US Premarket Report Futures Edge Up as Carlyle Warns of Weak Job Growth

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# US Premarket Report: Futures Edge Up as Carlyle Warns of Weak Job Growth and Trilogy Metals Surges 250%

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Todayโ€™s global market news reflects cautious sentiment amid ongoing budget negotiations in the U.S. The anticipated jobs report was absent due to the government shutdown, with Carlyleโ€™s analysis suggesting a meager job growth of only 17,000 in September, raising concerns about economic momentum.

U.S. futures indicate a slight upward trend, with S&P 500 futures up 0.12%, Dow futures rising 0.28%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 0.17%. In Europe, major indices also showed modest gains, with the FTSE 100 up 0.26% and the CAC 40 rising 0.20%. However, the Nikkei fell 0.75%, reflecting regional market pressures.

In notable corporate news, Trilogy Metals shares surged over 250% in premarket trading following the U.S. governmentโ€™s investment in the minerals explorer. Meanwhile, Intercontinental Exchange gained over 3% after announcing a $2 billion stake in prediction market Polymarket, potentially revitalizing its U.S. operations.

Overall, market sentiment remains mixed as investors navigate geopolitical uncertainties and anticipate further developments in U.S. fiscal policy.

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6790.75 0.12
Dow Futures 46983.00 0.28
Nasdaq Futures 25211.50 0.17

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6740.29 0.10
Dow Jones 46693.49 -0.18
Nasdaq 100 24976.26 -0.03

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 -0.44
USD/JPY 150.93 0.41
GBP/USD 1.34 -0.57
USD/CHF 0.80 0.44
USD/CAD 1.40 0.10
AUD/USD 0.66 -0.54
NZD/USD 0.58 -0.62

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 61.67 -0.36
Gold 3988.80 0.36
Silver 48.37 -0.04
Natural Gas 3.39 0.44

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 124485.88 -0.19
Ethereum 4701.33 0.30

## High-Importance Economic Events

On October 7, 2025, several key economic events are expected to influence currency markets significantly.

The Halifax House Price Index for the UK showed a surprising decline of 0.3% month-over-month in September, against a forecast of 0.2%, and a year-over-year increase of just 1.3%, well below the expected 2.2%. This negative data could pressure the GBP as it reflects potential weaknesses in the UK housing market.

In the Eurozone, German factory orders fell by 0.8% in August, diverging sharply from the anticipated growth of 1.2%. This disappointing figure may weigh on the EUR, indicating potential economic slowdown.

For Canada, the trade balance reported a deficit of CAD 6.32 billion, wider than the forecast of CAD 5.70 billion, which could negatively impact the CAD. The Ivey PMI data is also due, with expectations set at 51.2, which could further influence CAD sentiment.

In the US, speeches from FOMC members are anticipated to provide insights into future monetary policy, particularly as the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast for Q3 stands at 3.8%. This could bolster the USD if growth expectations remain robust.

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-10-07 02:00 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Medium Halifax House Price Index (MoM) (Sep) -0.3% 0.2%
2025-10-07 02:00 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Medium Halifax House Price Index (YoY) (Sep) 1.3% 2.2%
2025-10-07 02:00 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium German Factory Orders (MoM) (Aug) -0.8% 1.2%
2025-10-07 04:30 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Medium Mortgage Rate (GBP) (Sep) 6.78%
2025-10-07 08:30 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Medium Trade Balance (Aug) -6.32B -5.70B
2025-10-07 10:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium FOMC Member Bostic Speaks
2025-10-07 10:00 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Medium Ivey PMI (Sep) 51.2
2025-10-07 10:05 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
2025-10-07 11:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium NY Fed 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectations (Se
2025-10-07 11:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2025-10-07 12:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
2025-10-07 12:00 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium German Buba President Nagel Speaks
2025-10-07 12:10 ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Medium ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2025-10-07 13:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium 3-Year Note Auction
2025-10-07 13:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 3.8%
2025-10-07 15:00 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium Consumer Credit (Aug) 12.90B
2025-10-07 16:30 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medium API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
2025-10-07 19:50 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Medium Adjusted Current Account (Aug) 2.45T
2025-10-07 19:50 ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Medium Current Account n.s.a. (Aug) 3.540T
2025-10-07 20:30 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Medium Building Approvals (MoM) (Aug) -6.0%
2025-10-07 20:30 ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Medium NAB Business Confidence (Sep)
2025-10-07 21:00 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ High RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 2.75%
2025-10-07 21:00 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Medium RBNZ Rate Statement