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US Futures Dip Amid Earnings Surprises and Rising US-China Tensions

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# US Futures Dip Amid Earnings Surprises and Rising US-China Tensions

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global market sentiment turned cautious today amid rising tensions between the U.S. and China, impacting major indices and futures. U.S. futures saw declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.73%, Dow futures falling 0.81%, and Nasdaq futures decreasing by 0.91%. European indices also reflected this sentiment; the Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 0.64%, DAX fell 0.23%, and FTSE 100 declined 0.33%, while CAC 40 remained relatively stable with a slight increase of 0.01%. In Asia, the Nikkei index fell 1.51%.

In corporate earnings, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs reported stronger-than-expected results, with JPMorgan’s trading revenue hitting a record nearly $9 billion, bolstering its profit outlook despite potential economic turbulence. Goldman Sachs also exceeded estimates, benefitting from robust investment banking and trading activities. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s assets reached a record $13.5 trillion, attracting $205 billion in new client inflows.

On the geopolitical front, China imposed sanctions on five U.S. subsidiaries of South Korea’s Hanwha Ocean, leading to an 8% drop in shares.

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6638.00 -0.73
Dow Futures 45952.00 -0.81
Nasdaq Futures 24653.50 -0.91

##FX

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.16 -0.01
USD/JPY 152.00 -0.22
GBP/USD 1.33 -0.38
USD/CHF 0.80 -0.05
USD/CAD 1.41 0.22
AUD/USD 0.65 -0.92
NZD/USD 0.57 -0.49

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 58.33 -2.33
Gold 4123.10 -1.26
Silver 49.51 -5.08
Natural Gas 3.04 -1.52

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 110631.16 -4.02
Ethereum 3939.22 -7.20

## High-Importance Economic Events

On October 14, 2025, several economic reports from the UK and Eurozone are expected to influence market sentiment, particularly regarding the GBP and EUR.

The UK labor market data released at 02:00 ET showed surprising strength. The Average Earnings Index (including bonuses) rose to 5.0%, surpassing the forecast of 4.7%. Additionally, the Claimant Count Change recorded an increase of 25.8K, significantly above the anticipated 10.3K. Despite these positive indicators, the Unemployment Rate edged up to 4.8%, slightly above the forecast of 4.7%. These mixed signals may create volatility in GBP trading, as investors weigh the implications for future Bank of England policy.

In the Eurozone, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment fell to 22.7, below the expected 30.2, indicating a decline in economic optimism. The ZEW Current Conditions also disappointed at -80.0 versus -75.0 expected. This data could exert downward pressure on the EUR as market participants reassess growth prospects in Germany.

Overall, the stronger UK labor data may support the GBP, while the disappointing German sentiment indicators could lead to a weaker EUR in the near term.

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-10-14 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Aug) 5.0% 4.7%
2025-10-14 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Claimant Count Change (Sep) 25.8K 10.3K
2025-10-14 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Aug) 91K
2025-10-14 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Unemployment Rate (Aug) 4.8% 4.7%
2025-10-14 02:00 🇪🇺 Medium German CPI (YoY) (Sep) 2.4% 2.4%
2025-10-14 02:00 🇪🇺 High German CPI (MoM) (Sep) 0.2% 0.2%
2025-10-14 02:30 🇨🇭 Medium PPI (MoM) (Sep) -0.2% -0.2%
2025-10-14 02:30 🇮🇳 Medium WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sep) 0.13% 0.50%
2025-10-14 04:00 🇺🇸 Medium IEA Monthly Report
2025-10-14 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct) -80.0 -75.0
2025-10-14 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) 39.3 41.2
2025-10-14 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) 22.7 30.2
2025-10-14 05:10 🇪🇺 Medium Italian 10-Year BTP Auction 2.23%
2025-10-14 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium Building Permits (MoM) (Aug) -1.2% -0.7%
2025-10-14 08:45 🇺🇸 Medium FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
2025-10-14 11:15 🇨🇦 Medium BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks
2025-10-14 12:20 🇺🇸 High Fed Chair Powell Speaks
2025-10-14 13:00 🇬🇧 Medium BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
2025-10-14 15:25 🇺🇸 Medium Fed Waller Speaks
2025-10-14 21:30 🇨🇳 Medium CPI (MoM) (Sep) 0.2%
2025-10-14 21:30 🇨🇳 Medium CPI (YoY) (Sep) -0.2%
2025-10-14 21:30 🇨🇳 Medium PPI (YoY) (Sep) -2.3%

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