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- S&P 500 and Dow Edge Up Nasdaq Slips - US Futures Mixed as Small Caps Gain - Dow Leads Futures Nasdaq Dips Slightly

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- S&P 500 and Dow Edge Up Nasdaq Slips - US Futures Mixed as Small Caps Gain - Dow Leads Futures Nasdaq Dips Slightly

US Pre-Market Briefing | July 01, 2026

Market Commentary

**Pre-Market Commentary – July 1, 2026** US equity futures are mixed in early trading, with the Dow Jones and Russell 2000 edging up 0.15% and 0.13%, respectively, while the Nasdaq 100 dips 0.15% amid lingering pressure on tech stocks after their strong first-half performance. The S&P 500 remains flat, up just 0.08%, as investors weigh geopolitical tensions and mixed global economic signals. Oil prices remain volatile following the breakdown in U.S.-Iran peace talks, raising concerns over Middle East stability and energy supply chains. European manufacturing PMIs came in slightly mixed, with Germany and France beating expectations while Italy missed forecasts, though overall eurozone activity remains in expansion territory. The dollar continues to strengthen, pressuring commodities like aluminum, which hit a five-month low. Market focus now shifts to today’s ADP jobs report (forecast: 118K) and remarks from Fed Governor Warsh, whose tone on inflation and rate policy could sway sentiment ahead of Friday’s nonfarm payrolls data. Notable earnings today include General Mills (GIS) and FactSet (FDS) before the open, while Michael Burry’s short bet on Caterpillar (CAT) draws attention after the stock’s AI-driven rally. Mortgage demand softens as riskier loan advantages fade, reflecting tighter credit conditions. With central bank speakers dominating the calendar—including Lagarde, Bailey, and Macklem—expect volatility as markets parse any hints on policy divergence. Tech remains in the spotlight as China expands export curbs, escalating U.S.-China tensions in AI and defense sectors.

US Index Futures

FuturePriceChange (%)
S&P 500 Futures7,536.75+0.08%
Nasdaq 100 Futures30,405.25-0.15%
Dow Jones Futures52,576.00+0.15%
Russell 2000 Futures3,037.70+0.13%

Economic Data Released Today

TimeCurImpEventActualForecastPrevious
02:00GBMedNationwide HPI (MoM) (Jun)0.0%0.1%-0.6%
02:00GBMedNationwide HPI (YoY) (Jun)2.2%2.4%1.7%
03:45EUMedHCOB Italy Manufacturing PMI (Jun)52.252.452.9
03:50EUMedHCOB France Manufacturing PMI (Jun)51.250.749.7
03:55EUMedHCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI (Jun)50.350.050.1
04:00EUMedHCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Jun)51.451.351.6
04:30GBMedS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun)52.553.153.9
05:00EUMedCore CPI (YoY) (Jun)2.4%2.5%2.6%
05:00EUHighCPI (YoY) (Jun)2.8%3.0%3.2%
05:00EUMedCPI (MoM) (Jun)-0.1%0.1%

Upcoming Economic Releases

TimeCurImpEventForecastPrevious
06:15EUMedECB's Lane Speaks
07:45USMedFOMC Member Daly Speaks
08:15USHighADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun)118K122K
09:00GBMedBoE Gov Bailey Speaks
09:00USMedFed Governor Warsh Speaks
09:00CAMedBoC Gov Macklem Speaks
09:00EUMedECB President Lagarde Speaks
09:45USHighS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun)55.755.1
10:00USMedConstruction Spending (MoM) (May)0.1%0.4%
10:00USMedISM Manufacturing Employment (Jun)48.6
10:00USHighISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun)53.854.0
10:00USHighISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun)77.782.1
10:30USHighCrude Oil Inventories-2.900M-6.088M
10:30USMedCushing Crude Oil Inventories-1.077M
10:30EUMedECB President Lagarde Speaks
11:30USMedAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)2.5%2.5%
15:15USHighU.S. President Trump Speaks
21:30AUMedTrade Balance (May)2.190B1.791B
23:35JPMed10-Year JGB Auction2.649%

Earnings Today

Before Market Open (BMO)

TickerCompanyMarket Cap
GISGeneral Mills Inc$18.6B
FDSFactset Research Systems Inc$8.4B
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co Inc$6.6B
UNFUnifirst Corp$4.6B
MWCMicware Co Ltd ADR$226M

After Market Close (AMC)

TickerCompanyMarket Cap
GBXGreenbrier Cos. Inc$1.5B
FCFranklin Covey Co$277M
BSETBassett Furniture Industries Inc$153M
CULPCulp Inc$39M

FX Snapshot

PairPriceChange (%)
EUR/USD1.14-0.22%
GBP/USD1.32-0.10%
USD/JPY162.69+0.05%
USD/CHF0.81+0.21%
AUD/USD0.69-0.28%
USD/CAD1.42+0.15%

Gold, Oil and Gas

CommodityPriceChange (%)
Gold4,036.50+1.08%
Silver59.15+1.49%
WTI Crude69.04-1.12%
Brent Oil72.38-1.23%
Natural Gas3.23-0.64%

Crypto

CryptoPriceChange (%)
Bitcoin$58,605.75+0.11%
Ethereum$1,570.13+0.03%

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