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10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.67%, 52-Week High as Curve Steepens

· Economics · MarketsFN Data Team

Fixed Income · Treasury Yields · Weekly Close

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 12 bps this week to 4.67%, its highest level in a year, while the 2s10s spread widened slightly to 34 bps, maintaining a positive curve signal.

The 10-year yield settled at 4.67% this week, up 12 bps from last Friday and now at its 52-week high. It remains well above both its 3-month (4.48%) and 1-year (4.26%) averages, having risen 48 bps year-to-date from 2025's closing level of 4.19%.

The 2s10s spread narrowed slightly by 7 bps this week to +34 bps, remaining positively sloped but below its 52-week high of +74 bps. While still expansionary, the spread's compression from recent highs suggests some market caution about long-term growth prospects despite near-term resilience.

36-month yield spread chart
Fig. 2 — 2Y–10Y Treasury spread over 36 months. Green fill = normal curve; red fill = inverted (recession warning signal). Grey shading marks NBER-defined recessions where applicable.

Markets await next week's Q2 GDP advance estimate and June PCE inflation data for Fed policy clues. Any surprises could test the 10-year's 4.70% psychological level, while Fed speakers may clarify rate-cut timing expectations currently priced for late 2026.

Key Statistics at a Glance

EditionWeekly Close
DateFriday, July 24, 2026
10Y Yield4.67%
10Y Day-on-day▲ 4.0 bps
10Y Week-on-week▲ 12.0 bps
10Y YTD change+48.0 bps
10Y 3-month avg4.48%
10Y 1-year avg4.26%
10Y 52-week high4.67%
10Y 52-week low3.97%
2Y Yield4.31%
2Y–10Y Spread+0.340% (+34.0 bps)
Spread WoW▼ 7.0 bps
Spread 52-week high+0.740%
Spread 52-week low+0.270%
Curve signalPositive
Data: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) · Series: DGS10, DGS2, T10Y2Y, USREC · Daily, business days only · Source: US Treasury / Federal Reserve.

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