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US Premarket Update Futures Steady Amid Mixed Economic Signals as ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged

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# US Premarket Update: Futures Steady Amid Mixed Economic Signals and Inflation Insights

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global markets exhibited a positive sentiment today, driven by a mix of economic data and corporate developments. In the U.S., futures for the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq rose by approximately 0.11%, 0.14%, and 0.12%, respectively, following the release of consumer price data indicating an annual inflation rate of 2.9% for August, in line with expectations. Additionally, weekly jobless claims increased to 263,000, the highest in nearly four years, but did not deter investor optimism about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.

European indices also showed gains, with the Euro Stoxx 50, DAX, CAC 40, and FTSE 100 rising between 0.09% and 0.47%. The European Central Bank opted to maintain interest rates amid ongoing tariff concerns and economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, the Nikkei gained 1.11%, reflecting a robust performance in Asian markets.

In commodities, U.S. Treasuries rallied as traders reacted to mixed economic signals, with the 10-year yield briefly falling to 4%. The prospect of increased U.S. share buybacks, projected to rise by $600 billion, adds to the positive market backdrop. Overall,

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6554.00 0.11
Dow Futures 45632.00 0.14
Nasdaq Futures 23943.50 0.12

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6531.90 -0.28
Dow Jones 45494.85 -0.52
Nasdaq 100 23858.97 -0.30

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 0.09
USD/JPY 147.47 0.09
GBP/USD 1.35 0.04
USD/CHF 0.80 -0.15
USD/CAD 1.39 0.01
AUD/USD 0.66 0.08
NZD/USD 0.59 -0.02

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 62.83 -1.15
Gold 3669.10 -0.02
Silver 41.58 0.08
Natural Gas 3.00 -0.53

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 113969.55 0.01
Ethereum 4425.75 1.77

## High-Importance Economic Events

On September 11, 2025, several key economic events are poised to influence market dynamics, particularly concerning currency movements.

The Swedish Krona (SEK) reacted negatively to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, with the August MoM figure showing a surprising decline of -0.4%, significantly below the forecast of 0.8%. This unexpected contraction may lead to downward pressure on the SEK as it raises concerns about inflationary trends in Sweden. The YoY CPI met expectations at 1.1%.

In the United States, the CPI data showed a stronger-than-expected MoM increase of 0.4%, surpassing the forecast of 0.3%, which could bolster the USD as it suggests persistent inflationary pressures. Conversely, Initial Jobless Claims surged to 263K, sharply higher than the anticipated 235K, potentially raising concerns about labor market stability.

The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its monetary policy stance, with the interest rate and deposit facility rate both holding steady at 2.15% and 2.00%, respectively. The ECB’s decisions are expected to support the Euro (EUR) in the short term, although the impact may be tempered by the broader economic context.

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-11 02:00 Medium CPI (MoM) (Aug) -0.4% 0.8%
2025-09-11 02:00 Medium CPI (YoY) (Aug) 1.1% 1.1%
2025-09-11 04:00 🇺🇸 Medium IEA Monthly Report
2025-09-11 07:00 🇺🇸 Medium OPEC Monthly Report
2025-09-11 08:00 🇧🇷 Medium Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) -0.3% -0.3%
2025-09-11 08:00 🇧🇷 Medium Retail Sales (YoY) (Jul) 1.0% 0.8%
2025-09-11 08:15 🇪🇺 High Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) 2.00% 2.00%
2025-09-11 08:15 🇪🇺 Medium ECB Marginal Lending Facility 2.40%
2025-09-11 08:15 🇪🇺 Medium ECB Monetary Policy Statement
2025-09-11 08:15 🇪🇺 High ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 2.15% 2.15%
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Continuing Jobless Claims 1,939K 1,950K
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 High Core CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.3% 0.3%
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) 3.1% 3.1%
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 High CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.4% 0.3%
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 High CPI (YoY) (Aug) 2.9% 2.9%
2025-09-11 08:30 🇺🇸 High Initial Jobless Claims 263K 235K
2025-09-11 08:45 🇪🇺 High ECB Press Conference
2025-09-11 10:15 🇪🇺 Medium ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2025-09-11 13:00 🇺🇸 High 30-Year Bond Auction
2025-09-11 14:00 🇺🇸 Medium Federal Budget Balance (Aug) -305.7B
2025-09-11 16:30 🇺🇸 Medium Fed’s Balance Sheet
2025-09-11 18:30 🇳🇿 Medium Business NZ PMI (Aug)
2025-09-11 18:45 🇳🇿 Medium Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)

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