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Mortgage Rates Edge Up to 6.58%, Pushing Monthly Payments $65 Higher Than Last Year

· Economics · MarketsFN Data Team

Housing · Mortgage Rates · Weekly Tracker
6.58%
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate
▲ 3.0 bps week-on-week  ·  $2,549/mo on a $400,000 loan

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose 3 basis points this week to 6.58%, squeezing affordability as the monthly payment on a $400,000 loan now tops $2,549.

Today’s rate remains above the 3-month (6.45%) and 1-year averages (6.32%) and well above the 5-year norm (6.06%). While below the 52-week high (6.74%), it’s far costlier than last July’s low (5.98%) — adding $65/month to a $400k mortgage versus a year ago ($2,484).

Rates are climbing alongside the 10-year Treasury yield (4.61%), with the mortgage-Treasury spread holding steady at 1.97 percentage points, reflecting persistent lender caution. The Fed’s 3.63% policy rate continues to anchor borrowing costs, but inflation fears keep upward pressure on long-term rates.

36-month trend chart
Fig. 2 — 30Y mortgage (red), 15Y mortgage (orange), Fed Funds Rate (dark blue), 10Y Treasury (light blue) over 36 months. Bottom panel: mortgage–Treasury spread — a wide spread signals elevated lender risk premium.

Watch for July jobs data next week — stronger hiring could push rates higher, while weak numbers may ease them. Seasonal inventory shifts and Fed commentary on rate cuts will also influence direction.

Key Statistics at a Glance

Week endingJuly 30, 2026
30Y Fixed Rate6.58%
WoW change▲ 3.0 bps
YTD change+42.0 bps
15Y Fixed Rate5.96%
15Y WoW▲ 3.0 bps
3-month average6.45%
1-year average6.32%
5-year average6.06%
52-week high6.74%
52-week low5.98%
Fed Funds Rate3.63%
10Y Treasury4.61%
Mortgage–10Y Spread1.97 pp
Monthly pmt $400k/30Y$2,549
vs 1 year ago▲ $65/month
Data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) · Series: MORTGAGE30US, MORTGAGE15US, FEDFUNDS, DGS10 · 30Y & 15Y rates: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, released every Thursday.

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