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USDMXN Technical Analysis

· Forex · QuoteReporter

USDMXN Technical Analysis

Published: December 12, 2025

Technical Analysis

1. MARKET OVERVIEW:
The USDMXN pair is currently trading at 18.06095. The market shows a general downtrend, as evidenced by the current price being below the short-term (MA21), medium-term (MA50), and long-term (MA200) moving averages.

2. TREND ANALYSIS:
Short-term trend is bearish as the current price is below the MA21 at 18.29083. Similarly, the medium-term trend is also bearish, with the price trading below the MA50 at 18.37677. The long-term trend confirms the bearish outlook, as the price is significantly lower than the MA200 at 18.95788.

3. SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ANALYSIS:
Support 1, at 17.99823, is the closest to the current price and can be seen as the immediate floor for the price. Support 2 and 3, at 17.99336 and 17.67268 respectively, represent further levels at which the price might find a base if the current downward pressure continues.

Resistance 1, at 18.24142, is the first hurdle that the buyers need to overcome to change the current bearish sentiment. Resistance 2 and 3, at 18.38039 and 18.51675, are further levels that could halt any bullish momentum in the short term.

In terms of critical levels, Resistance 1 and Support 1 are the most immediate levels for traders to watch, as they represent the nearest hurdles for both upward and downward movements.

4. FIBONACCI LEVEL ANALYSIS:
The Fibonacci retracement levels indicate potential support and resistance levels based on the recent downtrend movement. The closest Fibonacci resistance level to the current price is at 18.77530 (23.6% retracement level), which is above the current price and could act as a significant resistance in case of a bullish reversal. On the lower end, the 0.0% level at 17.99823 aligns closely with Support 1, reinforcing its significance as a potential floor for the price.

5. OVERALL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
The overall technical outlook for the USDMXN pair is bearish. The price is trading below the short, medium, and long-term moving averages, indicating a strong downward trend. The immediate support and resistance levels further confirm this outlook. However, traders should keep a close eye on the Fibonacci retracement levels, as they could indicate potential turning points in the price action. The critical levels to watch are Resistance 1 (18.24142) and Support 1 (17.99823), as breaks above or below these levels could signal a potential change in the market trend.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

DOWNTREND Movement (312 days)

Starting Point (100%): 21.29090 on February 03, 2025

Ending Point (0%): 17.99823 on December 12, 2025

Level Price Distance Status
100.0% 21.29090 +3.22995 (+17.88%) RESISTANCE ↑
78.6% 20.58627 +2.52532 (+13.98%) RESISTANCE ↑
61.8% 20.03310 +1.97215 (+10.92%) RESISTANCE ↑
50.0% 19.64457 +1.58362 (+8.77%) RESISTANCE ↑
38.2% 19.25603 +1.19508 (+6.62%) RESISTANCE ↑
23.6% 18.77530 +0.71435 (+3.96%) RESISTANCE ↑
0.0% 17.99823 -0.06272 (-0.35%) SUPPORT ↓

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