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US Premarket Futures Mixed as Trade Deal Prospects Rise Amid Earnings Insights

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# US Premarket: Futures Mixed as Trade Deal Prospects Rise Amid Earnings Insights

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global market sentiment remains mixed amid significant developments in trade negotiations and corporate earnings. U.S. futures showed slight upward movement for the S&P 500, which gained 0.03%, while the Nasdaq rose by 1.09%. However, Dow futures dipped by 0.15%. European indices faced downward pressure, with the Euro Stoxx 50 falling by 0.19%, the DAX down 0.52%, and the FTSE 100 declining by 0.36%. The Nikkei also experienced a slight decrease of 0.15%.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated a potential trade deal with China before the November deadline, driven by ongoing discussions related to TikTok. This news may have contributed to the cautious optimism in U.S. futures. However, a CNBC survey highlighted concerns regarding President Trump’s influence on the Federal Reserve, with fears of higher inflation and weaker economic growth.

In commodities, sunflower oil prices surged in Europe due to low yields expected from Ukraine, reflecting the impacts of a dry summer. The market is also keeping a close eye on Meta’s AI-powered smart glasses, which could affect investor sentiment.

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6628.50 0.03
Dow Futures 45881.00 -0.15
Nasdaq Futures 24603.75 1.09

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6615.97 0.19
Dow Jones 45890.16 0.09
Nasdaq 100 24295.33 0.48

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.18 0.39
USD/JPY 147.00 -0.26
GBP/USD 1.36 0.29
USD/CHF 0.79 -0.55
USD/CAD 1.38 -0.16
AUD/USD 0.67 0.00
NZD/USD 0.60 0.12

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 64.08 0.99
Gold 3727.10 0.23
Silver 43.30 0.58
Natural Gas 3.07 1.29

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 115477.13 0.06
Ethereum 4509.35 -0.32

## High-Importance Economic Events

On September 16, 2025, several key economic events influenced market sentiment, particularly concerning the GBP and USD.

For the GBP, the Average Earnings Index matched expectations at 4.7%, while the Claimant Count Change revealed a larger-than-forecast increase of 17.4K, compared to the anticipated 15.3K. Employment Change surpassed expectations at 232K versus 220K, and the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.7%. These labor market indicators suggest resilience in the UK economy, potentially supporting the GBP against other currencies.

In the Eurozone, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment significantly outperformed forecasts at 37.3, compared to 25.3, indicating improved investor outlook. However, the ZEW Current Conditions fell short at -76.4 against expectations of -75.0, reflecting mixed sentiment. The EUR may experience volatility as these contrasting signals are digested by investors.

In the U.S., core retail sales rose by 0.7%, exceeding the forecast of 0.4%, which may bolster the USD as it signals consumer strength. Retail sales also beat expectations at 0.6% against 0.2%. These positive figures could support expectations for

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-16 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Jul) 4.7% 4.7%
2025-09-16 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Claimant Count Change (Aug) 17.4K 15.3K
2025-09-16 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Employment Change 3M/3M (MoM) (Jul) 232K 220K
2025-09-16 02:00 🇬🇧 Medium Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.7% 4.7%
2025-09-16 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium German ZEW Current Conditions (Sep) -76.4 -75.0
2025-09-16 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep) 37.3 25.3
2025-09-16 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium Wages in euro zone (YoY) (Q2) 3.70% 3.70%
2025-09-16 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% 0.4%
2025-09-16 05:00 🇪🇺 Medium ZEW Economic Sentiment (Sep) 26.1 20.3
2025-09-16 08:00 🇪🇺 Medium German Buba Vice President Buch Speaks
2025-09-16 08:00 🇧🇷 Medium Unemployment Rate (Jul) 5.6% 5.7%
2025-09-16 08:15 🇨🇦 Medium Housing Starts (Aug) 245.8K 278.0K
2025-09-16 08:30 🇺🇸 High Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) 0.7% 0.4%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Export Price Index (MoM) (Aug) 0.3% -0.1%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Import Price Index (MoM) (Aug) 0.3% -0.2%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Retail Control (MoM) (Aug) 0.7% 0.4%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇺🇸 High Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) 0.6% 0.2%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium Core CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.0%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.6%
2025-09-16 08:30 🇨🇦 Medium CPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.1% 0.0%
2025-09-16 09:15 🇺🇸 Medium Industrial Production (YoY) (Aug)
2025-09-16 09:15 🇺🇸 Medium Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) 0.0%
2025-09-16 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Business Inventories (MoM) (Jul) 0.2%
2025-09-16 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jul) -0.1%
2025-09-16 12:30 🇺🇸 Medium Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 3.1%
2025-09-16 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium 20-Year Bond Auction
2025-09-16 16:30 🇺🇸 Medium API Weekly Crude Oil Stock -1.600M
2025-09-16 17:00 🇳🇿 Medium Westpac Consumer Sentiment (Q3)
2025-09-16 18:45 🇳🇿 Medium Current Account (QoQ) (Q2) -2.67B
2025-09-16 18:45 🇳🇿 Medium Current Account (YoY) (Q2)
2025-09-16 19:50 🇯🇵 Medium Adjusted Trade Balance -0.36T
2025-09-16 19:50 🇯🇵 Medium Exports (YoY) (Aug) -1.9%
2025-09-16 19:50 🇯🇵 Medium Trade Balance (Aug) -513.6B

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