## Forex and Global News
In today’s forex market, the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued, with the DXY index at 99.02, up 0.1041%. The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the renewed US-China trade spat, are influencing market sentiment. European markets opened higher, buoyed by a rebound in mining stocks. The EUR/GBP cross saw mild gains, trading above 0.8700, as the Pound Sterling (GBP) weakened due to concerns over potential tax increases in the UK’s upcoming Autumn Budget.
Gold prices continued their record-setting rally, climbing to the $4,078 mark amid the backdrop of US-China tensions and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve. Crude Oil prices also showed bullish tendencies, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rising to $59.40 per barrel, reflecting market optimism despite a generally weaker crude price environment.
The GBP/USD pair tested levels below 1.3300 as selling pressure increased, while the EUR/USD pair edged lower, influenced by political instability in both the US and Europe. Overall, the market is experiencing heightened volatility driven by trade concerns and geopolitical developments.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | 06:30 | 🇮🇳 | Medium | CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 1.70% | |
| 2025-10-13 | 07:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Construction Spending (MoM) (Aug) | -0.1% | |
| 2025-10-13 | 07:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | OPEC Monthly Report | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 09:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 13:30 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Buba Balz Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 15:10 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | BoE MPC Member Mann Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 17:45 | 🇳🇿 | Medium | Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 19:01 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | BRC Retail Sales Monitor (YoY) (Sep) | 2.5% | |
| 2025-10-13 | 20:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | RBA Meeting Minutes | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 20:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | NAB Business Confidence (Sep) |
On October 13, 2025, several economic events are poised to influence the foreign exchange (FX) markets, with particular focus on the Indian Rupee (INR), US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), and Australian Dollar (AUD).
At 06:30 ET, India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September is expected to be 1.70%. A deviation from this forecast could significantly impact the INR, particularly if inflation pressures exceed expectations, potentially prompting responses from the Reserve Bank of India.
The USD will be influenced by construction spending data at 07:00 ET, forecasted to decline by 0.1%. If actual spending falls short, it may weaken the USD as it could signal a slowdown in economic activity.
Key speeches from European Central Bank officials, including German Buba Vice President at 09:00 ET and Buba Balz at 13:30 ET, could provide insights into monetary policy, affecting the EUR’s valuation.
In the UK, the BRC Retail Sales Monitor at 19:01 ET is anticipated to show a 2.5% increase, which, if confirmed, could bolster the GBP. Finally, the RBA Meeting Minutes and NAB Business Confidence data at 20:30 ET will be critical for the AUD, with any surprises potentially influencing market sentiment towards the Australian economy.
## Major FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1609 | 0.0258 | -0.3913 | -0.8835 | -1.0716 | -0.4911 | 2.8012 | 11.56 | 6.1748 | 1.1693 | 1.1638 | 1.1213 | 28.67 | -0.0023 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 152.36 | 0.2870 | 0.2045 | 1.8422 | 3.4899 | 3.0922 | 6.4122 | -2.9510 | 2.4599 | 148.05 | 146.81 | 148.26 | 71.38 | 1.0799 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3334 | -0.0675 | -0.6484 | -0.7430 | -1.7871 | -0.7004 | 0.7784 | 6.2546 | 2.0811 | 1.3474 | 1.3498 | 1.3165 | 36.07 | -0.0035 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.8023 | 0.0000 | 0.4646 | 0.6410 | 0.7978 | 0.5552 | -2.2503 | -11.1753 | -6.3335 | 0.8006 | 0.8042 | 0.8398 | 65.64 | 0.0005 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6525 | 0.4155 | -0.8435 | -1.0329 | -2.1446 | -0.3013 | 2.9521 | 4.9035 | -3.2042 | 0.6555 | 0.6535 | 0.6420 | 36.68 | -0.0001 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.4002 | 0.0429 | 0.3526 | 0.2649 | 1.2166 | 2.1693 | 0.3224 | -2.4237 | 1.8646 | 1.3834 | 1.3763 | 1.3984 | 86.50 | 0.0047 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5742 | 0.1745 | -0.9608 | -1.4196 | -3.9446 | -3.8496 | -2.6036 | 1.8137 | -5.8071 | 0.5878 | 0.5943 | 0.5847 | 27.90 | -0.0035 |
In the current forex landscape, several key pairs exhibit notable overbought and oversold conditions. The USD/CAD pair shows an extreme overbought RSI at 86.50, coupled with a positive MACD of 0.0047, indicating strong bullish momentum. This suggests a potential correction may be on the horizon as market participants take profits.
Conversely, the EUR/USD and NZD/USD pairs are in oversold territory, with RSIs at 28.67 and 27.90, respectively. Both pairs also reflect bearish MACD readings, indicating persistent selling pressure. The EUR/USD is particularly interesting as it approaches significant moving averages, with the MA50 at 1.1693 and MA200 at 1.1213, suggesting potential support levels.
The USD/JPY pair, with an RSI of 71.38, is nearing overbought conditions and may see a pullback, while the GBP/USD and AUD/USD remain in neutral territory, suggesting a lack of
## Cross FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | EURGBP | 0.8703 | 0.0805 | 0.2303 | -0.1698 | 0.6989 | 0.1773 | 1.9719 | 4.9578 | 3.9772 | 0.8678 | 0.8622 | 0.8514 | 40.64 | 0.0006 |
| EUR/JPY | EURJPY | 176.80 | 0.2950 | -0.2224 | 0.9080 | 2.3385 | 2.5480 | 9.3875 | 8.2118 | 8.7470 | 173.08 | 170.82 | 166.00 | 67.23 | 0.9861 |
| EUR/CHF | EURCHF | 0.9310 | 0.0215 | 0.0376 | -0.2828 | -0.3137 | 0.0215 | 0.4478 | -0.9469 | -0.5937 | 0.9360 | 0.9355 | 0.9389 | 34.60 | -0.0010 |
| EUR/AUD | EURAUD | 1.7799 | -0.3136 | 0.5082 | 0.2156 | 1.1364 | -0.1442 | -0.1033 | 6.3770 | 9.7383 | 1.7840 | 1.7805 | 1.7452 | 32.72 | -0.0040 |
| GBP/JPY | GBPJPY | 203.14 | 0.2126 | -0.4509 | 1.0838 | 1.6371 | 2.3644 | 7.2761 | 3.1163 | 4.5906 | 199.59 | 198.27 | 195.01 | 64.72 | 1.0494 |
| GBP/CHF | GBPCHF | 1.0696 | -0.0654 | -0.1969 | -0.1102 | -1.0106 | -0.1624 | -1.4983 | -5.6249 | -4.3950 | 1.0786 | 1.0855 | 1.1034 | 51.73 | -0.0018 |
| AUD/JPY | AUDJPY | 99.32 | 0.6057 | -0.7257 | 0.6965 | 1.2085 | 2.6956 | 9.5280 | 1.7383 | -0.8911 | 97.01 | 95.92 | 95.12 | 75.49 | 0.7781 |
| AUD/NZD | AUDNZD | 1.1362 | 0.2736 | 0.1128 | 0.3834 | 1.8898 | 3.6849 | 5.6989 | 3.0385 | 2.7529 | 1.1151 | 1.0996 | 1.0981 | 65.22 | 0.0066 |
| CHF/JPY | CHFJPY | 189.89 | 0.2751 | -0.2525 | 1.1920 | 2.6738 | 2.5335 | 8.9182 | 9.2591 | 9.3937 | 184.89 | 182.56 | 176.81 | 67.42 | 1.2373 |
| NZD/JPY | NZDJPY | 87.39 | 0.3249 | -0.8430 | 0.3053 | -0.6695 | -0.9599 | 3.5586 | -1.2799 | -3.5781 | 87.05 | 87.26 | 86.62 | 65.99 | 0.1500 |
In the current forex landscape, several pairs exhibit notable technical signals. EUR/JPY is approaching overbought conditions with an RSI of 67.23 and a positive MACD, suggesting potential upward momentum but caution is warranted. Conversely, EUR/CHF and EUR/AUD are in oversold territory with RSIs of 34.60 and 32.72, respectively, and negative MACDs, indicating potential buying opportunities. The AUD/JPY shows strong bullish momentum with an RSI of 75.49, signaling overbought conditions. Meanwhile, GBP/JPY and CHF/JPY are maintaining bullish trends with RSIs below 70, suggesting room for further upside. Traders should monitor these levels for potential reversals or continuation patterns.
## Exotics and Emerging
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira | USDTRY | 41.80 | 0.0012 | 0.2048 | 0.2747 | 1.1126 | 3.9175 | 9.5157 | 18.40 | 22.04 | 41.19 | 40.49 | 38.77 | 95.82 | 0.1703 |
| USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand | USDZAR | 17.28 | -0.6032 | 0.4393 | 0.1578 | -0.3557 | -3.4568 | -9.1527 | -7.8871 | -1.3214 | 17.50 | 17.65 | 18.06 | 42.97 | -0.0927 |
| USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht | USDTHB | 32.53 | -0.2759 | 0.1539 | 0.4322 | 2.5859 | 0.2157 | -2.8085 | -4.7131 | -2.6951 | 32.23 | 32.38 | 33.08 | 80.69 | 0.1293 |
| USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona | USDSEK | 9.5103 | 0.0158 | 1.1588 | 1.3367 | 2.1758 | -1.0807 | -3.6679 | -13.7296 | -8.4630 | 9.4608 | 9.5151 | 9.9273 | 61.46 | 0.0024 |
| USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone | USDNOK | 10.09 | -0.0941 | 1.2178 | 1.2452 | 2.3482 | -0.4943 | -5.2432 | -10.9636 | -5.9998 | 10.04 | 10.07 | 10.46 | 61.57 | -0.0046 |
| USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone | USDDKK | 6.4340 | -0.0186 | 0.4371 | 0.9380 | 1.1483 | 0.5740 | -2.6847 | -10.2249 | -5.7027 | 6.3842 | 6.4143 | 6.6728 | 68.56 | 0.0104 |
| USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso | USDMXN | 18.45 | -0.2972 | 0.3452 | 0.1013 | -0.0108 | -1.5808 | -8.3150 | -10.5670 | -5.0745 | 18.56 | 18.73 | 19.46 | 47.56 | -0.0543 |
| USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty | USDPLN | 3.6710 | -0.0545 | 0.6367 | 1.0938 | 1.2704 | 0.7185 | -3.4413 | -10.6175 | -6.6700 | 3.6403 | 3.6580 | 3.7885 | 64.07 | 0.0054 |
| USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint | USDHUF | 337.20 | -0.1832 | 0.0317 | 1.9402 | 1.1064 | -1.5819 | -6.6137 | -14.6346 | -8.0690 | 336.16 | 341.13 | 358.53 | 61.78 | -0.1088 |
| USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna | USDCZK | 20.95 | -0.0095 | 0.2139 | 1.1855 | 0.9567 | -0.8802 | -5.6104 | -13.2926 | -9.5279 | 20.86 | 21.10 | 22.18 | 66.41 | 0.0155 |
In the current market landscape, USD/TRY exhibits extreme overbought conditions with an RSI of 95.82, indicating potential for a corrective pullback. The MACD remains bullish, reinforcing the upward momentum despite the overextension. Conversely, USD/THB, with an RSI of 80.69, also signals overbought territory, though its MACD suggests sustained bullish momentum. Other pairs like USD/ZAR and USD/MXN are in neutral to bearish territory, with RSIs below 50 and negative MACDs, indicating potential weakness. Monitoring MA crossovers in these pairs will be crucial for identifying trend reversals or continuations in the coming sessions.
