

3. Support and Resistance Analysis:
The closest support level (S1) is at 0.79728. If the price breaks this level, it could potentially fall to the next support levels at 0.78823 (S2) and 0.76861 (S3). Conversely, if the price bounces back from S1, it may attempt to break the nearest resistance at 0.80736 (R1). If successful, further resistances are at 0.81015 (R2) and 0.81433 (R3). Traders should closely watch the S1 and R1 levels as they are closest to the current price and could indicate immediate market direction.

4. Fibonacci Level Analysis:
The USDCHF pair has retraced from its high of 0.92003 to a low of 0.78286 over 247 days. The current price of 0.79749 is below all Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a strong downtrend. The nearest Fibonacci resistance is at the 23.6% level (0.81523).

5. Overall Technical Outlook:
The overall technical outlook for USDCHF is bearish, given the consistent downtrend across short, medium, and long-term time frames. The price is currently near its closest support level, suggesting that a further bearish movement could trigger a drop towards the next support levels. However, a bounce back from the current support could see the price attempting to break through the nearest resistance. As always, traders need to monitor market developments closely and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

DOWNTREND Movement (247 days)

Starting Point (100%): 0.92003 on January 13, 2025

Ending Point (0%): 0.78286 on September 17, 2025

Level Price Distance Status
100.0% 0.92003 +0.12254 (+15.37%) RESISTANCE ↑
78.6% 0.89068 +0.09319 (+11.68%) RESISTANCE ↑
61.8% 0.86763 +0.07014 (+8.80%) RESISTANCE ↑
50.0% 0.85145 +0.05395 (+6.77%) RESISTANCE ↑
38.2% 0.83526 +0.03777 (+4.74%) RESISTANCE ↑
23.6% 0.81523 +0.01774 (+2.22%) RESISTANCE ↑
0.0% 0.78286 -0.01463 (-1.83%) SUPPORT ↓

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