# US Futures Dip as Government Shutdown Looms and Market Sentiment Wavers
**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.
## Major News
Global markets exhibited mixed sentiment amid ongoing political and economic developments. U.S. futures showed slight declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.10%, Dow futures down 0.10%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.07%, as investors brace for a potential government shutdown. This uncertainty has raised concerns about overheating and stretched valuations in the stock market.
In Europe, indices displayed resilience, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.18%, DAX up 0.32%, CAC 40 up 0.05%, and FTSE 100 up 0.27%. European stocks are set for their best September performance in six years, buoyed by optimism surrounding U.S. economic growth and lower interest rates.
The Japanese Nikkei fell slightly, down 0.19%. In commodities, gold prices reached an all-time high before paring gains, reflecting safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty.
In currency markets, the yuanβs trading volume surged, nearing that of the British pound, signaling its rising global significance. CoreWeaveβs stock climbed 10% following a substantial AI infrastructure deal with Meta, showcasing the growing importance of AI in finance. Overall, investor sentiment remains cautious as they navigate a landscape marked
## Performances
### US Futures
US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.
| Future | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 6706.50 | -0.10 |
| Dow Futures | 46556.00 | -0.11 |
| Nasdaq Futures | 24825.25 | -0.07 |
### Major US Indices (Previous Close)
| Index | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 6661.71 | 0.00 |
| Dow Jones | 46316.71 | 0.02 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 24611.66 | -0.08 |
### FX Performance
| Currency Pair | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | -0.04 |
| USD/JPY | 148.03 | -0.38 |
| GBP/USD | 1.34 | -0.12 |
| USD/CHF | 0.80 | 0.10 |
| USD/CAD | 1.39 | 0.11 |
| AUD/USD | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| NZD/USD | 0.58 | 0.24 |
### Commodities Performance
| Commodity | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | 62.52 | -0.93 |
| Gold | 3843.50 | -1.27 |
| Silver | 46.33 | -1.98 |
| Natural Gas | 3.33 | 1.50 |
### BTC and ETH Performance
| Crypto | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 113332.23 | -0.92 |
| Ethereum | 4163.00 | -1.29 |
## High-Importance Economic Events
On September 30, 2025, several key economic events are poised to influence market dynamics, particularly in the currency markets.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained its interest rate at 3.60%, aligning with expectations, which may stabilize the Australian dollar (AUD) in the near term.
In the UK, the GDP results for Q2 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 1.4% against a forecast of 1.2%. This positive surprise, alongside a smaller-than-expected decline in business investment (-1.1% vs. -4.0% forecast), may bolster the British pound (GBP). However, the current account deficit widened to Β£28.9 billion, exceeding the forecast, which could temper bullish sentiment.
In the Eurozone, disappointing German retail sales (-0.2% vs. 0.6% forecast) and a rise in unemployment (14K vs. 8K forecast) may weigh on the euro (EUR). Conversely, German CPI data showed a slight increase, which may provide some support.
In the U.S., key indicators such as the Chicago PMI and consumer confidence will be closely monitored, with expectations for further insights into economic health.
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | 00:30 | π¦πΊ | High | RBA Interest Rate Decision (Oct) | 3.60% | 3.60% |
| 2025-09-30 | 00:30 | π¦πΊ | Medium | RBA Rate Statement | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 02:00 | π¬π§ | Medium | Business Investment (QoQ) (Q2) | -1.1% | -4.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:00 | π¬π§ | Medium | Current Account (Q2) | -28.9B | -24.8B |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:00 | π¬π§ | High | GDP (YoY) (Q2) | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:00 | π¬π§ | High | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:00 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) | -0.2% | 0.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:45 | πͺπΊ | Medium | French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Aug) | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:45 | πͺπΊ | Medium | French CPI (MoM) (Sep) | -1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 02:45 | πͺπΊ | Medium | French HICP (MoM) (Sep) | -1.1% | -0.9% |
| 2025-09-30 | 03:00 | π¨π | Medium | KOF Leading Indicators (Sep) | 98.0 | 97.1 |
| 2025-09-30 | 03:55 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German Unemployment Change (Sep) | 14K | 8K |
| 2025-09-30 | 03:55 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German Unemployment Rate (Sep) | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 05:30 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German Buba Balz Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 07:30 | π§π· | Medium | Gross Debt-to-GDP ratio (MoM) (Aug) | 77.5% | 78.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 08:00 | π¬π§ | Medium | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 08:00 | πͺπΊ | High | German CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2025-09-30 | 08:00 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 08:00 | π§π· | Medium | Unemployment Rate (Aug) | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 08:50 | πͺπΊ | Medium | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 09:00 | πΊπΈ | Medium | S&P/CS HPI Composite β 20 n.s.a. (MoM) (Jul) | -0.3% | |
| 2025-09-30 | 09:00 | πΊπΈ | Medium | S&P/CS HPI Composite β 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Jul) | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 09:00 | πͺπΊ | Medium | ECBβs Elderson Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 09:25 | π¬π§ | Medium | BoE MPC Member Mann Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 09:45 | πΊπΈ | High | Chicago PMI (Sep) | 43.4 | |
| 2025-09-30 | 10:00 | πΊπΈ | High | CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) | 96.0 | |
| 2025-09-30 | 10:00 | πΊπΈ | High | JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) | 7.190M | |
| 2025-09-30 | 11:00 | πΊπΈ | High | U.S. President Trump Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 13:00 | πͺπΊ | Medium | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 16:30 | πΊπΈ | Medium | API Weekly Crude Oil Stock | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 19:50 | π―π΅ | Medium | Tankan All Big Industry CAPEX (Q3) | ||
| 2025-09-30 | 19:50 | π―π΅ | Medium | Tankan Big Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q3) | 13 | |
| 2025-09-30 | 19:50 | π―π΅ | Medium | Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q3) | 14 | |
| 2025-09-30 | 19:50 | π―π΅ | Medium | Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index (Q3) | 33 |





