Forex Report: USD Weakens as PPI Drops, German Buba Vice President Speaks, AUD/USD Climbs 0.44%

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# Forex Report: USD Weakens Ahead of PPI Data, German Buba Vice President Speaks, AUD/USD Climbs 0.44%

DXY_candlestick_1m_20250910_1245 Chart

## Forex and Global News
In today’s forex market, the USD showed slight weakness as the DXY fell to 97.68, down 0.0941%.

The GBP/USD pair is trading around 1.3500, encountering resistance at 1.3590-1.3600, which may attract technical buyers if breached. Meanwhile, the EUR/USD is struggling near 1.1700, losing bullish momentum ahead of the U.S. inflation data.

Geopolitical tensions are also impacting market sentiment, particularly after NATO’s engagement with Russian drones over Poland, raising concerns about regional stability. Gold prices are experiencing renewed demand as a safe haven in light of these developments.

In commodities, the uranium market is seeing renewed interest due to surging nuclear energy demand, indicating a potential shift in investment focus. Overall, the forex market remains cautious as traders await key economic indicators and navigate geopolitical uncertainties.

## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-10 08:00 🇪🇺 Medium German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
2025-09-10 08:00 🇧🇷 Medium CPI (YoY) (Aug) 5.13% 5.10%
2025-09-10 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Core PPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.1% 0.3%
2025-09-10 08:30 🇺🇸 High PPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.1% 0.3%
2025-09-10 10:30 🇺🇸 High Crude Oil Inventories -1.900M
2025-09-10 10:30 🇺🇸 Medium Cushing Crude Oil Inventories
2025-09-10 10:53 🇷🇺 Medium CPI (YoY) (Aug)
2025-09-10 10:53 🇷🇺 Medium CPI (MoM) (Aug)
2025-09-10 13:00 🇺🇸 High 10-Year Note Auction
2025-09-10 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 3.0%
2025-09-10 19:50 🇯🇵 Medium BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions (Q3) -3.3

On September 10, 2025, several key economic events are poised to impact the foreign exchange (FX) markets significantly.

At 08:00 ET, German Buba Vice President Buch is scheduled to speak, although no forecasts or prior remarks are available. Market participants will be keenly listening for insights on future monetary policy, which could influence the euro (EUR).

At the same time, Brazil’s CPI (YoY) for August came in at 5.13%, slightly above the forecast of 5.10%. This unexpected rise may bolster the Brazilian real (BRL) as it suggests persistent inflationary pressures, prompting potential tightening measures from the Central Bank of Brazil.

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data, released at 08:30 ET, showed a disappointing -0.1% for both the overall and core metrics, diverging sharply from the expected 0.3% increase. This negative surprise may weigh on the U.S. dollar (USD) as it raises concerns about inflation and economic growth.

Later, at 10:30 ET, the Crude Oil Inventories report is anticipated, with a forecast of a decline of 1.9 million barrels. This could further influence the USD, especially in relation to energy prices.

Lastly, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast for Q3, expected at 3.0%, will provide further insights into the U.S. economic outlook, impacting USD sentiment.

## Major FX Group

Name Symbol Price Daily (%) 5D (%) 1W (%) 1M (%) 3M (%) 6M (%) YTD (%) 12M (%) MA50 MA100 MA200 RSI MACD
EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar EURUSD 1.1708 -0.0512 0.4382 0.6185 0.5155 1.7261 7.8518 12.51 6.0745 1.1667 1.1537 1.1069 54.67 0.0019
USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen USDJPY 147.43 0.0543 -0.6376 -0.7533 -0.1591 2.2371 -0.3515 -6.0932 2.9697 147.33 145.86 148.84 47.72 0.1523
GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar GBPUSD 1.3538 0.0665 0.6956 1.1546 0.6956 -0.2168 4.4728 7.8803 3.5698 1.3473 1.3464 1.3068 55.49 0.0013
USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc USDCHF 0.7978 0.1004 -0.9104 -0.9301 -1.1976 -2.5171 -9.6100 -11.6735 -6.0804 0.8018 0.8120 0.8507 33.36 -0.0015
AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar AUDUSD 0.6617 0.4402 1.4566 1.5142 1.5233 1.6514 5.2421 6.3826 -0.6140 0.6523 0.6494 0.6389 77.30 0.0020
USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar USDCAD 1.3852 0.0506 0.2678 0.4897 0.7220 1.3633 -3.9776 -3.4690 2.1233 1.3744 1.3763 1.4024 40.94 0.0011
NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar NZDUSD 0.5948 0.3205 1.6561 1.4723 -0.0219 -1.4677 4.2940 5.4664 -3.1636 0.5942 0.5963 0.5835 69.14 -0.0008

EUR_USD_-_Euro___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

USD_JPY_-_U.S._Dollar___Japanese_Yen_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

GBP_USD_-_British_Pound___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

USD_CHF_-_U.S._Dollar___Swiss_Franc_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

AUD_USD_-_Australian_Dollar___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

USD_CAD_-_U.S._Dollar___Canadian_Dollar_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

NZD_USD_-_New_Zealand_Dollar___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20250910_1245 Chart

In the current forex landscape, several key pairs exhibit notable overbought and oversold conditions. The AUD/USD is significantly overbought with an RSI of 77.30, indicating potential for a pullback, despite a positive MACD and bullish MA crossovers. Conversely, the USD/CHF is in an oversold state with an RSI of 33.36 and a negative MACD, suggesting a potential reversal may occur as it approaches support levels.

The EUR/USD and GBP/USD maintain neutral positions with RSIs of 54.67 and 55.49, respectively, and positive MACDs, indicating stability in their trends. The USD/JPY and USD/CAD also show a lack of momentum, with RSIs below 50, reflecting bearish sentiment. The NZD/USD, with an RSI of 69.14, is nearing overbought territory but remains below the critical threshold. Traders should monitor these conditions closely for potential trading opportunities in the upcoming sessions.

## Cross FX Group

Name Symbol Price Daily (%) 5D (%) 1W (%) 1M (%) 3M (%) 6M (%) YTD (%) 12M (%) MA50 MA100 MA200 RSI MACD
EUR/GBP EURGBP 0.8646 -0.1155 -0.2780 -0.5338 -0.2008 1.9383 3.2075 4.2704 2.4044 0.8658 0.8567 0.8464 62.63 0.0008
EUR/JPY EURJPY 172.56 -0.0070 -0.2249 -0.1458 0.3337 3.9874 7.4515 5.6180 9.2315 171.89 168.22 164.46 64.04 0.4514
EUR/CHF EURCHF 0.9337 0.0321 -0.5083 -0.3330 -0.7262 -0.8790 -2.5426 -0.6596 -0.3841 0.9355 0.9361 0.9389 42.78 -0.0005
EUR/AUD EURAUD 1.7694 -0.4837 -0.9943 -0.8545 -0.9871 0.0894 2.4913 5.7495 6.7447 1.7889 1.7766 1.7309 27.63 -0.0011
GBP/JPY GBPJPY 199.57 0.1028 0.0516 0.3909 0.5451 2.0187 4.1113 1.3061 6.6426 198.53 196.33 194.26 53.97 0.3387
GBP/CHF GBPCHF 1.0799 0.1577 -0.2217 0.2106 -0.5186 -2.7511 -5.5668 -4.7161 -2.7205 1.0804 1.0928 1.1095 30.11 -0.0013
AUD/JPY AUDJPY 97.52 0.4812 0.7761 0.7178 1.3321 3.9006 4.8445 -0.1076 2.3252 96.08 94.67 95.03 78.91 0.3119
AUD/NZD AUDNZD 1.1124 0.1260 -0.1992 0.0432 1.5427 3.1672 0.9086 0.8801 2.6360 1.0970 1.0885 1.0950 76.64 0.0049
CHF/JPY CHFJPY 184.78 -0.0260 0.2768 0.1777 1.0671 4.9086 10.25 6.3218 9.6453 183.73 179.66 175.17 77.51 0.5372
NZD/JPY NZDJPY 87.66 0.3664 0.9955 0.6880 -0.1924 0.7216 3.9168 -0.9771 -0.3082 87.57 86.94 86.78 56.20 -0.1067

crosses_normalized_3m_20250910_1245 Chart

Currently, several FX pairs exhibit notable overbought and oversold conditions. AUD/JPY (RSI 78.91) and CHF/JPY (RSI 77.51) are significantly overbought, suggesting potential price corrections ahead, especially as their MACD values remain positive. Conversely, EUR/CHF (RSI 42.78) and GBP/CHF (RSI 30.11) are in oversold territory, indicating a potential rebound could occur if bullish momentum develops. The moving average crossovers for these pairs are stable, suggesting ongoing trends. Traders should monitor these indicators closely for potential reversals or continuations, particularly in the context of market sentiment and economic data releases.

## Exotics and Emerging

Name Symbol Price Daily (%) 5D (%) 1W (%) 1M (%) 3M (%) 6M (%) YTD (%) 12M (%) MA50 MA100 MA200 RSI MACD
USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira USDTRY 41.28 0.1392 0.0887 0.2864 1.3174 5.5062 12.55 16.93 21.08 40.63 39.84 38.02 89.06 0.1853
USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand USDZAR 17.54 0.0805 -1.1525 -0.8872 -1.0867 -0.8328 -4.0199 -6.5308 -1.8116 17.71 17.88 18.16 39.68 -0.0366
USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht USDTHB 31.78 0.0945 -1.5184 -1.6404 -1.7923 -2.2936 -5.6413 -6.9100 -6.1679 32.38 32.62 33.30 25.63 -0.1328
USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona USDSEK 9.3479 -0.2625 -1.1137 -1.2052 -2.2808 -1.9423 -8.2779 -15.2028 -9.8783 9.5602 9.5841 10.11 31.99 -0.0529
USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone USDNOK 9.9210 -0.4605 -1.4958 -1.1457 -3.5101 -1.2295 -7.1170 -12.4176 -8.4795 10.15 10.18 10.61 24.42 -0.0470
USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone USDDKK 6.3772 0.0596 -0.4148 -0.5863 -0.4690 -1.6031 -7.2083 -11.0175 -5.6781 6.3963 6.4717 6.7596 39.13 -0.0097
USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso USDMXN 18.61 -0.0397 -0.6157 -0.6311 0.1522 -1.5164 -7.3314 -9.7988 -6.4393 18.69 18.98 19.67 35.27 -0.0093
USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty USDPLN 3.6417 0.3942 -0.0957 -0.6099 -0.0182 -1.3606 -5.4150 -11.3309 -5.9115 3.6460 3.6911 3.8395 41.74 -0.0066
USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint USDHUF 336.10 0.2589 -0.2824 -1.1322 -0.9323 -3.2675 -8.6610 -14.9131 -6.4560 340.26 346.97 365.44 42.54 -1.4697
USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna USDCZK 20.83 0.3740 -0.6269 -0.9563 -0.6359 -3.1309 -9.6342 -13.7786 -8.1473 21.02 21.42 22.55 38.01 -0.0715

exotics_normalized_3m_20250910_1245 Chart

The USD/TRY is significantly overbought with an RSI of 89.06, indicating extreme bullish momentum, supported by a positive MACD of 0.1853. The MA50 has crossed above the MA100 and MA200, reinforcing the uptrend. In contrast, USD/ZAR, USD/THB, USD/NOK, and USD/SEK show oversold conditions with RSIs below 40, negative MACDs, and bearish MA crossovers, suggesting potential for corrective rebounds. USD/THB and USD/NOK, with RSIs of 25.63 and 24.42 respectively, appear particularly vulnerable to short-term recovery. Overall, the divergence between these pairs highlights contrasting market dynamics that traders should monitor closely