Mastercard Incorporated: EPS Misses but Shares drops 1.1%
Ticker: MA
Current Price: $547.64
-1.09%
on October 31, 2025
Mastercard, Inc., founded in November 1966 and headquartered in Purchase, NY, is a leading technology company specializing in payment solutions. It provides a range of services, including credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial payment programs under well-known brands such as Mastercard, Maestro, and Cirrus. Additionally, Mastercard offers advanced cyber and intelligence solutions, enhancing security and efficiency in financial transactions.
📰 Recent Developments
Mastercard reported robust second-quarter financial results, with net revenue increasing 11% year-over-year to $6.96 billion and net income rising 15% to $2.87 billion. Earnings per diluted share grew 18% to $3.00, driven by strong transaction volumes and cross-border growth.
The company launched Open Banking APIs to enhance secure data sharing for financial institutions, enabling faster payment processing and fraud detection. Mastercard also updated its City Key digital ID solution, expanding compatibility with mobile wallets for seamless urban transactions.
In strategic moves, Mastercard formed a partnership with Microsoft to integrate AI-driven fraud prevention into Azure cloud services. It acquired a minority stake in a fintech firm specializing in embedded finance for e-commerce platforms.
Regulatory developments included approval from the European Commission for its sustainability-linked financing framework. Operationally, Mastercard expanded its data centers in Asia-Pacific to support rising digital payment demands. No management changes were announced.
📊 Earnings Report Summary
Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA) reported strong Q3 2025 financial results, with net income rising 20% to $3.9 billion and diluted earnings per share (EPS) increasing 23% to $4.34 compared to Q3 2024. Adjusted net income grew 10% to $4.0 billion, while adjusted diluted EPS rose 13% to $4.38. Net revenue reached $8.6 billion, a 17% increase year-over-year, driven by a 9% growth in gross dollar volume to $2.7 trillion and a 15% rise in cross-border volume. Operating income surged 26% to $5.1 billion, with an operating margin of 58.8%. Year-to-date, total net revenue for 2025 stands at $24.0 billion, up 16%, and net income at $10.9 billion, a 14% increase. The company returned value to shareholders with $687 million in dividends and $3.3 billion in share repurchases during the quarter, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns amidst robust operational performance.
📈 Technical Analysis

Daily Price Change: -1.09%
Technical Indicators
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Price | $546.75 |
| Daily Change | -1.25% |
| MA20 | $565.31 |
| MA50 | $575.80 |
| MA200 | $559.24 |
| 52W High | $600.98 |
| 52W Low | $463.61 |
| % from 52W High | -9.02% |
| % from 52W Low | 17.93% |
| YTD % | 5.26% |
| BB Position | -0.36% |
| RSI | 34.47 |
| MACD | -4.66 |
The current price of $546.75 reflects a daily decline of approximately 1.25%. This positions the stock nearly 9% below its 52-week high of $600.98, while still maintaining a 17.93% increase from its 52-week low of $463.61. The stock is trading below its 20-day moving average (MA20) of $565.31, the 50-day MA of $575.80, and the 200-day MA of $559.24, indicating a bearish trend.
Bollinger Bands show the price nearing the lower band at $546.88, suggesting a potential support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 34.47 indicates the stock is approaching oversold conditions, while the MACD of -4.66 confirms downward momentum. Overall, the technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock appears to be in a bearish phase with potential for a rebound if it finds support near the lower Bollinger Band.
💰 Earnings History
| Earnings Date | EPS Estimate | Reported EPS | Surprise(%) | Event Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-01 | 3.57 | 3.73 | 4.45 | Earnings |
| 2025-01-30 | 3.69 | 3.82 | 3.4 | Earnings |
| 2024-10-31 | 3.74 | 3.89 | 3.99 | Earnings |
| 2024-07-31 | 3.51 | 3.59 | 2.16 | Earnings |
| 2024-05-01 | 3.24 | 3.31 | 2.27 | Earnings |
| 2024-01-31 | 3.08 | 3.18 | 3.13 | Earnings |
| 2023-10-26 | 3.21 | 3.39 | 5.66 | Earnings |
| 2023-07-27 | 2.82 | 2.89 | 2.3 | Earnings |
The earnings data reveals a positive trend in Earnings Per Share (EPS) for the company over the recent quarters. The reported EPS consistently surpasses the estimates, indicating a strong performance relative to market expectations. Notably, the company has shown a significant upward trajectory, with the EPS increasing from 2.89 in July 2023 to 3.73 in May 2025.
The surprise percentage, which reflects how much the reported EPS exceeded the estimates, also illustrates this trend. The surprises range from 2.16% to 5.66%, suggesting that the company is not only meeting but often exceeding expectations, which can enhance investor confidence.
Furthermore, the steady growth in reported EPS over the periods analyzed indicates a robust operational performance and potentially effective management strategies. This trend, if continued, may lead to a favorable outlook for future earnings, positioning the company well in the market and possibly driving stock price appreciation.
💵 Dividend History
| Date | Dividend |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | 0.76 |
| 2025-07-09 | 0.76 |
| 2025-04-09 | 0.76 |
| 2025-01-10 | 0.76 |
| 2024-10-09 | 0.66 |
| 2024-07-09 | 0.66 |
| 2024-04-08 | 0.66 |
| 2024-01-08 | 0.66 |
The recent dividend data reveals a notable trend of increasing stability and predictability in dividend payouts. The consistent dividend of $0.76 per share in 2025, following a slightly lower rate of $0.66 in 2024, suggests a positive trajectory for the company’s financial health. This upward movement is indicative of management’s confidence in sustaining earnings and cash flow, which is essential for maintaining investor trust and attracting new capital.
The consistent quarterly dividends point to a strategic approach aimed at reinforcing shareholder value, particularly in a climate where many companies are cautious about their cash distributions. This trend could reflect broader market dynamics, where investors are increasingly favoring companies that demonstrate reliable returns amid economic uncertainty. As companies navigate challenges such as inflation and fluctuating interest rates, maintaining or growing dividends will likely remain a key focus for those looking to enhance shareholder loyalty and market competitiveness.
⭐ Analyst Ratings
| Date | Status | Outer | Rating | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 00:00:00 | Initiated | Citigroup | Buy | $735 |
| 2025-10-22 00:00:00 | Initiated | Wells Fargo | Overweight | $669 |
| 2025-07-17 00:00:00 | Resumed | Deutsche Bank | Buy | |
| 2025-07-14 00:00:00 | Upgrade | Seaport Research Partners | Neutral → Buy | $616 |
Recent rating changes reflect a generally optimistic outlook for the stocks in question, as major financial institutions initiate and upgrade their positions. Citigroup and Wells Fargo both initiated coverage with strong ratings—’Buy’ and ‘Overweight’, respectively—indicating confidence in future performance. Citigroup’s initiation at a price of $735 suggests a belief in significant upside potential, while Wells Fargo’s $669 target also signals a positive sentiment.
Additionally, Deutsche Bank’s resumption of a ‘Buy’ rating reinforces the stock’s attractiveness, suggesting that previous concerns may have been alleviated or that market conditions have improved. Seaport Research Partners’ upgrade from ‘Neutral’ to ‘Buy’ further emphasizes a shift in sentiment, indicating that the stock has gained enough momentum to warrant a more favorable assessment.
Overall, these rating changes suggest a bullish trend, with analysts anticipating growth and improved performance in the near future, which could attract both institutional and retail investors.
Disclaimer
The content on MarketsFN.com is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. All investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and should conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before acting. MarketsFN.com and its authors are not liable for any losses or damages arising from your use of this information.




