European Markets Steady after Record High of US Indices, Waiting ECB Rate Decision

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# European Markets Steady Amid Political Uncertainty and Mixed Economic Signals

**Note**: This analysis is generated during European session, markets open. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global markets exhibited mixed sentiment today amid geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. U.S. futures showed slight declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.01% and Dow futures falling 0.02%, while Nasdaq futures experienced a modest increase of 0.03%. European indices also faced pressure, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.13%, DAX declining 0.32%, and CAC 40 slipping 0.06%. In contrast, the FTSE 100 gained 0.45%, buoyed by stronger performance in certain sectors.

The Nikkei rose by 1.11%, reflecting investor optimism in Japan despite broader regional challenges.

In commodities, oil prices experienced volatility, rallying due to geopolitical risks linked to Russian drone strikes but constrained by a significant build in U.S. inventories. The gold market remained stagnant, hovering around $3,650 as traders awaited U.S. CPI inflation data for clearer direction.

In corporate news, Klarnaโ€™s stock surged 15% in its NYSE debut, highlighting strong investor interest. Meanwhile, political developments, including Trumpโ€™s tariff pressures on Europe and Franceโ€™s economic outlook, added to the cautious market sentiment. Overall, investors are navigating a complex landscape of

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6546.00 -0.01
Dow Futures 45561.00 -0.02
Nasdaq Futures 23915.50 0.00

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Previous close performance for US indices.

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6531.90 -0.28
Dow Jones 45494.85 -0.52
Nasdaq 100 23858.97 -0.30

### European Indices Performance

Index Price Daily Change (%)
Euro Stoxx 50 5355.77 -0.13
DAX 23580.01 -0.32
CAC 40 7777.17 -0.06
FTSE 100 9266.70 0.45

### Nikkei Performance

Index Price Daily Change (%)
Nikkei 44362.87 1.11

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 -0.07
USD/JPY 147.78 0.30
GBP/USD 1.35 -0.16
USD/CHF 0.80 0.09
USD/CAD 1.39 0.12
AUD/USD 0.66 -0.06
NZD/USD 0.59 -0.20

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 63.59 0.05
Gold 3664.90 -0.13
Silver 41.45 -0.23
Natural Gas 3.05 0.99

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 114161.01 0.17
Ethereum 4437.96 2.05

## Economic Calendar of Today (Most Important Events)

The following table lists high-importance economic events for today, 2025-09-11, with times in US Eastern Time.

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-11 02:00 Medium CPI (YoY) (Aug) 1.1% 1.1%
2025-09-11 02:00 Medium CPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.4% 0.8%
2025-09-11 04:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium IEA Monthly Report
2025-09-11 07:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium OPEC Monthly Report
2025-09-11 08:00 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Medium Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) -0.3%
2025-09-11 08:00 ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Medium Retail Sales (YoY) (Jul) 0.8%
2025-09-11 08:15 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ High Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) 2.00%
2025-09-11 08:15 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium ECB Marginal Lending Facility
2025-09-11 08:15 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium ECB Monetary Policy Statement
2025-09-11 08:15 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ High ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 2.15%
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Continuing Jobless Claims 1,950K
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ High Core CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.3%
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) 3.1%
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ High CPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.9%
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ High CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.3%
2025-09-11 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ High Initial Jobless Claims 235K
2025-09-11 08:45 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ High ECB Press Conference
2025-09-11 10:15 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2025-09-11 13:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ High 30-Year Bond Auction
2025-09-11 14:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Federal Budget Balance (Aug) -305.7B
2025-09-11 16:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Fedโ€™s Balance Sheet
2025-09-11 18:30 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Medium Business NZ PMI (Aug)
2025-09-11 18:45 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Medium Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)

**Notes**:
โ€“ **Cur**: Currency associated with the event (with flag emoji).
โ€“ **Imp**: Importance (High, Medium, Low, None).
โ€“ **Actual**: Reported value (if available).
โ€“ **Forecast**: Expected value (if available).

On September 11, 2025, several significant economic events are poised to influence market dynamics, particularly concerning currency valuations. Notably, Swedenโ€™s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August revealed a year-over-year increase of 1.1%, aligning with forecasts, while the month-over-month figure showed a surprising contraction of -0.4%, against expectations of a 0.8% rise. This divergence may exert downward pressure on the Swedish Krona (SEK) as investors reassess inflation expectations.

In the U.S., the release of CPI data for August is critical, with forecasts anticipating a year-over-year increase of 2.9% and a month-over-month rise of 0.3%. These figures will be scrutinized for signs of persistent inflation, potentially impacting Federal Reserve policy and the U.S. Dollar (USD). Additionally, the Initial Jobless Claims report, with a forecast of 235K, will provide further insights into labor market conditions.

The European Central Bank (ECB) will also be in focus, with its interest rate decision and accompanying press conference expected to clarify monetary policy direction. The EURโ€™s performance may hinge on any shifts in guidance regarding future rate adjustments.

Overall, todayโ€™s economic releases are set to shape expectations for monetary policy across these regions, influencing currency movements accordingly.

## Remaining Economic Calendar Comment for the Week (Important Events Only)

During the week of September 8, 2025, several key economic events influenced market sentiment, particularly in the Eurozone and the U.S.

In Germany, the industrial production for July exceeded expectations at 1.3% versus a forecast of 1.1%, signaling a stronger manufacturing sector. However, the trade balance fell short at โ‚ฌ14.7 billion compared to the anticipated โ‚ฌ15.7 billion. This mixed data may create volatility in the EUR, as the positive production figure could bolster confidence, while the trade balance could raise concerns.

In the U.S., consumer credit surged to $16.01 billion, greatly outpacing the forecast of $10.40 billion, indicating robust consumer spending. Conversely, the initial jobless claims were reported at 235K, suggesting a stable labor market. However, the core PPI showed a surprising decline of -0.1%, against a forecast of 0.3%, potentially signaling deflationary pressures that could impact the dollar negatively.

In the UK, the BRC Retail Sales Monitor reported a strong 2.9% increase, above the expected 2.0%, which could support the GBP. Meanwhile, Chinese inflation data revealed stagnation, with CPI at 0.0% month-on-month, raising concerns about economic momentum.

Overall, these developments suggest a complex landscape for currency markets, with the EUR and GBP showing resilience while the USD faces mixed signals.