# US Premarket Update: Core Inflation Hits 2.9% as Futures Dip Ahead of Key Fed Hearing
**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.
## Major News
Global market sentiment is mixed today as key economic indicators and political developments influence trading. U.S. futures show slight declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.15%, Dow futures down 0.05%, and Nasdaq futures decreasing by 0.26%. Core inflation in the U.S. rose to 2.9% in July, the highest since February, which has heightened market anxiety ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision-making regarding interest rates.
In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.07%, while the DAX is up 0.32%, reflecting a divergence in sentiment. The German inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 2.1% in August, raising concerns about the impact of inflation on growth. The FTSE 100 and CAC 40 also saw minor declines.
The Nikkei in Japan edged up by 0.05%, showing resilience amidst global uncertainties.
Additionally, the end of the ‘de minimis’ exemption has sparked panic in the retail sector, while the Fed’s Waller hinted at potential rate cuts if labor market conditions worsen. Earnings reports remain pending, which could further influence market dynamics. Overall, traders are cautious as they navigate inflation data and political developments.
## Performances
### US Futures
US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.
| Future | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 6501.25 | -0.15 |
| Dow Futures | 45616.00 | -0.05 |
| Nasdaq Futures | 23661.50 | -0.26 |
### Major US Indices (Previous Close)
| Index | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 6502.31 | 0.28 |
| Dow Jones | 45640.67 | 0.13 |
| Nasdaq 100 | 23704.69 | 0.35 |
### FX Performance
| Currency Pair | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.17 | -0.13 |
| USD/JPY | 147.31 | 0.19 |
| GBP/USD | 1.35 | -0.40 |
| USD/CHF | 0.80 | 0.05 |
| USD/CAD | 1.38 | 0.17 |
| AUD/USD | 0.65 | -0.02 |
| NZD/USD | 0.59 | 0.10 |
### Commodities Performance
| Commodity | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | 64.42 | 0.34 |
| Gold | 3477.90 | 0.22 |
| Silver | 39.65 | 0.30 |
| Natural Gas | 2.95 | -0.81 |
### BTC and ETH Performance
| Crypto | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 110646.48 | -1.71 |
| Ethereum | 4397.76 | -2.54 |
## High-Importance Economic Events
On August 29, 2025, key economic indicators influenced market sentiments, particularly concerning the SEK and EUR currencies.
Sweden’s GDP data revealed a robust annual growth of 1.4% for Q2, significantly surpassing the forecast of 0.9%. The quarterly GDP also outperformed expectations at 0.5% versus a 0.1% forecast, suggesting resilience in the Swedish economy, likely strengthening the SEK against major currencies.
In the Eurozone, German retail sales fell sharply by 1.5% in July, contrary to expectations of stability at 0.0%, indicating potential consumer weakness. Conversely, French GDP growth exceeded expectations at 0.8% YoY, compared to a forecast of 0.7%, while French CPI showed a slight miss at 0.4% MoM versus 0.5%. These mixed signals may create volatility in the EUR.
U.S. economic data also played a crucial role, with the Core PCE Price Index aligning with forecasts, while the Goods Trade Balance reported a larger deficit than anticipated at -$103.6 billion. The upcoming Chicago PMI and Michigan Consumer Sentiment surveys will further inform market expectations, particularly for the USD. Overall, today
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-29 | 02:00 | Medium | GDP (YoY) (Q2) | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:00 | Medium | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) | -1.5% | 0.0% |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:45 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Jul) | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:45 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | French CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:45 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | French GDP (YoY) (Q2) | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:45 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | French GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 2025-08-29 | 02:45 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | French HICP (MoM) (Aug) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 2025-08-29 | 03:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Spanish CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| 2025-08-29 | 03:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Spanish HICP (YoY) (Aug) | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| 2025-08-29 | 03:55 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Unemployment Change (Aug) | -9K | 10K |
| 2025-08-29 | 03:55 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Unemployment Rate (Aug) | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 2025-08-29 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB’s De Guindos Speaks | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 06:30 | 🇮🇳 | Medium | GDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q1) | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| 2025-08-29 | 07:30 | 🇧🇷 | Medium | Gross Debt-to-GDP ratio (MoM) (Jul) | 77.6% | 77.0% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Goods Trade Balance (Jul) | -103.60B | -90.20B |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | PCE price index (MoM) (Jul) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Personal Spending (MoM) (Jul) | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jul) | 0.1% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | -0.4% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | GDP (MoM) (Jun) | -0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | GDP (YoY) (Q2) | 1.21% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | GDP Annualized (QoQ) (Q2) | -1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2025-08-29 | 08:31 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | GDP (MoM) (Jul) | 0.1% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 09:45 | 🇺🇸 | High | Chicago PMI (Aug) | 46.6 | |
| 2025-08-29 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Aug) | 4.9% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Aug) | 3.9% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Michigan Consumer Expectations (Aug) | 57.2 | |
| 2025-08-29 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug) | 58.6 | |
| 2025-08-29 | 11:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) | 2.2% | |
| 2025-08-29 | 13:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 408 | |
| 2025-08-29 | 13:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | CFTC Gold speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | CFTC AUD speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇧🇷 | Medium | CFTC BRL speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇯🇵 | Medium | CFTC JPY speculative net positions | ||
| 2025-08-29 | 15:30 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | CFTC EUR speculative net positions |





