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US Stocks Slide as Warsh-Led Fed Signals Hawkish Stance; Dollar Strengthens

Β· Market News Β· MarketsFN Team

US Stocks Slide as Warsh-Led Fed Signals Hawkish Stance; Dollar Strengthens

US equities fell sharply Wednesday as markets digested a hawkish tilt from the Federal Reserve under new Chairman Kevin Warsh, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.21% to 7,420.10. The dollar rallied across the board after several Fed officials signaled potential rate hikes later in 2026.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Session Overview

All major US indices closed lower after the Fed held rates steady at 3.75% but revealed a more hawkish outlook in Chairman Warsh's first meeting. The Nasdaq 100 declined 0.99% to 29,670.95, outperforming the broader market as tech showed relative resilience. The Dow Jones fell 0.98% to 51,492.55, while small caps measured by the Russell 2000 dropped 0.72% to 2,917.98.

Financials initially rallied on the hawkish Fed signals but gave up gains late in the session. Energy stocks underperformed as oil prices declined, while defensive sectors saw modest inflows. The 2-year Treasury yield surged as markets priced in higher odds of a 2026 rate hike.

πŸ“… Economic Calendar Highlights

US economic data surprised to the upside, with Retail Sales (MoM) coming in at 0.9% versus 0.5% expected. Core Retail Sales also beat at 0.8%. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q2 rose to 3.0%, suggesting continued economic resilience.

European inflation data showed EUR CPI (YoY) at 3.2%, matching forecasts but up from 3.0% previously. UK inflation held steady at 2.8% year-over-year, below the 3.0% forecast. Crude Oil Inventories showed a larger-than-expected draw of -8.263M barrels.

πŸ“‹ Earnings Spotlight

Notable earnings today included Jabil (JBL) and Progressive (PGR) reporting before market open, while Smith & Wesson (SWBI) reported after the close. Markets will focus on guidance from these companies in tomorrow's session.

πŸ’± FX & Commodities

The dollar index surged as Fed officials signaled potential tightening, with EUR/USD falling 0.76% to 1.1506 and GBP/USD dropping 0.90% to 1.3295. USD/JPY rose 0.24% to 160.61, approaching recent highs.

Commodities broadly declined, with Gold falling 1.26% to 4,276.30 and Silver plunging 2.77%. WTI Crude dropped 1.37% to 75.01 despite the inventory draw. Cryptocurrencies saw heavy selling, with Bitcoin down 2.01% and Ethereum falling 2.73%.

Asian markets are expected to open lower following the US session, with focus shifting to Japan's trade data and China's loan prime rate decision. The Fed's hawkish tilt may continue to pressure risk assets globally as markets reassess the rate outlook.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Indices β€” Session Close

IndexPriceChangeChange %
S&P 5007,420.10β–Ό -91.25β–Ό -1.21%
Nasdaq 10029,670.95β–Ό -297.18β–Ό -0.99%
Dow Jones51,492.55β–Ό -507.12β–Ό -0.98%
Russell 20002,917.98β–Ό -21.22β–Ό -0.72%
6-Month candlestick: S&P 500 (50d / 100d / 200d SMAs)
6-Month candlestick: S&P 500 (50d / 100d / 200d SMAs)

πŸ’± FX Majors

PairRateChange %
EUR/USD1.1506β–Ό -0.76%
GBP/USD1.3295β–Ό -0.90%
USD/JPY160.61β–² +0.24%
AUD/USD0.7015β–Ό -0.83%
USD/CHF0.7989β–² +0.56%

πŸ›’οΈ Commodities & Crypto

AssetPrice (USD)Change %
Gold (XAU/USD)4,276.30β–Ό -1.26%
Silver (XAG/USD)67.96β–Ό -2.77%
Crude Oil (WTI)75.01β–Ό -1.37%
Brent Oil78.69β–Ό -0.34%
Natural Gas3.16β–Ό -2.50%
Bitcoin64,279.00β–Ό -2.01%
Ethereum1,741.60β–Ό -2.73%
6-Month normalised return: Gold Β· WTI Oil Β· Bitcoin
6-Month normalised return: Gold Β· WTI Oil Β· Bitcoin

πŸ“‹ Today's Earnings

TickerCompanyTimingMarket Cap
DSWLDeswell Industries IncBMO55940000.0
JBLJabil IncBMO39560000000.0
KMXCarmax IncBMO6730000000.0
PGRProgressive CorpBMO119450000000.0
RFRegions Financial CorpBMO24450000000.0
SBSafe Bulkers IncAMC659480000.0
SWBISmith & Wesson Brands IncAMC610900000.0

πŸ“… Economic Calendar

All times in UTC β€” Actual highlighted where available

TimeCurrencyEventImp.ActualForecastPrevious
06:00GBPCPI (YoY) (May)πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄2.8%3.0%2.8%
09:00EURCPI (YoY) (May)πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄3.2%3.2%3.0%
12:30USDCore Retail Sales (MoM) (May)πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄0.8%0.6%0.7%
12:30USDRetail Sales (MoM) (May)πŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄0.9%0.5%0.4%
14:30USDCrude Oil InventoriesπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄-8.263M-3.600M-7.227M
18:00USDFed Interest Rate DecisionπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄3.75%3.75%3.75%
06:00GBPCPI (MoM) (May)🟑🟑0.2%0.4%0.7%
06:00GBPPPI Input (MoM) (May)🟑🟑0.2%0.5%2.6%
07:30SEKInterest Rate Decision🟑🟑1.75%1.75%1.75%
09:00EURCore CPI (YoY) (May)🟑🟑2.6%2.5%2.2%
09:00EURCPI (MoM) (May)🟑🟑0.1%0.1%1.0%
12:30USDRetail Control (MoM) (May)🟑🟑0.7%0.4%0.5%
12:30CADNew Housing Price Index (MoM) (May)🟑🟑-0.3%-0.1%-0.4%
14:00USDBusiness Inventories (MoM) (Apr)🟑🟑0.5%0.5%1.0%
14:00USDPending Home Sales (MoM) (May)🟑🟑3.8%0.8%0.3%
14:00USDRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Apr)🟑🟑0.6%0.6%0.6%
14:30USDCushing Crude Oil Inventories🟑🟑-1.606M-0.801M
15:00USDAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)🟑🟑3.0%2.8%2.8%
16:00RUBGDP Quarterly (YoY) (Q1)🟑🟑-0.2%-0.2%1.0%
18:00USDInterest Rate Projection - 1st Yr (Q2)🟑🟑3.6%3.1%
18:00USDInterest Rate Projection - 2nd Yr (Q2)🟑🟑3.4%3.1%
18:00USDInterest Rate Projection - Current (Q2)🟑🟑3.8%3.4%
18:00USDInterest Rate Projection - Longer (Q2)🟑🟑3.1%3.1%
14:45USDU.S. President Trump SpeaksπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄β€”
18:00USDFOMC Economic ProjectionsπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄β€”
18:00USDFOMC StatementπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄β€”
18:30USDFOMC Press ConferenceπŸ”΄πŸ”΄πŸ”΄β€”
07:00EURGerman Buba President Nagel SpeaksπŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”
08:00EURGerman Buba Balz SpeaksπŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”
09:00USDIEA Monthly ReportπŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”
10:50EURECB President Lagarde SpeaksπŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”
21:30BRLInterest Rate DecisionπŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”14.25%14.50%
21:30NZDWestpac Consumer Sentiment (Q2)πŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”94.7
22:45NZDGDP (QoQ) (Q1)πŸŸ‘πŸŸ‘β€”0.2%

Report published: June 17, 2026 β€” 23:14 CET

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