US Futures Dip as Government Shutdown Looms and Market Sentiment Wavers

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# US Futures Dip as Government Shutdown Looms and Market Sentiment Wavers

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global markets exhibited mixed sentiment amid ongoing political and economic developments. U.S. futures showed slight declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.10%, Dow futures down 0.10%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.07%, as investors brace for a potential government shutdown. This uncertainty has raised concerns about overheating and stretched valuations in the stock market.

In Europe, indices displayed resilience, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.18%, DAX up 0.32%, CAC 40 up 0.05%, and FTSE 100 up 0.27%. European stocks are set for their best September performance in six years, buoyed by optimism surrounding U.S. economic growth and lower interest rates.

The Japanese Nikkei fell slightly, down 0.19%. In commodities, gold prices reached an all-time high before paring gains, reflecting safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty.

In currency markets, the yuan’s trading volume surged, nearing that of the British pound, signaling its rising global significance. CoreWeave’s stock climbed 10% following a substantial AI infrastructure deal with Meta, showcasing the growing importance of AI in finance. Overall, investor sentiment remains cautious as they navigate a landscape marked

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6706.50 -0.10
Dow Futures 46556.00 -0.11
Nasdaq Futures 24825.25 -0.07

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6661.71 0.00
Dow Jones 46316.71 0.02
Nasdaq 100 24611.66 -0.08

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 -0.04
USD/JPY 148.03 -0.38
GBP/USD 1.34 -0.12
USD/CHF 0.80 0.10
USD/CAD 1.39 0.11
AUD/USD 0.66 0.53
NZD/USD 0.58 0.24

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 62.52 -0.93
Gold 3843.50 -1.27
Silver 46.33 -1.98
Natural Gas 3.33 1.50

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 113332.23 -0.92
Ethereum 4163.00 -1.29

## High-Importance Economic Events

On September 30, 2025, several key economic events are poised to influence market dynamics, particularly in the currency markets.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its interest rate at 3.60%, aligning with expectations, which may stabilize the Australian dollar (AUD) in the near term.

In the UK, the GDP results for Q2 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 1.4% against a forecast of 1.2%. This positive surprise, alongside a smaller-than-expected decline in business investment (-1.1% vs. -4.0% forecast), may bolster the British pound (GBP). However, the current account deficit widened to Β£28.9 billion, exceeding the forecast, which could temper bullish sentiment.

In the Eurozone, disappointing German retail sales (-0.2% vs. 0.6% forecast) and a rise in unemployment (14K vs. 8K forecast) may weigh on the euro (EUR). Conversely, German CPI data showed a slight increase, which may provide some support.

In the U.S., key indicators such as the Chicago PMI and consumer confidence will be closely monitored, with expectations for further insights into economic health.

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-30 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί High RBA Interest Rate Decision (Oct) 3.60% 3.60%
2025-09-30 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Medium RBA Rate Statement
2025-09-30 02:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Medium Business Investment (QoQ) (Q2) -1.1% -4.0%
2025-09-30 02:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Medium Current Account (Q2) -28.9B -24.8B
2025-09-30 02:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ High GDP (YoY) (Q2) 1.4% 1.2%
2025-09-30 02:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ High GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.3% 0.3%
2025-09-30 02:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) -0.2% 0.6%
2025-09-30 02:45 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Aug) 0.1% 0.3%
2025-09-30 02:45 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium French CPI (MoM) (Sep) -1.0% -0.9%
2025-09-30 02:45 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium French HICP (MoM) (Sep) -1.1% -0.9%
2025-09-30 03:00 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Medium KOF Leading Indicators (Sep) 98.0 97.1
2025-09-30 03:55 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German Unemployment Change (Sep) 14K 8K
2025-09-30 03:55 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German Unemployment Rate (Sep) 6.3% 6.3%
2025-09-30 05:30 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German Buba Balz Speaks
2025-09-30 07:30 πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Medium Gross Debt-to-GDP ratio (MoM) (Aug) 77.5% 78.0%
2025-09-30 08:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Medium MPC Member Ramsden Speaks
2025-09-30 08:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί High German CPI (MoM) (Sep) 0.2% 0.2%
2025-09-30 08:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German CPI (YoY) (Sep) 2.4% 2.3%
2025-09-30 08:00 πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Medium Unemployment Rate (Aug) 5.6% 5.6%
2025-09-30 08:50 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2025-09-30 09:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Medium S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 n.s.a. (MoM) (Jul) -0.3%
2025-09-30 09:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Medium S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Jul) 1.8% 1.7%
2025-09-30 09:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium ECB’s Elderson Speaks
2025-09-30 09:25 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Medium BoE MPC Member Mann Speaks
2025-09-30 09:45 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ High Chicago PMI (Sep) 43.4
2025-09-30 10:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ High CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) 96.0
2025-09-30 10:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ High JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) 7.190M
2025-09-30 11:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ High U.S. President Trump Speaks
2025-09-30 13:00 πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Medium German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2025-09-30 16:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Medium API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
2025-09-30 19:50 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Medium Tankan All Big Industry CAPEX (Q3)
2025-09-30 19:50 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Medium Tankan Big Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q3) 13
2025-09-30 19:50 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Medium Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q3) 14
2025-09-30 19:50 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Medium Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index (Q3) 33