## Forex and Global News
In the forex market today, the U.S. Dollar (USD) demonstrated strength, buoyed by a cooling of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, which positively impacted the USD/INR pair, pushing the Indian Rupee (INR) lower to around 88.90. The Australian Dollar (AUD) fell against the USD as new port fees were imposed by both the U.S. and China. The UK’s unemployment rate rose to 4.8%, slightly above expectations, which may weigh on the British Pound (GBP).
Meanwhile, European markets opened lower, reversing earlier positive sentiment, and this shift is likely to influence the Euro (EUR) as traders react. In commodities, crude oil prices declined, with WTI trading at $58.75 per barrel, reflecting bearish sentiment in the energy sector. Gold prices are testing resistance levels ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, amid ongoing U.S.-China trade concerns.
The DXY is currently at 99.27, reflecting a daily change of 0.0776%.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Aug) | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Claimant Count Change (Sep) | 25.8K | 10.3K |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Aug) | 91K | |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Unemployment Rate (Aug) | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:30 | 🇨🇭 | Medium | PPI (MoM) (Sep) | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:30 | 🇮🇳 | Medium | WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sep) | 0.13% | 0.50% |
| 2025-10-14 | 04:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | IEA Monthly Report | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct) | -75.0 | |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 41.2 | |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | New Loans (Sep) | 1,460.0B | |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 30.2 | |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:10 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Italian 10-Year BTP Auction | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 07:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Construction Spending (MoM) (Aug) | -0.1% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | Building Permits (MoM) (Aug) | -0.7% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 08:45 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 11:15 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 12:20 | 🇺🇸 | High | Fed Chair Powell Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 13:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 15:25 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed Waller Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | CPI (YoY) (Sep) | -0.2% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | PPI (YoY) (Sep) | -2.3% |
On October 14, 2025, key economic data releases significantly impacted the FX markets, particularly for the GBP and EUR.
The UK labor market data released at 02:00 ET revealed stronger-than-expected figures. The Average Earnings Index, including bonuses, rose to 5.0%, surpassing the forecast of 4.7%. Additionally, the Claimant Count Change showed an increase of 25.8K, well above the anticipated 10.3K. However, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.8%, slightly exceeding the forecast of 4.7%. These mixed signals could lead to volatility in GBP trading, as the stronger earnings data may bolster expectations for continued monetary tightening by the Bank of England.
In the Eurozone, German inflation data confirmed expectations, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September matching forecasts at 2.4% year-on-year. This stability may support the euro, keeping it resilient against other currencies.
The day also features key speeches from central bank officials, including Fed Chair Powell and BoE Governor Bailey, which could further influence market sentiment and currency movements. Investors will be closely monitoring these discussions for signals regarding future monetary policy adjustments. Overall, the GBP and EUR are likely to experience heightened activity as traders digest these economic indicators.
## Major FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1569 | -0.0173 | -0.5413 | -1.2065 | -1.4125 | -0.3308 | 1.5110 | 11.17 | 5.8911 | 1.1692 | 1.1640 | 1.1220 | 23.51 | -0.0030 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 151.91 | -0.2790 | -0.5050 | 1.0497 | 3.1822 | 2.1161 | 7.0324 | -3.2396 | 1.7243 | 148.14 | 146.90 | 148.24 | 68.15 | 1.1528 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3275 | -0.4275 | -0.9433 | -1.5566 | -2.2217 | -0.8835 | 0.3099 | 5.7845 | 1.7316 | 1.3473 | 1.3495 | 1.3169 | 32.24 | -0.0044 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.8038 | -0.0497 | 0.2870 | 1.1184 | 0.9862 | 0.2970 | -1.2227 | -11.0093 | -6.3498 | 0.8006 | 0.8040 | 0.8393 | 65.62 | 0.0007 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6470 | -0.7669 | -1.7389 | -2.2142 | -2.9694 | -0.7515 | 1.5221 | 4.0193 | -3.8791 | 0.6554 | 0.6535 | 0.6421 | 31.11 | -0.0011 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.4052 | 0.1140 | 0.6980 | 0.7601 | 1.5780 | 2.4467 | 1.3875 | -2.0753 | 1.9650 | 1.3844 | 1.3769 | 1.3980 | 81.22 | 0.0053 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5693 | -0.6110 | -1.5646 | -2.5338 | -4.7643 | -4.3883 | -4.0838 | 0.9449 | -6.5449 | 0.5873 | 0.5940 | 0.5847 | 24.72 | -0.0042 |
In the current forex landscape, several key pairs exhibit notable overbought and oversold conditions. The USD/CAD is significantly overbought with an RSI of 81.22, indicating potential price corrections ahead. The positive MACD reinforces bullish momentum, but traders should remain cautious. Conversely, the EUR/USD and NZD/USD are showing oversold conditions with RSIs of 23.51 and 24.72, respectively. The negative MACD readings suggest bearish sentiment, potentially presenting buying opportunities as they approach support levels.
The GBP/USD and AUD/USD also reflect oversold conditions with RSIs of 32.24 and 31.11, respectively, while their MACD readings indicate bearish pressure. This could lead to potential reversals if market sentiment shifts. The USD/JPY remains in a neutral zone with an RSI of 68.15, indicating a potential for further bullish movement, but caution is warranted as it approaches overbought territory. Overall, traders should closely monitor these indicators
## Cross FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | EURGBP | 0.8712 | 0.4034 | 0.3930 | 0.3271 | 0.8030 | 0.5297 | 1.1729 | 5.0664 | 4.0761 | 0.8677 | 0.8625 | 0.8516 | 42.30 | 0.0006 |
| EUR/JPY | EURJPY | 175.69 | -0.3019 | -1.0487 | -0.1954 | 1.6954 | 1.7549 | 8.6443 | 7.5319 | 7.7072 | 173.31 | 171.09 | 166.14 | 56.65 | 0.9313 |
| EUR/CHF | EURCHF | 0.9296 | -0.0645 | -0.2650 | -0.1332 | -0.4636 | -0.0656 | 0.2372 | -1.0959 | -0.8416 | 0.9359 | 0.9355 | 0.9388 | 31.51 | -0.0012 |
| EUR/AUD | EURAUD | 1.7878 | 0.7382 | 1.2287 | 1.0211 | 1.5853 | 0.4123 | -0.0660 | 6.8492 | 10.17 | 1.7839 | 1.7809 | 1.7458 | 48.26 | -0.0028 |
| GBP/JPY | GBPJPY | 201.65 | -0.7047 | -1.4433 | -0.5229 | 0.8901 | 1.2127 | 7.3871 | 2.3584 | 3.4857 | 199.71 | 198.35 | 195.04 | 57.63 | 0.9351 |
| GBP/CHF | GBPCHF | 1.0670 | -0.4757 | -0.6527 | -0.4525 | -1.2513 | -0.5879 | -0.9175 | -5.8543 | -4.7202 | 1.0786 | 1.0851 | 1.1030 | 48.28 | -0.0018 |
| AUD/JPY | AUDJPY | 98.25 | -1.0434 | -2.2650 | -1.2156 | 0.1192 | 1.3419 | 8.6871 | 0.6433 | -2.2485 | 97.08 | 95.98 | 95.12 | 59.36 | 0.7121 |
| AUD/NZD | AUDNZD | 1.1361 | -0.1670 | -0.2099 | 0.3081 | 1.8809 | 3.7735 | 5.8689 | 3.0294 | 2.9076 | 1.1159 | 1.1001 | 1.0982 | 62.37 | 0.0062 |
| CHF/JPY | CHFJPY | 188.96 | -0.2339 | -0.7879 | -0.0735 | 2.1709 | 1.8119 | 8.3879 | 8.7240 | 8.6103 | 185.02 | 182.72 | 176.89 | 64.71 | 1.2689 |
| NZD/JPY | NZDJPY | 86.46 | -0.8713 | -2.0582 | -1.5104 | -1.7231 | -2.3612 | 2.6864 | -2.3271 | -4.9387 | 87.04 | 87.28 | 86.60 | 50.23 | 0.0603 |
Currently, the EUR/CHF pair is showing oversold conditions with an RSI of 31.51 and a bearish MACD at -0.0012, indicating potential for a corrective bounce. In contrast, the EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF pairs exhibit neutral momentum, with RSIs of 42.30 and 48.28, respectively, suggesting limited immediate trading opportunities. The EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY pairs maintain positive momentum, with RSIs of 56.65 and 57.63, and bullish MACDs, indicating potential for upward movement. Notably, CHF/JPY’s RSI at 64.71 suggests it is approaching overbought territory, warranting caution for long positions. Overall, mixed signals across these
## Exotics and Emerging
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira | USDTRY | 41.83 | 0.0818 | 0.2303 | 0.2952 | 1.1709 | 3.9067 | 9.6570 | 18.47 | 22.03 | 41.24 | 40.55 | 38.84 | 97.14 | 0.1718 |
| USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand | USDZAR | 17.43 | 0.7397 | 1.6281 | 1.6331 | 0.4883 | -2.5881 | -7.1828 | -7.1069 | -0.1561 | 17.48 | 17.64 | 18.05 | 59.85 | -0.0540 |
| USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht | USDTHB | 32.69 | 0.4301 | 0.4301 | 0.7086 | 3.0905 | 0.3684 | -1.1790 | -4.2444 | -1.7138 | 32.25 | 32.38 | 33.06 | 78.87 | 0.1490 |
| USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona | USDSEK | 9.5294 | 0.2905 | 1.0630 | 1.5746 | 2.3810 | -1.9100 | -2.2842 | -13.5564 | -8.3094 | 9.4580 | 9.5151 | 9.9197 | 65.92 | 0.0096 |
| USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone | USDNOK | 10.14 | 0.6020 | 1.7085 | 2.2234 | 2.9327 | -0.9934 | -3.9833 | -10.4551 | -5.4823 | 10.04 | 10.07 | 10.45 | 69.97 | 0.0182 |
| USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone | USDDKK | 6.4574 | 0.0511 | 0.5852 | 1.2995 | 1.5161 | 0.4355 | -1.4441 | -9.8984 | -5.4498 | 6.3844 | 6.4122 | 6.6649 | 77.08 | 0.0172 |
| USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso | USDMXN | 18.55 | 0.4843 | 1.1784 | 1.1594 | 0.5213 | -1.3377 | -6.8545 | -10.0910 | -3.8827 | 18.55 | 18.71 | 19.44 | 62.04 | -0.0248 |
| USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty | USDPLN | 3.6864 | 0.1222 | 0.7965 | 1.6125 | 1.6952 | 0.4325 | -1.7581 | -10.2426 | -6.1329 | 3.6401 | 3.6570 | 3.7838 | 75.07 | 0.0100 |
| USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint | USDHUF | 339.18 | 0.2121 | 0.8354 | 2.2199 | 1.7001 | -1.5528 | -5.1263 | -14.1334 | -7.6875 | 335.95 | 340.81 | 357.93 | 71.81 | 0.5492 |
| USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna | USDCZK | 21.03 | 0.0890 | 0.4951 | 1.3544 | 1.3568 | -0.9748 | -4.0954 | -12.9490 | -9.2286 | 20.85 | 21.09 | 22.14 | 72.91 | 0.0394 |
In the current analysis of key FX pairs, USD/TRY is notably overbought with an RSI of 97.14, indicating potential for a corrective pullback. The positive MACD supports the bullish momentum, but the extreme RSI suggests caution. Similarly, USD/THB and USD/DKK are also in overbought territory with RSIs of 78.87 and 77.08, respectively, warranting vigilance for possible reversals. Conversely, USD/ZAR remains neutral with an RSI of 59.85 and a negative MACD, signaling bearish pressure. Overall, traders should monitor these indicators closely, especially in overbought conditions, to identify potential entry or exit points.
