US Premarket Update Core Inflation Hits 2.9% as Futures Dip Ahead of Key Fed Hearing

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# US Premarket Update: Core Inflation Hits 2.9% as Futures Dip Ahead of Key Fed Hearing

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global market sentiment is mixed today as key economic indicators and political developments influence trading. U.S. futures show slight declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.15%, Dow futures down 0.05%, and Nasdaq futures decreasing by 0.26%. Core inflation in the U.S. rose to 2.9% in July, the highest since February, which has heightened market anxiety ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision-making regarding interest rates.

In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.07%, while the DAX is up 0.32%, reflecting a divergence in sentiment. The German inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 2.1% in August, raising concerns about the impact of inflation on growth. The FTSE 100 and CAC 40 also saw minor declines.

The Nikkei in Japan edged up by 0.05%, showing resilience amidst global uncertainties.

Additionally, the end of the ‘de minimis’ exemption has sparked panic in the retail sector, while the Fed’s Waller hinted at potential rate cuts if labor market conditions worsen. Earnings reports remain pending, which could further influence market dynamics. Overall, traders are cautious as they navigate inflation data and political developments.

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6501.25 -0.15
Dow Futures 45616.00 -0.05
Nasdaq Futures 23661.50 -0.26

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6502.31 0.28
Dow Jones 45640.67 0.13
Nasdaq 100 23704.69 0.35

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 -0.13
USD/JPY 147.31 0.19
GBP/USD 1.35 -0.40
USD/CHF 0.80 0.05
USD/CAD 1.38 0.17
AUD/USD 0.65 -0.02
NZD/USD 0.59 0.10

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 64.42 0.34
Gold 3477.90 0.22
Silver 39.65 0.30
Natural Gas 2.95 -0.81

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 110646.48 -1.71
Ethereum 4397.76 -2.54

## High-Importance Economic Events

On August 29, 2025, key economic indicators influenced market sentiments, particularly concerning the SEK and EUR currencies.

Sweden’s GDP data revealed a robust annual growth of 1.4% for Q2, significantly surpassing the forecast of 0.9%. The quarterly GDP also outperformed expectations at 0.5% versus a 0.1% forecast, suggesting resilience in the Swedish economy, likely strengthening the SEK against major currencies.

In the Eurozone, German retail sales fell sharply by 1.5% in July, contrary to expectations of stability at 0.0%, indicating potential consumer weakness. Conversely, French GDP growth exceeded expectations at 0.8% YoY, compared to a forecast of 0.7%, while French CPI showed a slight miss at 0.4% MoM versus 0.5%. These mixed signals may create volatility in the EUR.

U.S. economic data also played a crucial role, with the Core PCE Price Index aligning with forecasts, while the Goods Trade Balance reported a larger deficit than anticipated at -$103.6 billion. The upcoming Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer Sentiment surveys will further inform market expectations, particularly for the USD. Overall, today

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-08-29 02:00 Medium GDP (YoY) (Q2) 1.4% 0.9%
2025-08-29 02:00 Medium GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.5% 0.1%
2025-08-29 02:00 🇪🇺 Medium German Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) -1.5% 0.0%
2025-08-29 02:45 🇪🇺 Medium French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Jul) -0.3% -0.3%
2025-08-29 02:45 🇪🇺 Medium French CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.4% 0.5%
2025-08-29 02:45 🇪🇺 Medium French GDP (YoY) (Q2) 0.8% 0.7%
2025-08-29 02:45 🇪🇺 Medium French GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.3% 0.3%
2025-08-29 02:45 🇪🇺 Medium French HICP (MoM) (Aug) 0.5% 0.5%
2025-08-29 03:00 🇪🇺 Medium Spanish CPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.7% 2.8%
2025-08-29 03:00 🇪🇺 Medium Spanish HICP (YoY) (Aug) 2.7% 2.7%
2025-08-29 03:55 🇪🇺 Medium German Unemployment Change (Aug) -9K 10K
2025-08-29 03:55 🇪🇺 Medium German Unemployment Rate (Aug) 6.3% 6.3%
2025-08-29 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium ECB’s De Guindos Speaks
2025-08-29 06:30 🇮🇳 Medium GDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q1) 7.8% 6.6%
2025-08-29 07:30 🇧🇷 Medium Gross Debt-to-GDP ratio (MoM) (Jul) 77.6% 77.0%
2025-08-29 08:00 🇪🇺 Medium German CPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.2% 2.1%
2025-08-29 08:00 🇪🇺 High German CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.1% 0.0%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 High Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% 0.3%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 High Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 2.9% 2.9%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Goods Trade Balance (Jul) -103.60B -90.20B
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) 2.6% 2.6%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium PCE price index (MoM) (Jul) 0.2% 0.2%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Personal Spending (MoM) (Jul) 0.5% 0.5%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jul) 0.1%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium GDP (QoQ) (Q2) -0.4%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium GDP (MoM) (Jun) -0.1% 0.1%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium GDP (YoY) (Q2) 1.21%
2025-08-29 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium GDP Annualized (QoQ) (Q2) -1.6% -0.6%
2025-08-29 08:31 🇨🇦 Medium GDP (MoM) (Jul) 0.1%
2025-08-29 09:45 🇺🇸 High Chicago PMI (Aug) 46.6
2025-08-29 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Aug) 4.9%
2025-08-29 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Aug) 3.9%
2025-08-29 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Michigan Consumer Expectations (Aug) 57.2
2025-08-29 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug) 58.6
2025-08-29 11:30 🇺🇸 Medium Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 2.2%
2025-08-29 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 408
2025-08-29 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count
2025-08-29 15:30 🇬🇧 Medium CFTC GBP speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇺🇸 Medium CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇺🇸 Medium CFTC Gold speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇺🇸 Medium CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇺🇸 Medium CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇦🇺 Medium CFTC AUD speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇧🇷 Medium CFTC BRL speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇯🇵 Medium CFTC JPY speculative net positions
2025-08-29 15:30 🇪🇺 Medium CFTC EUR speculative net positions