FX Update: Trade tensions rise, key economic data ahead, USD/CHF climbs 0.30%

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# FX Update: Trade tensions rise, key economic data ahead, USD/CHF climbs 0.30%

## Forex and Global News (Last 8 Hours)
In the latest forex news, market sentiment is heavily influenced by rising US-China trade tensions, particularly regarding rare earth minerals, which has led to a surge in safe-haven assets like gold, now trading at record highs around $4,085. The US Dollar (USD) remains strong, with the USD/JPY pair climbing to 152.30 as easing trade tensions support bullish momentum. In contrast, the EUR/USD pair faces downward pressure, trading around 1.1570 amid a risk-averse environment, while the euro struggles to maintain gains near key resistance levels.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently at 99.25, reflecting a daily change of 0.3316%, indicating a modest strengthening of the dollar against a basket of currencies. Analysts note that the USD/CNH is expected to trade within a range of 7.1280 to 7.1500, while the Brazilian Real (BRL) shows mild pressure against the dollar. Overall, the forex market is navigating through volatile conditions driven by geopolitical developments and trade-related uncertainties.

## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-10-13 09:00 🇪🇺 Medium German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
2025-10-13 13:30 🇪🇺 Medium German Buba Balz Speaks
2025-10-13 20:30 🇦🇺 Medium RBA Meeting Minutes
2025-10-13 20:30 🇦🇺 Medium NAB Business Confidence (Sep)

On October 13, 2025, several key economic events are poised to influence G7 FX markets, particularly the EUR and AUD.

At 09:00 ET, the German Bundesbank Vice President, Claudia Buch, is scheduled to speak. Market participants will be attentive to her remarks, especially regarding monetary policy direction and economic outlook, which could impact the EUR. A dovish tone may weaken the euro, while hawkish comments could support it.

Following this, at 13:30 ET, another Bundesbank official, Joachim Balz, will deliver remarks. Similar to Buch’s speech, Balz’s insights will be scrutinized for indications on the ECB’s stance, particularly in light of inflationary pressures within the Eurozone.

Later, at 20:30 ET, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will release its Meeting Minutes, providing crucial insights into the central bank’s recent policy decisions. Traders will look for any shifts in the RBA’s outlook that might affect the AUD.

Simultaneously, the NAB Business Confidence index for September will be released, which could further inform expectations regarding the Australian economy’s performance and impact AUD trading sentiment. Overall, these events could lead to increased volatility in the EUR and AUD, with potential spillover effects on other G7 currencies.

## G7 Currency Pairs Performance

Name Symbol Price Daily (%) 5D (%) 1W (%) 1M (%) 3M (%) 6M (%) YTD (%) 12M (%) MA50 MA100 MA200 RSI MACD
EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar EURUSD 1.1573 -0.2843 -0.7002 -1.1909 -1.3784 -0.7997 2.4824 11.21 5.8455 1.1692 1.1638 1.1213 22.41 -0.0026
USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen USDJPY 152.20 0.1784 0.0960 1.7319 3.3778 2.9805 6.2969 -3.0561 2.3490 148.14 146.90 148.24 68.93 1.1636
GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar GBPUSD 1.3334 -0.0675 -0.6484 -0.7430 -1.7871 -0.7004 0.7784 6.2546 2.0811 1.3474 1.3498 1.3165 36.00 -0.0036
USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc USDCHF 0.8047 0.2991 0.7651 0.9421 1.0993 0.8560 -1.9579 -10.9096 -6.0534 0.8007 0.8040 0.8393 70.83 0.0009
AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar AUDUSD 0.6515 0.2616 -0.9955 -1.1846 -2.2945 -0.4541 2.7943 4.7428 -3.3526 0.6555 0.6535 0.6420 35.42 -0.0002
USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar USDCAD 1.4017 0.1500 0.4601 0.3724 1.3250 2.2788 0.4299 -2.3192 1.9737 1.3839 1.3766 1.3982 83.99 0.0050
NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar NZDUSD 0.5726 -0.1047 -1.2368 -1.6943 -4.2123 -4.1176 -2.8750 1.5300 -6.0696 0.5878 0.5943 0.5847 26.41 -0.0037
DXY – US Dollar Index DXY 99.25 0.3316 0.3996 1.1569 1.7376 N/A N/A N/A N/A 98.05 98.05 98.05 69.67 0.3153

## Charts

G7_normalized_6m_20251013_1333 Chart

EUR_USD__Euro___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

USD_JPY__U.S._Dollar___Japanese_Yen_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

GBP_USD__British_Pound___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

USD_CHF__U.S._Dollar___Swiss_Franc_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

AUD_USD__Australian_Dollar___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

USD_CAD__U.S._Dollar___Canadian_Dollar_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

NZD_USD__New_Zealand_Dollar___U.S._Dollar_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

DXY__US_Dollar_Index_candlestick_20251013_1333 Chart

## Technical Analysis
In the current forex landscape, several G7 currency pairs exhibit notable technical signals that warrant attention.

Starting with the EUR/USD, the RSI at 22.41 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting potential for a corrective bounce. However, the MACD remains negative, reinforcing bearish momentum. The price is well below the MA50 and MA100, indicating a strong downtrend.

In contrast, the USD/JPY is approaching overbought territory with an RSI of 68.93. The positive MACD at 1.1636 supports bullish sentiment, but caution is advised as the RSI nears the 70 threshold. The price is above the MA50 and MA100, confirming upward momentum.

The USD/CHF shows an RSI of 70.83, indicating overbought conditions, while the MACD is slightly positive. Traders may look for a short-term pullback, especially as the price is near key resistance levels.

The USD/CAD, with an RSI of 83.99, is significantly overbought. This extreme reading, combined with a positive MACD, suggests a potential reversal or consolidation phase ahead.

The DXY, at 99.2450 with an RSI of 69.67, indicates strong bullish momentum but is approaching overbought territory. Traders should monitor these signals closely for potential trading opportunities and risk management strategies.

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