## Forex and Global News (Last 8 Hours)
In the latest forex market developments, the US Dollar (USD) remains strong amid heightened risk aversion stemming from renewed US-China trade tensions. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has gained 0.2%, benefiting from its safe-haven status, while the British Pound (GBP) has weakened by 0.5% due to disappointing labor market data. The Euro (EUR) is down 0.1% against the USD, trading around 1.1550, as traders await comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which could influence market sentiment further. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is softer but has shown relative resilience compared to its G10 peers. Overall, the market sentiment reflects unease, with global bonds rallying as investors seek safety amid geopolitical concerns. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently at 99.20, reflecting a daily change of 0.0040%.
## Economic Calendar Events Today
All times are in US Eastern Time (New York).
| Date | Time | Cur | Imp | Event | Actual | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | High | German CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2025-10-14 | 02:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German CPI (YoY) (Sep) | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Current Conditions (Oct) | -80.0 | -75.0 |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 39.3 | 41.2 |
| 2025-10-14 | 05:00 | 🇪🇺 | Medium | ZEW Economic Sentiment (Oct) | 22.7 | 30.2 |
| 2025-10-14 | 08:30 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | Building Permits (MoM) (Aug) | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2025-10-14 | 11:15 | 🇨🇦 | Medium | BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers Speaks | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | Medium | CPI (MoM) (Sep) | 0.2% | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | Medium | CPI (YoY) (Sep) | -0.2% | ||
| 2025-10-14 | 21:30 | Medium | PPI (YoY) (Sep) | -2.3% |
On October 14, 2025, several economic indicators were released that could influence G7 FX markets, particularly the euro (EUR) and Canadian dollar (CAD).
For the eurozone, German CPI figures met expectations, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year rate of 2.4%. However, the German ZEW Current Conditions index significantly underperformed, registering -80.0 against a forecast of -75.0, indicating deteriorating sentiment among analysts. Similarly, the ZEW Economic Sentiment index fell short of expectations at 39.3, compared to a forecast of 41.2. The overall weak sentiment data may exert downward pressure on the EUR as investor confidence wanes.
In Canada, building permits fell by 1.2% month-on-month, worse than the forecast of -0.7%, which may suggest a slowdown in construction activity. This could impact the CAD negatively, especially ahead of the Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor’s speech, which may provide further insights into monetary policy direction.
Overall, the market is likely to react to the disappointing sentiment indicators in Germany and the weak Canadian building permits data, with potential volatility expected in the EUR and CAD.
## G7 Currency Pairs Performance
| Name | Symbol | Price | Daily (%) | 5D (%) | 1W (%) | 1M (%) | 3M (%) | 6M (%) | YTD (%) | 12M (%) | MA50 | MA100 | MA200 | RSI | MACD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD – Euro / U.S. Dollar | EURUSD | 1.1597 | 0.2247 | -0.3006 | -0.9674 | -1.1738 | -0.0895 | 1.7567 | 11.44 | 6.1473 | 1.1693 | 1.1640 | 1.1220 | 25.03 | -0.0028 |
| USD/JPY – U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen | USDJPY | 151.83 | -0.3309 | -0.5567 | 0.9971 | 3.1286 | 2.0630 | 6.9768 | -3.2899 | 1.6714 | 148.24 | 146.99 | 148.21 | 67.51 | 1.1788 |
| GBP/USD – British Pound / U.S. Dollar | GBPUSD | 1.3297 | -0.2625 | -0.7791 | -1.3934 | -2.0596 | -0.7193 | 0.4761 | 5.9598 | 1.9002 | 1.3474 | 1.3495 | 1.3169 | 33.28 | -0.0042 |
| USD/CHF – U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc | USDCHF | 0.8021 | -0.2611 | 0.0749 | 0.9045 | 0.7727 | 0.0849 | -1.4316 | -11.1975 | -6.5478 | 0.8005 | 0.8038 | 0.8388 | 67.23 | 0.0009 |
| AUD/USD – Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar | AUDUSD | 0.6486 | -0.5215 | -1.4959 | -1.9723 | -2.7295 | -0.5061 | 1.7731 | 4.2765 | -3.6414 | 0.6554 | 0.6535 | 0.6421 | 32.68 | -0.0010 |
| USD/CAD – U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar | USDCAD | 1.4042 | 0.0427 | 0.6263 | 0.6884 | 1.5057 | 2.3738 | 1.3153 | -2.1450 | 1.8924 | 1.3844 | 1.3769 | 1.3980 | 80.79 | 0.0053 |
| NZD/USD – New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar | NZDUSD | 0.5714 | -0.2444 | -1.2015 | -2.1743 | -4.4130 | -4.0357 | -3.7300 | 1.3172 | -6.2001 | 0.5874 | 0.5941 | 0.5847 | 26.45 | -0.0040 |
| DXY – US Dollar Index | DXY | 99.20 | 0.0040 | -0.3426 | 0.6279 | 1.6904 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 98.06 | 98.06 | 98.06 | 64.67 | 0.3466 |
## Charts
## Technical Analysis
Analyzing the G7 currency pairs alongside the DXY, several key technical signals emerge.
**EUR/USD** is currently oversold with an RSI of 25.03, suggesting potential for a corrective bounce. The MACD remains bearish at -0.0028, indicating downward momentum, while both MA50 and MA100 are above the current price, reinforcing resistance levels.
**USD/JPY** is approaching overbought territory with an RSI of 67.51. The MACD at 1.1788 is bullish, suggesting sustained upward momentum, but caution may be warranted as it nears overbought conditions. The price is well above the MA50 and MA100, indicating a strong bullish trend.
**GBP/USD** shows an RSI of 33.28, indicating oversold conditions, but the MACD remains negative at -0.0042, suggesting continued bearish pressure. Resistance levels are established by the MA50 and MA100.
**USD/CHF** is similarly positioned with an RSI of 67.23 and a slightly bullish MACD at 0.0009, hinting at potential continuation of the upward trend.
**USD/CAD** stands out with an RSI of 80.79, indicating overbought conditions, and a bullish MACD. Traders may consider shorting opportunities here.
The **DXY**, with an RSI of 64.67 and a bullish MACD of 0.3466, suggests strength in the USD, but
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