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US Futures Slide as Jobless Claims Fall and Starbucks Restructures Amid Economic Uncertainty

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# US Futures Slide as Jobless Claims Fall and Starbucks Restructures Amid Economic Uncertainty

**Note**: This analysis is generated during US premarket, markets closed but futures trading. Event times in US Eastern Time.

## Major News

Global markets faced downward pressure today, with U.S. futures indicating a bearish sentiment. S&P 500 futures declined by 0.71%, reflecting ongoing concerns over the faltering AI sector, particularly after Oracle’s disappointing performance. Dow and Nasdaq futures also fell by 0.47% and 0.94%, respectively. In Europe, major indices mirrored this trend, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.72%, the DAX dropping 0.78%, and the CAC 40 and FTSE 100 declining by 0.33% and 0.43%.

The Nikkei, however, showed resilience, gaining 0.38%.

In the commodities market, copper prices surged following a force majeure declaration from Freeport-McMoRan due to a fatal accident at its Grasberg mine, raising concerns about global supply disruptions.

On the currency front, the dollar’s strength may be influenced by recent jobless claims data, which fell to 218,000, well below the anticipated 235,000, suggesting a tighter labor market despite fears of economic weakness.

Market sentiment remains cautious, particularly with looming government shutdown threats and potential mass federal layoffs, as highlighted by Trump’s OMB.

## Performances

### US Futures

US futures indicate opening sign for cash market.

Future Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 Futures 6656.25 -0.71
Dow Futures 46312.00 -0.47
Nasdaq Futures 24549.00 -0.94

### Major US Indices (Previous Close)

Index Price Daily Change (%)
S&P 500 6636.68 -0.50
Dow Jones 46113.99 -0.55
Nasdaq 100 24500.84 -0.59

### FX Performance

Currency Pair Price Daily Change (%)
EUR/USD 1.17 -0.34
USD/JPY 149.22 0.28
GBP/USD 1.34 -0.48
USD/CHF 0.80 0.45
USD/CAD 1.39 0.09
AUD/USD 0.66 -0.39
NZD/USD 0.58 -0.36

### Commodities Performance

Commodity Price Daily Change (%)
Crude Oil 64.50 -0.34
Gold 3770.30 0.08
Silver 44.75 1.10
Natural Gas 3.25 2.82

### BTC and ETH Performance

Crypto Price Daily Change (%)
Bitcoin 111407.37 -1.71
Ethereum 3972.04 -4.36

## High-Importance Economic Events

On September 25, 2025, several key economic events are poised to impact market dynamics, particularly in the currency markets.

The GfK German Consumer Climate for October reported an actual reading of -22.3, outperforming expectations of -23.3, indicating slightly improved consumer sentiment in Germany, which may provide modest support for the euro (EUR).

In Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintained its interest rate at 0.00%, aligning with forecasts. The subsequent Monetary Policy Assessment and Press Conference will be closely watched for any hints on future policy direction, which could influence the Swiss franc (CHF).

In the U.S., a series of economic indicators released at 8:30 AM ET exceeded expectations: Core Durable Goods Orders rose by 0.4% against a forecast of -0.1%, and GDP growth for Q2 was reported at 3.8%, surpassing the anticipated 3.3%. Initial Jobless Claims also came in lower than expected at 218K, suggesting a robust labor market. These positive figures are likely to strengthen the U.S. dollar (USD).

The Tokyo Core CPI for September is expected to be at 2.8%, which may affect the Japanese yen

Date Time Cur Imp Event Actual Forecast
2025-09-25 02:00 🇪🇺 Medium GfK German Consumer Climate (Oct) -22.3 -23.3
2025-09-25 03:30 🇨🇭 High SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q3) 0.00% 0.00%
2025-09-25 03:30 🇨🇭 Medium SNB Monetary Policy Assessment
2025-09-25 04:00 🇨🇭 Medium SNB Press Conference
2025-09-25 04:00 🇪🇺 Medium ECB Economic Bulletin
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Continuing Jobless Claims 1,926K 1,930K
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) 0.4% -0.1%
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Core PCE Prices (Q2) 2.60% 2.50%
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 High Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Aug) 2.9% -0.3%
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 High GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 3.8% 3.3%
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q2) 2.1% 2.0%
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Goods Trade Balance (Aug) -85.50B -95.70B
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 High Initial Jobless Claims 218K 233K
2025-09-25 08:30 🇺🇸 Medium Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Aug) 0.3%
2025-09-25 09:00 🇺🇸 Medium FOMC Member Williams Speaks
2025-09-25 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Aug)
2025-09-25 10:00 🇺🇸 High Existing Home Sales (Aug) 3.96M
2025-09-25 10:00 🇺🇸 Medium FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
2025-09-25 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium 7-Year Note Auction
2025-09-25 13:00 🇺🇸 Medium Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks
2025-09-25 15:30 🇺🇸 Medium FOMC Member Daly Speaks
2025-09-25 16:30 🇺🇸 Medium Fed’s Balance Sheet
2025-09-25 19:30 🇯🇵 Medium Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Sep) 2.8%

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