# FX Update: Geopolitical tensions ease, AUD rebounds as AUD/USD rises 0.29%
## Forex and Global News (Last 8 Hours)
In the last eight hours, forex markets reacted to a mix of geopolitical developments and economic indicators. The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounded above 0.6500 against the US Dollar (USD) as easing trade tensions improved market sentiment. Meanwhile, the GBP/JPY pair halted a two-day decline, stabilizing near 203.00 after reaching 15-month highs. The USD/JPY also recovered, moving above 152.00 as investors digested recent tariff headlines.
The Euro (EUR) faced selling pressure, with the EUR/USD trading around 1.1570 amid a risk-averse market environment. The US Dollar Index (DXY) reflected this sentiment, trading at 99.28, up by 0.3690%.
Additionally, President Trump’s comments on easing trade relations with China helped boost overall market confidence, contributing to a significant rebound in US equities. The Federal Reserve’s stance on potential rate cuts in 2025, as indicated by Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson, also influenced market dynamics. Overall, the forex market remains sensitive to geopolitical developments and economic signals as traders position themselves for upcoming events.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | 09:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 13:30 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Buba Balz Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 20:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | RBA Meeting Minutes | ||
| 2025-10-13 | 20:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | NAB Business Confidence (Sep) |
On October 13, 2025, key economic events are poised to influence G7 FX markets, particularly the Euro (EUR) and Australian Dollar (AUD).
At 09:00 ET, German Bundesbank Vice President Claudia Buch is scheduled to speak. Market participants will be closely monitoring her remarks for insights into the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy stance, especially in light of recent inflation trends. Any hints towards tightening or dovish sentiment could significantly affect the EUR.
Shortly after, at 13:30 ET, another speech by Bundesbank official Joachim Balz will occur. His comments could further shape expectations regarding the ECB’s future actions, potentially leading to increased volatility in the EUR.
Later in the day, at 20:30 ET, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Meeting Minutes will be released. Traders will analyze these minutes for indications of the RBA’s outlook on economic growth and inflation, which could impact the AUD. Additionally, the NAB Business Confidence index for September will be published at the same time, providing further context on the Australian economic landscape. Surprises in either report could lead to significant movements in the AUD against its G7 counterparts. Overall, these events are critical for gauging market sentiment and currency direction.
## G7 Currency Pairs Performance
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1573 | -0.2843 | -0.7002 | -1.1909 | -1.3784 | -0.7997 | 2.4824 | 11.21 | 5.8455 | 1.1692 | 1.1638 | 1.1213 | 22.41 | -0.0026 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 152.31 | 0.2514 | 0.1690 | 1.8061 | 3.4532 | 3.0556 | 6.3744 | -2.9854 | 2.4236 | 148.14 | 146.90 | 148.24 | 68.15 | 1.1528 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3333 | -0.0749 | -0.6558 | -0.7505 | -1.7945 | -0.7078 | 0.7708 | 6.2467 | 2.0734 | 1.3474 | 1.3498 | 1.3165 | 35.89 | -0.0036 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.8042 | 0.2368 | 0.7025 | 0.8793 | 1.0365 | 0.7934 | -2.0188 | -10.9650 | -6.1117 | 0.8006 | 0.8040 | 0.8393 | 69.56 | 0.0009 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6517 | 0.2924 | -0.9651 | -1.1543 | -2.2646 | -0.4235 | 2.8259 | 4.7749 | -3.3229 | 0.6555 | 0.6535 | 0.6420 | 35.67 | -0.0002 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.4033 | 0.2644 | 0.5748 | 0.4869 | 1.4407 | 2.3955 | 0.5445 | -2.2077 | 2.0901 | 1.3839 | 1.3766 | 1.3982 | 85.20 | 0.0051 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5729 | -0.0523 | -1.1851 | -1.6428 | -4.1621 | -4.0673 | -2.8241 | 1.5832 | -6.0203 | 0.5878 | 0.5943 | 0.5847 | 26.70 | -0.0036 |
| DXY – US Dollar Index | DXY | 99.28 | 0.3690 | 0.4370 | 1.1946 | 1.7755 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 98.05 | 98.05 | 98.05 | 69.89 | 0.3182 |
Analyzing the G7 currency pairs alongside the DXY reveals key technical signals that traders should consider.
Starting with the EUR/USD, the RSI at 22.41 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting potential for a corrective bounce. The MACD remains negative, reinforcing bearish momentum, while price is below all major moving averages, signaling a continuation of the downtrend.
In contrast, the USD/JPY is nearing overbought territory with an RSI of 68.15 and a positive MACD at 1.1528. This suggests bullish momentum, yet caution is warranted as the price approaches resistance levels.
The GBP/USD and AUD/USD both exhibit bearish tendencies, with RSIs of 35.89 and 35.67, respectively, and negative MACDs. Both pairs are positioned below their moving averages, indicating further downside potential.
The USD/CHF shows a similar narrative with an RSI of 69.56, hinting at overbought conditions, while the MACD is slightly positive.
The USD/CAD is notably strong, with an RSI of 85.20 and a bullish MACD, indicating robust upward momentum.
Finally, the DXY, with an RSI of 69.89 and a positive MACD, suggests ongoing strength in the U.S. dollar, presenting potential trading opportunities for dollar-denominated pairs. Monitoring these indicators closely will be crucial for informed trading decisions.
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