## Forex and Global News
In today’s forex market, key currencies are reacting to geopolitical tensions and economic forecasts. The GBP is under pressure, with GBP/USD slipping to seven-week lows below 1.3350 as traders brace for the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, EUR/USD has also declined, closing the week below the 1.1700 mark, retreating from its mid-September peak of 1.1918.
Gold prices continue their upward trajectory, reaching record highs near $3,790, driven by strong demand amid economic uncertainty. Investors are closely monitoring US economic data to gauge the sustainability of this rally.
Geopolitical events are impacting market sentiment, particularly with Russia’s recent military actions in Ukraine, which may influence oil prices and broader economic stability. Additionally, the ongoing discussions regarding US government funding and potential shutdowns are adding to market volatility.
The DXY is currently at 97.95, reflecting a daily change of -0.0092%. Overall, market participants remain cautious, balancing economic indicators against geopolitical developments.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | 01:30 | 🇯🇵 | Medium | BoJ Board Member Noguchi Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 03:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Spanish CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| 2025-09-29 | 03:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Spanish HICP (YoY) (Sep) | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 2025-09-29 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German Buba President Nagel Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB’s Schnabel Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 07:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed Waller Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 08:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 08:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB’s Lane Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 10:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Aug) | 0.2% | |
| 2025-09-29 | 13:15 | 🇺🇸 | High | U.S. President Trump Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 13:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 18:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Bostic Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 19:50 | 🇯🇵 | Medium | Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) | -0.7% | |
| 2025-09-29 | 21:30 | 🇦🇺 | Medium | Building Approvals (MoM) (Aug) | 2.5% | |
| 2025-09-29 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | Chinese Composite PMI (Sep) | ||
| 2025-09-29 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | High | Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 49.6 | |
| 2025-09-29 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) | 50.3 | |
| 2025-09-29 | 21:45 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | Caixin Manufacturing PMI (MoM) (Sep) | 50.2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | 21:45 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | Caixin Services PMI (Sep) | 52.3 |
On September 29, 2025, several economic events are poised to impact FX markets, particularly concerning the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), and US Dollar (USD).
At 03:00 ET, the Spanish CPI data is expected to reveal a YoY increase of 3.1%, but a lower actual reading of 2.9% could signal easing inflation pressures in the Eurozone, potentially weakening the EUR against its peers. The Spanish HICP is forecasted to align at 3.0%, which may confirm this trend.
Key speeches from ECB officials, including President Nagel and Isabel Schnabel at 05:00 ET, alongside Chief Economist Lane at 08:00 ET, could provide insights into future monetary policy, influencing EUR volatility.
In the US, pending home sales data at 10:00 ET is anticipated to show a modest increase of 0.2%. Any deviation from this forecast could affect the USD’s strength. Additionally, speeches from FOMC members, including Williams and Bostic later in the day, will be scrutinized for hints on interest rate trajectories.
Lastly, JPY could react to the anticipated industrial production decline of -0.7% at 19:50 ET, which may heighten concerns over Japan’s economic outlook. Overall, these events are critical for traders navigating currency fluctuations today.
## Major FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1736 | 0.2392 | -0.6641 | -0.0081 | 0.4660 | -0.4341 | 8.7071 | 12.78 | 4.9997 | 1.1683 | 1.1594 | 1.1149 | 47.57 | 0.0020 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 148.67 | -0.5286 | 0.7188 | 0.3910 | 1.2835 | 3.3894 | -0.7404 | -5.3002 | 2.4801 | 147.70 | 146.39 | 148.61 | 60.41 | 0.2849 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3448 | 0.3208 | -0.5655 | -0.1244 | -0.4673 | -2.0582 | 4.0620 | 7.1631 | 0.2548 | 1.3471 | 1.3491 | 1.3121 | 43.09 | -0.0009 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.7957 | -0.2507 | 0.5395 | -0.0666 | -0.7348 | 0.3759 | -9.9276 | -11.9060 | -5.9723 | 0.8012 | 0.8078 | 0.8449 | 50.86 | -0.0023 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6571 | 0.2900 | -0.4062 | -0.2778 | 0.5909 | -0.1077 | 4.4743 | 5.6431 | -4.6687 | 0.6543 | 0.6520 | 0.6402 | 46.26 | 0.0013 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.3919 | -0.1578 | 0.5774 | 0.9940 | 1.2306 | 2.3050 | -2.6105 | -3.0021 | 3.2896 | 1.3787 | 1.3761 | 1.4005 | 61.67 | 0.0022 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5792 | 0.2770 | -1.1097 | -1.0136 | -1.5818 | -4.9307 | 1.3670 | 2.7003 | -8.5165 | 0.5913 | 0.5955 | 0.5839 | 31.84 | -0.0028 |
Analyzing the current technical indicators for key FX pairs reveals mixed conditions. The EUR/USD shows a neutral RSI at 47.57, with MACD near zero, indicating a lack of momentum. This suggests a potential consolidation phase rather than overbought or oversold extremes.
In contrast, the NZD/USD is notably oversold with an RSI of 31.84 and a negative MACD, indicating bearish pressure that may present a buying opportunity if a reversal occurs.
The USD/JPY and USD/CAD are approaching bullish territory, with RSIs of 60.41 and 61.67, respectively, and positive MACD readings. However, they are not yet in overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement.
The GBP/USD remains weak, with an RSI of 43.09 and a negative MACD, highlighting continued bearish sentiment. Overall, traders should monitor these indicators closely for potential reversals or continuations in the coming sessions.
## Cross FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | EURGBP | 0.8724 | -0.0802 | -0.1362 | 0.0860 | 0.9092 | 1.6357 | 4.4378 | 5.2111 | 4.6671 | 0.8671 | 0.8590 | 0.8491 | 65.99 | 0.0021 |
| EUR/JPY | EURJPY | 174.42 | -0.2990 | 0.0201 | 0.3481 | 1.7175 | 2.9252 | 7.8706 | 6.7515 | 7.5811 | 172.52 | 169.65 | 165.40 | 60.02 | 0.6775 |
| EUR/CHF | EURCHF | 0.9334 | -0.0214 | -0.1679 | -0.1134 | -0.3108 | -0.1113 | -2.1532 | -0.6916 | -1.3215 | 0.9358 | 0.9359 | 0.9390 | 38.80 | -0.0008 |
| EUR/AUD | EURAUD | 1.7861 | -0.0504 | -0.2452 | 0.2768 | -0.1113 | -0.3420 | 4.0663 | 6.7475 | 10.15 | 1.7857 | 1.7778 | 1.7399 | 47.84 | -0.0009 |
| GBP/JPY | GBPJPY | 199.92 | -0.2126 | 0.1573 | 0.2653 | 0.8057 | 1.2550 | 3.2890 | 1.4838 | 2.7602 | 198.94 | 197.46 | 194.76 | 47.25 | 0.2943 |
| GBP/CHF | GBPCHF | 1.0699 | 0.0655 | -0.0243 | -0.1680 | -1.2050 | -1.7124 | -6.3061 | -5.5984 | -5.7290 | 1.0791 | 1.0895 | 1.1062 | 30.67 | -0.0035 |
| AUD/JPY | AUDJPY | 97.65 | -0.2442 | 0.2680 | 0.0758 | 1.8418 | 3.2656 | 3.6624 | 0.0277 | -2.3393 | 96.60 | 95.41 | 95.07 | 60.45 | 0.4277 |
| AUD/NZD | AUDNZD | 1.1342 | 0.0088 | 0.6880 | 0.7202 | 2.1840 | 5.0769 | 3.0434 | 2.8571 | 4.1802 | 1.1055 | 1.0942 | 1.0964 | 82.19 | 0.0072 |
| CHF/JPY | CHFJPY | 186.84 | -0.2775 | 0.1823 | 0.4598 | 2.0454 | 3.0226 | 10.24 | 7.5030 | 9.0077 | 184.33 | 181.25 | 176.14 | 64.38 | 0.8807 |
| NZD/JPY | NZDJPY | 86.08 | -0.2515 | -0.4096 | -0.6383 | -0.3335 | -1.7228 | 0.6066 | -2.7597 | -6.2564 | 87.37 | 87.17 | 86.70 | 34.20 | -0.1773 |
In the current analysis of selected FX pairs, AUD/NZD exhibits overbought conditions with an RSI of 82.19, suggesting potential for a corrective pullback. The positive MACD indicates ongoing bullish momentum, but caution is warranted. Conversely, GBP/CHF is notably oversold with an RSI of 30.67 and a negative MACD, highlighting possible recovery opportunities. EUR/CHF also shows weakness with an RSI of 38.80, indicating bearish sentiment. Other pairs like EUR/GBP and CHF/JPY remain neutral, with RSIs below 70, suggesting stability. Traders should monitor these conditions closely for potential reversals or continuations in trend.
## Exotics and Emerging
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira | USDTRY | 41.50 | -0.1403 | 0.1939 | 0.2200 | 0.8714 | 4.1992 | 9.3215 | 17.54 | 21.43 | 40.96 | 40.21 | 38.45 | 81.41 | 0.1557 |
| USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand | USDZAR | 17.26 | -0.4976 | 0.1660 | -0.3604 | -2.3990 | -2.5337 | -6.6093 | -8.0373 | 0.4728 | 17.61 | 17.74 | 18.12 | 39.32 | -0.0887 |
| USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht | USDTHB | 32.24 | 0.0621 | 1.1292 | 1.1292 | -0.0620 | -0.5552 | -5.6758 | -5.5626 | -0.3893 | 32.22 | 32.45 | 33.17 | 54.27 | -0.0856 |
| USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona | USDSEK | 9.3793 | -0.3506 | 0.4793 | -0.3803 | -1.0450 | -0.7640 | -6.3037 | -14.9180 | -7.2999 | 9.4999 | 9.5437 | 10.01 | 56.06 | -0.0336 |
| USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone | USDNOK | 9.9591 | -0.0893 | 0.7950 | 0.3802 | -1.0423 | -1.1925 | -4.8225 | -12.0813 | -5.4163 | 10.09 | 10.11 | 10.53 | 50.87 | -0.0478 |
| USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone | USDDKK | 6.3629 | -0.2148 | 0.7239 | 0.0661 | -0.4169 | 0.5286 | -7.9388 | -11.2170 | -4.6214 | 6.3902 | 6.4406 | 6.7117 | 53.69 | -0.0127 |
| USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso | USDMXN | 18.31 | -0.2494 | -0.1733 | -0.5727 | -1.7991 | -2.2591 | -9.9056 | -11.2324 | -6.6335 | 18.62 | 18.83 | 19.56 | 34.60 | -0.0786 |
| USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty | USDPLN | 3.6346 | -0.2771 | 0.8608 | 0.0964 | -0.3407 | 1.0019 | -6.1712 | -11.5038 | -4.9057 | 3.6436 | 3.6718 | 3.8110 | 56.01 | -0.0056 |
| USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint | USDHUF | 332.68 | -0.4357 | 0.8772 | 0.0608 | -1.9554 | -1.7849 | -10.5717 | -15.7779 | -6.0223 | 337.94 | 343.68 | 361.61 | 51.81 | -1.8712 |
| USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna | USDCZK | 20.69 | -0.1641 | 0.9288 | 0.0242 | -1.3626 | -1.2967 | -10.3829 | -14.3564 | -7.9691 | 20.93 | 21.24 | 22.34 | 51.78 | -0.0906 |
In the current forex landscape, USD/TRY is significantly overbought with an RSI of 81.41, indicating potential for a price correction. The positive MACD suggests bullish momentum, yet the extreme RSI raises caution for traders. Conversely, USD/ZAR shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 39.32 and a negative MACD, signaling potential for a rebound. Other pairs like USD/THB and USD/SEK maintain neutral RSI levels, indicating a lack of immediate volatility. Overall, traders should closely monitor USD/TRY for reversal signals while considering buying opportunities in USD/ZAR as it approaches oversold territory.
