## Forex and Global News
In the forex market today, investor sentiment remains cautious as traders await key inflation data from the U.S., which could influence future monetary policy. The DXY is currently at 97.93, reflecting a slight increase of 0.0869%. The euro (EUR) and British pound (GBP) are facing headwinds due to geopolitical tensions, particularly following recent events in Israel and Russia’s drone attacks in Poland, which have heightened risks in the region.
Gold prices are stable around $3,650, lacking direction as traders prepare for the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which could impact safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, oil prices have seen a rally due to geopolitical concerns, but a significant build in U.S. inventories has capped further gains.
Overall, the market is navigating a complex landscape of economic indicators and geopolitical events, with expectations of U.S. rate cuts and ongoing pressure from political developments in Europe and Asia influencing currency dynamics.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 02:00 | 🇸🇪 | Medium | CPI (MoM) (Aug) | -0.4% | 0.8% |
| 2025-09-11 | 02:00 | 🇸🇪 | Medium | CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 2025-09-11 | 04:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | IEA Monthly Report | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 07:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | OPEC Monthly Report | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 08:00 | 🇧🇷 | Medium | Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) | -0.3% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:00 | 🇧🇷 | Medium | Retail Sales (YoY) (Jul) | 0.8% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:15 | 🇪🇺 | High | Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) | 2.00% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:15 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB Marginal Lending Facility | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 08:15 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB Monetary Policy Statement | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 08:15 | 🇪🇺 | High | ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) | 2.15% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1,950K | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Core CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.3% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 3.1% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 2.9% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.3% | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:30 | 🇺🇸 | High | Initial Jobless Claims | 235K | |
| 2025-09-11 | 08:45 | 🇪🇺 | High | ECB Press Conference | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 10:15 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 13:00 | 🇺🇸 | High | 30-Year Bond Auction | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 14:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Federal Budget Balance (Aug) | -305.7B | |
| 2025-09-11 | 16:30 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed’s Balance Sheet | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 18:30 | 🇳🇿 | Medium | Business NZ PMI (Aug) | ||
| 2025-09-11 | 18:45 | 🇳🇿 | Medium | Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) |
On September 11, 2025, key economic events are set to influence FX markets, particularly concerning the SEK, USD, and EUR.
The Swedish Krona (SEK) will be impacted by the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August at 02:00 ET. The month-over-month CPI showed a surprising decline of -0.4%, significantly underperforming the forecast of 0.8%. This unexpected drop may exert downward pressure on the SEK as it raises concerns about inflationary trends in Sweden. The year-over-year CPI met expectations at 1.1%, providing some stability.
For the Euro (EUR), the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its monetary policy at 08:15 ET, with a widely anticipated interest rate decision of 2.15%. The subsequent press conference at 08:45 ET, led by ECB President Lagarde, will be crucial for market sentiment. Any hints of future policy directions could lead to volatility in the EUR.
In the U.S. market, a series of inflation data, including CPI and Core CPI for August at 08:30 ET, will be closely monitored. Expectations are set at 2.9% for CPI and 3.1% for Core CPI. Any deviations from these forecasts could significantly impact the USD, influencing Federal Reserve policy outlook.
## Major FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1697 | -0.0683 | 0.3439 | 0.3135 | 0.6761 | 0.8340 | 7.7504 | 12.40 | 6.1339 | 1.1665 | 1.1540 | 1.1075 | 57.30 | 0.0018 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 147.78 | 0.3020 | -0.3997 | -0.1338 | -0.2316 | 3.2040 | -0.1129 | -5.8683 | 3.9006 | 147.41 | 145.90 | 148.82 | 50.48 | 0.1124 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3515 | -0.1625 | 0.5246 | 0.5462 | 0.5935 | -0.8269 | 4.2953 | 7.6970 | 3.3235 | 1.3470 | 1.3466 | 1.3072 | 57.61 | 0.0012 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.7994 | 0.0876 | -0.7117 | -0.5474 | -1.5275 | -1.1867 | -9.4287 | -11.4964 | -5.5775 | 0.8019 | 0.8117 | 0.8503 | 42.54 | -0.0017 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6615 | -0.0604 | 1.4259 | 1.0788 | 1.5442 | 1.3327 | 5.2102 | 6.3505 | -0.5756 | 0.6523 | 0.6496 | 0.6390 | 77.39 | 0.0022 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.3878 | 0.1443 | 0.4560 | 0.6155 | 0.7572 | 2.0704 | -3.7974 | -3.2879 | 1.9721 | 1.3754 | 1.3763 | 1.4023 | 47.47 | 0.0019 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5934 | -0.2018 | 1.4168 | 0.8994 | -0.1094 | -2.1632 | 4.0485 | 5.2181 | -3.5137 | 0.5939 | 0.5962 | 0.5835 | 66.88 | -0.0006 |
Analyzing the current conditions of key FX pairs, we observe notable trends in overbought and oversold territories. The AUD/USD pair is exhibiting overbought conditions with an RSI of 77.39, suggesting potential weakness ahead as it approaches the upper threshold. The positive MACD indicates bullish momentum, but caution is warranted.
In contrast, the USD/CHF pair is leaning towards oversold territory with an RSI of 42.54 and a negative MACD, which could signal further downside risk.
EUR/USD and GBP/USD both show neutral RSI values around 57, with MACDs slightly positive, indicating a balanced market sentiment without immediate overbought or oversold signals.
The USD/JPY and USD/CAD pairs remain in neutral territory as well, with RSIs around 50, suggesting indecision among traders. Overall, the AUD/USD stands out as the most overbought, while USD/CHF appears the most vulnerable to further declines.
## Cross FX Group
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/GBP | EURGBP | 0.8651 | 0.0810 | -0.2203 | -0.2721 | 0.0578 | 1.6282 | 3.2672 | 4.3307 | 2.6910 | 0.8659 | 0.8568 | 0.8466 | 50.53 | 0.0007 |
| EUR/JPY | EURJPY | 172.82 | 0.2169 | -0.0792 | 0.1565 | 0.4289 | 4.0546 | 7.6084 | 5.7722 | 10.26 | 171.96 | 168.32 | 164.53 | 57.27 | 0.4055 |
| EUR/CHF | EURCHF | 0.9348 | 0.0214 | -0.3911 | -0.2614 | -0.8927 | -0.3942 | -2.4278 | -0.5426 | 0.1886 | 0.9355 | 0.9361 | 0.9389 | 41.28 | -0.0005 |
| EUR/AUD | EURAUD | 1.7685 | 0.0226 | -1.0447 | -0.7347 | -0.8271 | -0.4677 | 2.4392 | 5.6957 | 6.7690 | 1.7886 | 1.7766 | 1.7317 | 12.98 | -0.0019 |
| GBP/JPY | GBPJPY | 199.74 | 0.1364 | 0.1369 | 0.4248 | 0.3779 | 2.3814 | 4.2000 | 1.3924 | 7.3737 | 198.57 | 196.43 | 194.30 | 58.44 | 0.3194 |
| GBP/CHF | GBPCHF | 1.0805 | -0.0647 | -0.1663 | 0.0130 | -0.9406 | -1.9599 | -5.5144 | -4.6632 | -2.4247 | 1.0802 | 1.0926 | 1.1093 | 42.99 | -0.0015 |
| AUD/JPY | AUDJPY | 97.71 | 0.1979 | 0.9714 | 0.8911 | 1.2634 | 4.5453 | 5.0477 | 0.0860 | 3.2614 | 96.13 | 94.73 | 95.03 | 88.85 | 0.3286 |
| AUD/NZD | AUDNZD | 1.1146 | 0.1258 | -0.0018 | 0.1662 | 1.6451 | 3.5643 | 1.1081 | 1.0796 | 3.0320 | 1.0976 | 1.0889 | 1.0951 | 66.75 | 0.0047 |
| CHF/JPY | CHFJPY | 184.87 | 0.2119 | 0.3261 | 0.4344 | 1.3569 | 4.4769 | 10.30 | 6.3741 | 10.05 | 183.80 | 179.79 | 175.23 | 63.21 | 0.5375 |
| NZD/JPY | NZDJPY | 87.66 | 0.0788 | 0.9931 | 0.7459 | -0.3558 | 0.9629 | 3.9144 | -0.9794 | 0.2287 | 87.56 | 86.97 | 86.77 | 75.86 | -0.0728 |
In the current analysis of key FX pairs, EUR/AUD is significantly oversold with an RSI of 12.98 and a bearish MACD, indicating potential for a corrective rebound. Conversely, AUD/JPY is in an overbought condition at an RSI of 88.85, supported by a positive MACD, suggesting caution for long positions. Additionally, NZD/JPY’s RSI of 75.86 indicates overbought territory, though its bearish MACD may signal weakening momentum. Other pairs like EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY show neutral conditions, while EUR/CHF and GBP/CHF remain in oversold territory, warranting close monitoring for potential reversals. Overall, traders should be vigilant regarding these dynamics.
## Exotics and Emerging
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TRY – U.S. Dollar / Turkish Lira | USDTRY | 41.29 | 0.0807 | 0.1067 | 0.3229 | 1.4321 | 4.8125 | 12.57 | 16.96 | 21.29 | 40.66 | 39.87 | 38.05 | 87.27 | 0.1816 |
| USD/ZAR – U.S. Dollar / South African Rand | USDZAR | 17.53 | 0.2700 | -1.2004 | -0.6962 | -1.2460 | -1.2622 | -4.0664 | -6.5761 | -2.2651 | 17.71 | 17.87 | 18.16 | 44.34 | -0.0412 |
| USD/THB – U.S. Dollar / Thai Baht | USDTHB | 31.78 | 0.2524 | -1.5184 | -1.5184 | -2.0043 | -1.7316 | -5.6413 | -6.9100 | -5.4982 | 32.37 | 32.60 | 33.29 | 20.67 | -0.1531 |
| USD/SEK – U.S. Dollar / Swedish Krona | USDSEK | 9.3549 | 0.1467 | -1.0397 | -0.7165 | -2.8940 | -0.8195 | -8.2093 | -15.1393 | -9.5947 | 9.5584 | 9.5819 | 10.10 | 35.91 | -0.0545 |
| USD/NOK – U.S. Dollar / Norwegian Krone | USDNOK | 9.9345 | 0.1351 | -1.3617 | -1.0122 | -2.8034 | 0.1724 | -6.9906 | -12.2984 | -8.1080 | 10.15 | 10.17 | 10.60 | 27.05 | -0.0502 |
| USD/DKK – U.S. Dollar / Danish Krone | USDDKK | 6.3839 | 0.0831 | -0.3101 | -0.2671 | -0.6293 | -0.7128 | -7.1108 | -10.9240 | -5.7142 | 6.3975 | 6.4697 | 6.7562 | 45.99 | -0.0098 |
| USD/MXN – U.S. Dollar / Mexican Peso | USDMXN | 18.63 | 0.1980 | -0.5356 | -0.4335 | -0.1646 | -1.3648 | -7.2567 | -9.7261 | -7.2870 | 18.69 | 18.97 | 19.67 | 36.61 | -0.0140 |
| USD/PLN – U.S. Dollar / Polish Zloty | USDPLN | 3.6474 | 0.1840 | 0.0606 | 0.0458 | -0.4345 | -0.7456 | -5.2670 | -11.1922 | -6.0371 | 3.6467 | 3.6897 | 3.8373 | 47.18 | -0.0069 |
| USD/HUF – U.S. Dollar / Hungarian Forint | USDHUF | 336.30 | 0.1919 | -0.2231 | -0.2471 | -1.2045 | -2.5644 | -8.6067 | -14.8625 | -6.5963 | 340.22 | 346.73 | 365.16 | 45.81 | -1.4982 |
| USD/CZK – U.S. Dollar / Czech Koruna | USDCZK | 20.88 | 0.2064 | -0.3855 | -0.3142 | -0.7878 | -2.1960 | -9.4146 | -13.5691 | -8.1021 | 21.02 | 21.40 | 22.53 | 43.47 | -0.0748 |
In the current analysis of key FX pairs, USD/TRY is significantly overbought with an RSI of 87.27 and a positive MACD of 0.1816, indicating strong bullish momentum. Conversely, USD/THB, USD/NOK, and USD/SEK are in oversold territory with RSIs of 20.67, 27.05, and 35.91, respectively, coupled with negative MACD readings, suggesting potential for upward corrections. The moving averages for USD/TRY indicate a sustained bullish trend, while the others show bearish pressure. Traders should closely monitor these conditions, particularly for potential reversals in the oversold pairs as market sentiment shifts.
