# US Session Premarket: US Futures Up; Companies from Stanley Black & Decker to Tesla Warn of Tariff Costs Amid Global
**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.
## Major News
### Market Reactions and Stock Movements
As the U.S. premarket session unfolds, futures are indicating a modest opening for the major indices. The S&P 500 futures are up 0.12% at 6,413.50, while the Nasdaq futures show a slightly stronger gain of 0.22% at 23,503.75. Dow futures are indicating a more subdued opening, up just 0.04% at 44,833.00.
Across the Atlantic, European markets opened with mixed results. The DAX is up 0.18% at 24,261.66, and the EURO STOXX 50 has gained 0.22%, reaching 5,390.88. However, the FTSE 100 is in the red, down 0.30% at 9,108.78. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 closed down slightly by 0.05% at 40,654.70, reflecting broader concerns about the global economic landscape and geopolitical tensions.
### Geopolitical Factors and Tariffs
Recent developments in global trade policy are significantly impacting market sentiment. Companies across various sectors, including Stanley Black & Decker and Conagra, are grappling with the financial implications of rising tariffs, estimating that these could cost them hundreds of millions of dollars. The uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations has led businesses to reassess their strategies, contributing to a cautious outlook among investors.
In another related development, Adidas has warned that tariffs would increase U.S. prices by an estimated 200 million euros ($231 million) in the second half of this year. This announcement has led to a 7% slump in the company’s stock as investors react to the potential strain on profit margins. Additionally, U.S. pharmaceutical tariffs are expected to affect companies differently, with analysts pointing out that firms like AbbVie and Eli Lilly may be better positioned compared to Novartis and Roche, which could face greater risks.
### Corporate Earnings and Strategic Moves
In pre-market earnings releases, several companies are making headlines. Morgan Stanley has raised its price target for Nvidia, citing the company’s “exceptional” strength in the artificial intelligence sector. This positive outlook may bolster investor confidence in Nvidia, particularly as the tech sector continues to be a focal point for growth amid broader market uncertainties.
Conversely, the situation at United Airlines has taken a turn as flight attendants rejected a contract that would have granted them immediate raises of at least 26%. This development adds to the ongoing labor negotiations within the airline industry and could have implications for United’s operational costs moving forward.
In the broader economic context, mortgage demand has fallen to its lowest level since May, despite stable interest rates. This decline reflects consumers’ concerns about the overall economy, which could impact housing market dynamics and related sectors.
### Current Market Overview
Overall, the current market environment is characterized by a mix of cautious optimism and underlying concerns. The modest gains in U.S. futures indicate that investors are looking for signs of stability amid geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties. The mixed performance in European markets further underscores the complexity of the current economic landscape, as companies navigate the implications of tariffs and changing trade policies.
As the Federal Reserve prepares for its upcoming meeting, market participants are keenly aware that while no major policy shifts are expected, the discussions may reveal insights into the central bank’s future direction. The meeting is anticipated to be filled with intriguing subplots, particularly regarding the Fed’s stance on interest rates and its assessment of economic conditions.
In summary, while there are pockets of growth, the overarching sentiment remains cautious as businesses and consumers alike react to the evolving geopolitical landscape and its potential impact on the economy. As the day progresses, market participants will be closely monitoring developments in corporate earnings, trade negotiations, and economic indicators for further guidance.
## Performances
### US Futures
US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.
| Future | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 6,413.50 | 0.12 |
| Nasdaq Futures | 23,503.75 | 0.22 |
| Dow Futures | 44,833.00 | 0.04 |
### Major US Indices (Previous Close)
| Index | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 6,370.86 | -0.30 |
| Nasdaq | 21,098.29 | -0.38 |
| DJIA | 44,632.99 | -0.46 |
### FX Performance
| Currency Pair | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1539 | -0.50 |
| USD/JPY | 148.1290 | -0.24 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3363 | 0.02 |
| USD/CHF | 0.8063 | 0.40 |
| AUD/USD | 0.6493 | -0.48 |
| USD/CAD | 1.3789 | 0.40 |
| NZD/USD | 0.5950 | -0.37 |
### Commodities Performance
| Commodity | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | 68.63 | -0.84 |
| Gold | 3382.80 | 1.79 |
| Silver | 38.08 | 0.00 |
| Natural Gas | 3.18 | 3.21 |
| Copper | 5.60 | -0.14 |
### BTC and ETH Performance
| Crypto | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | 118,174.26 | 0.21 |
| Ethereum (ETH/USD) | 3,780.40 | -0.19 |
## High-Importance Economic Events
Today, July 30, 2025, several high-importance economic events are set to impact financial markets, with expectations and forecasts closely monitored by investors.
At 04:00 AM (ET), Germany’s GDP for Q2 is anticipated to remain unchanged at -0.1%, indicating stagnation in Europe’s largest economy, which may weigh on the euro. The U.S. will follow with the ADP Nonfarm Employment Change at 08:15 AM (ET), where a forecast of 77K jobs is expected, providing insight into the labor market ahead of the more comprehensive employment report.
The highlight of the day is the U.S. GDP data for Q2 at 08:30 AM (ET), with expectations set at 2.5%. Any deviation from this forecast could significantly impact U.S. equities and the dollar. Concurrently, the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision at 09:45 AM (ET) is also critical, with a forecast of 2.75%.
Later, at 2:00 PM (ET), the FOMC will announce its interest rate decision, expected to remain at 4.50%. This will be closely followed by the FOMC press conference, where any hints regarding future monetary policy will be scrutinized by markets.
Additionally, the day’s crude oil inventories report at 10:30 AM (ET) will provide insights into supply dynamics, with a forecast of a decline of 2.3 million barrels.
Tomorrow, July 31, will see further economic indicators, including German CPI and U.S. Core PCE Price Index data, which are crucial for inflation outlooks.
Overall, today’s events are likely to create volatility in futures trading as investors position themselves ahead of these critical data releases.
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-30 | 04:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-30 | 08:15 | 🇺🇸 | High | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jul) | 77K | |
| 2025-07-30 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) | 2.5% | |
| 2025-07-30 | 09:45 | 🇨🇦 | High | BoC Interest Rate Decision | 2.75% | |
| 2025-07-30 | 10:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Crude Oil Inventories | -2.300M | |
| 2025-07-30 | 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | High | FOMC Statement | ||
| 2025-07-30 | 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | High | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.50% | |
| 2025-07-30 | 14:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | FOMC Press Conference | ||
| 2025-07-30 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | High | Manufacturing PMI (Jul) | 49.7 | |
| 2025-07-30 | 23:00 | 🇯🇵 | High | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 0.50% | |
| 2025-07-31 | 08:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German CPI (MoM) (Jul) | 0.2% | |
| 2025-07-31 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jun) | 2.7% | |
| 2025-07-31 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jun) | 0.3% | |
| 2025-07-31 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Initial Jobless Claims | 222K | |
| 2025-07-31 | 09:45 | 🇺🇸 | High | Chicago PMI (Jul) | 41.9 |





