Intuit Inc., founded in 1983 and based in Mountain View, California, specializes in providing business and financial management solutions. The company operates through four main segments: Small Business and Self-Employed, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProTax. Its offerings include QuickBooks, TurboTax, and Credit Karma, serving a diverse range of customers from small businesses and self-employed individuals to consumers seeking personal finance solutions.
Recent market activities suggest significant movements in the stock market, particularly affecting Intuit Inc. (INTU). Morgan Stanley reaffirmed a ‘Buy’ rating on Intuit amid a strong earnings outlook, highlighting positive sentiment around the company’s performance (Insider Monkey, 2025-08-23). Despite this, Intuit’s stock experienced volatility; it initially slipped following a strong quarter but maintained an $850 price target by RBC (GuruFocus.com, 2025-08-22). The company reported surpassing Q4 earnings estimates with increased year-over-year revenues (Zacks, 2025-08-22), yet the stock faced downward pressure due to a weaker-than-expected Q1 outlook (Yahoo Finance Video, 2025-08-22).
Additionally, the broader market responded positively to Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s hints at a potential rate cut, with major indexes like the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq soaring to new heights (Yahoo Finance, 2025-08-22). This macroeconomic factor could influence investor sentiment and market dynamics, potentially benefiting stocks like Intuit if economic conditions favor growth in tech and software sectors. However, investors should be cautious, considering Intuit’s mixed signals on future earnings expectations, which could lead to increased stock volatility.
The current price of the asset at $658.10 indicates a mild decline of 0.56% today, positioning it near the lower end of this week’s range between $655.75 and $670.43. This price is significantly below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages by approximately 10.55% and 12.74%, respectively, suggesting a bearish trend in the short to medium term. However, it is closer to the 200-day moving average, down by only 0.72%.
The asset has experienced a notable decline from the 52-week and year-to-date high of $813.7, currently down by 19.12%. Conversely, it has risen 23.94% from the 52-week and year-to-date low of $531.0, indicating some recovery over the longer term.
The technical indicators show a bearish momentum, with an RSI of 22.99 suggesting the asset is in an oversold territory. This could hint at potential for a price rebound if market sentiment shifts. Additionally, a MACD of -23.88 further supports the current bearish trend. Overall, the asset appears to be facing significant downward pressure, but the oversold condition may provide grounds for cautious optimism among contrarian investors.
## Price Chart
Intuit Inc. reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, which concluded on July 31, 2025. The company announced a significant year-over-year revenue increase to $18.8 billion, marking a 16% growth, with the Combined Platform Revenue up by 19% to $14.9 billion. Notably, the Online Ecosystem Revenue within the Global Business Solutions Group surged by 20% to $8.3 billion. TurboTax Live and Credit Karma were standout performers, with revenues jumping 47% and 32% to $2.0 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively.
GAAP Operating Income for the year rose impressively by 36% to $4.9 billion, while Non-GAAP Operating Income grew by 18% to $7.6 billion. Earnings per share also saw substantial increases, with GAAP EPS up 31% to $13.67 and Non-GAAP EPS growing 19% to $20.15.
Looking ahead, Intuit provided guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue to be between $20.997 billion and $21.186 billion, reflecting a growth of 12-13%. GAAP Operating Income is projected to be between $5.782 billion and $5.859 billion, and GAAP Diluted EPS is estimated to range from $15.49 to $15.69. Non-GAAP figures are also optimistic, with Operating Income and Diluted EPS expected to grow by 14-15%.
The company’s strong performance is further underscored by a $2.8 billion stock repurchase in FY 2025 and an additional authorization totaling $5.3 billion. The quarterly dividend was increased by 15% to $1.20 per share.
## Earnings Trend Table
| Date | Estimate EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2025-08-21 | 2.66 | 2.75 | 3.38 |
| 1 | 2025-05-22 | 10.91 | 11.65 | 6.81 |
| 2 | 2025-02-25 | 2.58 | 3.32 | 28.49 |
| 3 | 2024-11-21 | 2.35 | 2.50 | 6.29 |
| 4 | 2024-08-22 | 1.85 | 1.99 | 7.86 |
| 5 | 2024-05-23 | 9.37 | 9.88 | 5.48 |
| 6 | 2024-02-22 | 2.30 | 2.63 | 14.36 |
| 7 | 2023-11-28 | 1.98 | 2.47 | 24.84 |
The earnings per share (EPS) data over the last eight quarters reveals a consistent pattern of outperformance relative to estimates, indicating a robust financial position and effective management execution. Notably, the company has surpassed EPS estimates in every quarter, with the surprise percentage ranging from 3.38% to 28.49%.
A closer examination shows a seasonal trend in EPS figures, where the second fiscal quarter (May ending) consistently records significantly higher EPS (11.65 in 2025 and 9.88 in 2024) compared to other quarters. This suggests that the company’s operations might be cyclically influenced, possibly due to consumer behavior or operational cycles in its industry.
Moreover, the magnitude of surprise in EPS outperformance varies, with the largest positive surprises generally occurring in the first and third fiscal quarters (February and November endings). For instance, in February 2025, the reported EPS of 3.32 exceeded estimates by 28.49%, and in November 2023, the reported EPS of 2.47 exceeded estimates by 24.84%. Such substantial outperformance during these quarters could be indicative of conservative estimates or exceptional operational efficiencies realized during these periods.
Overall, the trend of consistent EPS outperformance suggests strong forecasting, operational management, and potentially conservative guidance by the company, which could be a positive signal to investors regarding the company’s future financial health.
## Dividend Payments Table
| Date | Dividend |
|---|---|
| 2025-07-10 | 1.04 |
| 2025-04-10 | 1.04 |
| 2025-01-10 | 1.04 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.04 |
| 2024-07-10 | 0.90 |
| 2024-04-09 | 0.90 |
| 2024-01-09 | 0.90 |
| 2023-10-05 | 0.90 |
The dividend data over the last eight samples reveals a distinct trend in the company’s dividend policy. From October 2023 to July 2024, the dividend remained steady at $0.90 per share. This consistency suggests a stable approach to dividend payments during this period, possibly reflecting a cautious financial strategy or an alignment with operational performance that did not warrant an increase.
However, starting from October 2024, there is a noticeable increase in the dividend to $1.04 per share, which has been maintained through to July 2025. This 15.6% increase in the dividend payout marks a significant shift in the company’s approach towards rewarding its shareholders. This could indicate improved financial health or a strategic decision to distribute more wealth to shareholders, possibly due to higher earnings or cash reserves. The maintenance of this higher dividend rate over subsequent quarters suggests confidence in the sustainability of the company’s improved financial performance.
The most recent analyst rating changes for the company under review show a positive trend in terms of upgrades and initiation of coverage, reflecting an optimistic outlook from several major financial institutions.
1. **CLSA – Initiated Coverage (June 26, 2025):** CLSA initiated coverage on the company with an “Outperform” rating and a target price of $900. This initiation at a high target price suggests that CLSA sees substantial growth potential and outperformance relative to the market or sector peers.
2. **HSBC Securities – Upgrade (April 23, 2025):** HSBC Securities upgraded their rating from “Hold” to “Buy” with a revised target price of $699. The upgrade indicates a change in HSBC’s valuation assessment, suggesting increased confidence in the company’s future performance and fundamentals.
3. **Scotiabank – Upgrade (April 17, 2025):** Scotiabank raised their rating from “Sector Perform” to “Sector Outperform” and set a target price of $700. This upgrade reflects a bullish view on the company, particularly within its sector, implying that Scotiabank believes the company will outperform its industry peers.
4. **JP Morgan – Upgrade (March 5, 2025):** JP Morgan upgraded their rating from “Neutral” to “Overweight” and adjusted their target price from $640 to $660. The upgrade and price target revision suggest that JP Morgan’s analysts expect the company to weigh more positively in its sector, likely due to improved operational performance or market conditions.
These rating changes collectively signal a robust and improving perception of the company’s value and performance prospects among analysts, likely driven by favorable business dynamics or financial results.
The current price of the stock stands at $658.10. Recent analyst ratings suggest a positive outlook, with target prices generally exceeding the current market price. Notably, CLSA initiated coverage with an “Outperform” rating and a target price of $900, significantly higher than the current price. HSBC Securities and Scotiabank both upgraded their ratings, with new target prices set at $699 and $700 respectively, indicating a potential upside. Earlier, JP Morgan upgraded its rating from “Neutral” to “Overweight” and adjusted its target price slightly from $640 to $660, aligning closely with the current market price.
This convergence of upgrades and high target prices from multiple analysts suggests a bullish sentiment towards the stock, reflecting expectations of strong future performance. However, the summary lacks specific details on EPS trends and dividend payouts, which are crucial for a comprehensive financial analysis. Investors should consider these factors alongside the analyst ratings for a more rounded investment decision.
Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading guidance. Markets involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. By acting, you accept full responsibility for your choices.
