# US Futures Dip Amid Earnings Surprises and Rising US-China Tensions
**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.
## Major News
Global market sentiment turned cautious today amid rising tensions between the U.S. and China, impacting major indices and futures. U.S. futures saw declines, with S&P 500 futures down 0.73%, Dow futures falling 0.81%, and Nasdaq futures decreasing by 0.91%. European indices also reflected this sentiment; the Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 0.64%, DAX fell 0.23%, and FTSE 100 declined 0.33%, while CAC 40 remained relatively stable with a slight increase of 0.01%. In Asia, the Nikkei index fell 1.51%.
In corporate earnings, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs reported stronger-than-expected results, with JPMorgan’s trading revenue hitting a record nearly $9 billion, bolstering its profit outlook despite potential economic turbulence. Goldman Sachs also exceeded estimates, benefitting from robust investment banking and trading activities. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s assets reached a record $13.5 trillion, attracting $205 billion in new client inflows.
On the geopolitical front, China imposed sanctions on five U.S. subsidiaries of South Korea’s Hanwha Ocean, leading to an 8% drop in shares.
## Performances
### US Futures
US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.
| Future | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 6638.00 | -0.73 |
| Dow Futures | 45952.00 | -0.81 |
| Nasdaq Futures | 24653.50 | -0.91 |
##FX
| Currency Pair | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.16 | -0.01 |
| USD/JPY | 152.00 | -0.22 |
| GBP/USD | 1.33 | -0.38 |
| USD/CHF | 0.80 | -0.05 |
| USD/CAD | 1.41 | 0.22 |
| AUD/USD | 0.65 | -0.92 |
| NZD/USD | 0.57 | -0.49 |
### Commodities Performance
| Commodity | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | 58.33 | -2.33 |
| Gold | 4123.10 | -1.26 |
| Silver | 49.51 | -5.08 |
| Natural Gas | 3.04 | -1.52 |
### BTC and ETH Performance
| Crypto | Price | Daily Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 110631.16 | -4.02 |
| Ethereum | 3939.22 | -7.20 |
## High-Importance Economic Events
On October 14, 2025, several economic reports from the UK and Eurozone are expected to influence market sentiment, particularly regarding the GBP and EUR.
The UK labor market data released at 02:00 ET showed surprising strength. The Average Earnings Index (including bonuses) rose to 5.0%, surpassing the forecast of 4.7%. Additionally, the Claimant Count Change recorded an increase of 25.8K, significantly above the anticipated 10.3K. Despite these positive indicators, the Unemployment Rate edged up to 4.8%, slightly above the forecast of 4.7%. These mixed signals may create volatility in GBP trading, as investors weigh the implications for future Bank of England policy.
In the Eurozone, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment fell to 22.7, below the expected 30.2, indicating a decline in economic optimism. The ZEW Current Conditions also disappointed at -80.0 versus -75.0 expected. This data could exert downward pressure on the EUR as market participants reassess growth prospects in Germany.
Overall, the stronger UK labor data may support the GBP, while the disappointing German sentiment indicators could lead to a weaker EUR in the near term.
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Aug) | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Claimant Count Change (Sep) | 25.8K | 10.3K |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Aug) | 91K | |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | Unemployment Rate (Aug) | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:30 | 🇨🇭 | Medium | PPI (MoM) (Sep) | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:30 | 🇮🇳 | Medium | WPI Inflation (YoY) (Sep) | 0.13% | 0.50% |
| 2025-10-14 | 04:00 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | IEA Monthly Report | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct) | -80.0 | -75.0 |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 39.3 | 41.2 |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 22.7 | 30.2 |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:10 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | Italian 10-Year BTP Auction | 2.23% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | Building Permits (MoM) (Aug) | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 08:45 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 11:15 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 12:20 | 🇺🇸 | High | Fed Chair Powell Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 13:00 | 🇬🇧 | Medium | BoE Gov Bailey Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 15:25 | 🇺🇸 | Medium | Fed Waller Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | CPI (YoY) (Sep) | -0.2% | |
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | 🇨🇳 | Medium | PPI (YoY) (Sep) | -2.3% |
