# Market Dips as Trump Approves TikTok Deal and Jobless Claims Fall Below Estimates
**Note**: This analysis is generated after US market close. Event times in US Eastern Time.
## Market Commentary
### Closing Bell: Overall Market Wrap-Up
As the trading day concluded, major U.S. indices faced a downward trend, extending their losses for a third consecutive day. The S&P 500 closed at 6,604.72, down 0.50%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.38% to 45,947.32. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also experienced a decline, closing at 24,397.31, down 0.43%. This bearish sentiment was largely attributed to a mix of economic data that raised concerns about the sustainability of the current economic recovery, alongside geopolitical developments that further complicated market dynamics.
### US Market: Performance of US Indices and Key Drivers
The U.S. market’s performance today was notably influenced by a series of economic indicators and corporate news. Initial jobless claims dropped to 218,000, significantly lower than the anticipated 235,000. This data point underscored the resilience of the labor market, yet investors remained cautious ahead of upcoming inflation data that could dictate Federal Reserve policy. The Fed’s independence was also called into question as President Trump sought to remove a member from the Board of Governors, further adding to market volatility.
Additionally, the announcement of a proposed deal to keep TikTok operational in the U.S. provided a flicker of optimism, but the overall sentiment was overshadowed by fears of inflation and potential government shutdowns. These factors collectively contributed to a cautious trading environment, with investors rebalancing their portfolios in anticipation of further economic developments.
### Stocks: Notable Stock Movements and Sector Highlights
In stock-specific movements, notable declines were observed across various sectors. The tech sector, which had been a strong performer, faced pressures as investors reassessed their positions. Companies such as Freeport-McMoRan saw significant price movements as copper prices surged due to supply concerns following a tragic accident at one of its key mines in Indonesia. Meanwhile, Mirion Technologies and CarMax also made headlines with notable stock fluctuations, reflecting broader market trends.
On the flip side, gold prices exhibited a rise, closing at $3,780.90, up 1.31%, as investors sought safe-haven assets amidst the prevailing uncertainty. This uptick in gold prices is indicative of a flight to safety as economic forecasts remain shaky.
### News from the World Geopolitics and Economy
Global geopolitical developments continued to influence market sentiment. President Trump’s approval of a deal to keep TikTok operational in the U.S. was seen as a move to alleviate tensions with China, though concerns over trade tariffs remained prevalent. The administration’s ongoing investigations into imports of robotics and medical devices could lead to fresh tariffs, further complicating U.S.-China trade relations.
Internationally, news from Canada highlighted fiscal challenges as the government projected widening deficits due to slow growth and planned spending measures. In Europe, economic data from the region indicated a mixed outlook, which may have contributed to the bearish sentiment observed in European indices.
### Europe Markets: Performance of European Indices and Influences
European markets mirrored the cautious sentiment seen in the U.S., with major indices such as the DAX, FTSE 100, and CAC 40 all closing lower. The DAX fell 0.56% to 23,534.83, while the FTSE 100 and CAC 40 dropped by 0.39% and 0.41%, respectively. Economic uncertainties, including potential impacts from a U.S. government shutdown and ongoing inflation concerns, weighed heavily on investor sentiment across the Atlantic.
In summary, today’s market activity reflected a complex interplay of economic data, geopolitical developments, and sector-specific movements. As investors brace for upcoming inflation reports and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy, the sentiment remains cautious, with many looking for clearer signals that could dictate the next direction for the markets.
## Performances
### Indices
| Index | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 6604.72 | -0.50 |
| Dow Jones | 45947.32 | -0.38 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 24397.31 | -0.43 |
| DAX | 23534.83 | -0.56 |
| FTSE 100 | 9213.98 | -0.39 |
| CAC 40 | 7795.42 | -0.41 |
### FX and Commodities
| Asset | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | -0.61 |
| USD/JPY | 149.78 | 0.67 |
| GBP/USD | 1.33 | -0.78 |
| XAU/USD | 3780.90 | 1.31 |
| Crude Oil | 65.21 | 0.34 |
## Today’s Major Economic Events Summary
On September 25, 2025, significant economic data influenced market sentiment. The GfK German Consumer Climate index unexpectedly improved to -22.3, surpassing the forecast of -23.3, indicating slightly more optimism among German consumers, which may support the Euro. In the U.S., key economic indicators were released, with GDP growth for Q2 coming in at 3.8%, exceeding expectations of 3.3%. Additionally, Core Durable Goods Orders rose by 0.4%, contrasting with a forecasted decline of -0.1%. Initial Jobless Claims also fell to 218K, below the anticipated 233K, signaling a robust labor market.
These positive U.S. figures could bolster the dollar, while the better-than-expected German consumer sentiment may provide some support for the Euro. The Swiss National Bank maintained its interest rate at 0.00% during its Q3 assessment, providing stability in the Franc. Overall, these developments suggest a mixed outlook
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | GfK German Consumer Climate (Oct) | -22.3 | -23.3 |
| 2025-09-25 | 03:30 | 🇨🇭 | High | SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q3) | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 2025-09-25 | 03:30 | 🇨🇭 | Medium | SNB Monetary Policy Assessment | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 04:00 | 🇨🇭 | Medium | SNB Press Conference | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 04:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB Economic Bulletin | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1,926K | 1,930K |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) | 0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Core PCE Prices (Q2) | 2.60% | 2.50% |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) | 2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q2) | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Goods Trade Balance (Aug) | -85.50B | -95.70B |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Initial Jobless Claims | 218K | 233K |
| 2025-09-25 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug) | 0.3% | |
| 2025-09-25 | 09:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | High | Existing Home Sales (Aug) | 4.00M | 3.96M |
| 2025-09-25 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Aug) | -0.2% | |
| 2025-09-25 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 13:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | 7-Year Note Auction | 3.953% | |
| 2025-09-25 | 13:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-25 | 16:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed’s Balance Sheet | 6,608B | |
| 2025-09-25 | 19:30 | 🇯🇵 | Medium | Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.8% |





