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- US Futures Edge Higher as Small Caps Lead Gains

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- US Futures Edge Higher as Small Caps Lead Gains

US Pre-Market Briefing | July 13, 2026

Market Commentary

U.S. equity futures edge higher early Monday despite geopolitical tensions, with the Russell 2000 leading gains at +0.48% as small caps rebound from last week’s underperformance. The Dow (+0.31%) and Nasdaq (+0.20%) show modest strength, though chipmaker weakness persists after SK Hynix’s 8% plunge on reports of U.S. restrictions on high-bandwidth memory exports to China. Geopolitical risks dominate sentiment as conflicting reports emerge over Strait of Hormuz accessibility following U.S.-Iran strikes, keeping oil prices volatile ahead of today’s OPEC meeting. Energy sector futures lag the broader market as traders weigh potential supply disruptions against demand concerns after China’s softer-than-expected June CPI (+1.1% YoY). Meta’s 1.2% pre-market rise offsets some tech pressure after Louisiana confirmed $50 billion in data center investments bolstered by tax incentives. India’s hotter-than-forecast June inflation (4.38% vs. 4.30% expected) and widening trade deficit amplify EM currency strains, though the dollar index holds steady before a packed Fed speaker slate. Focus centers on Fed Governor Waller’s noon ET remarks for clues on rate-cut timing, while the U.S. federal budget balance (forecast -$132.8B) could test Treasury demand after last week’s weak auction. Earnings attention remains light with LGPS reporting pre-market and FBK post-close, but SK Hynix’s supply-chain fallout may pressure AI-exposed names. The Russell’s outperformance suggests rotation into domestically focused stocks as global risk premiums rise, though S&P 500 futures’ 0.17% gain reflects cautious positioning ahead of key central bank commentary.

US Index Futures

FuturePriceChange (%)
S&P 500 Futures7,596.00+0.17%
Nasdaq 100 Futures29,750.25+0.20%
Dow Jones Futures52,858.00+0.31%
Russell 2000 Futures2,987.80+0.48%

Economic Data Released Today

TimeCurImpEventActualForecastPrevious
06:30INRMedCPI (YoY) (Jun)4.38%4.30%3.93%

Upcoming Economic Releases

TimeCurImpEventForecastPrevious
05:25USMedFOMC Member Bowman Speaks
06:00USMedOPEC Meeting
12:30USMedFed Waller Speaks
12:45EUMedECB's Schnabel Speaks
14:00GBMedBoE MPC Member Pill Speaks
14:00USMedFederal Budget Balance (Jun)-132.8B-293.0B
17:00EUMedECB President Lagarde Speaks
19:01GBMedBRC Retail Sales Monitor (YoY) (Jun)2.9%3.4%
21:30AUMedNAB Business Confidence (Jun)-14
23:00CNMedExports (YoY) (Jun)18.2%19.4%
23:00CNMedImports (YoY) (Jun)24.0%27.4%
23:00CNMedTrade Balance (USD) (Jun)121.40B105.43B

Earnings Today

Before Market Open (BMO)

TickerCompanyMarket Cap
LGPSLogProstyle Inc$21M

After Market Close (AMC)

TickerCompanyMarket Cap
FBKFB Financial Corp$2.9B
AEROGrupo Aeromexico SAB de CV ADR$2.5B

FX Snapshot

PairPriceChange (%)
EUR/USD1.14+0.31%
GBP/USD1.34+0.12%
USD/JPY162.09+0.05%
USD/CHF0.81-0.09%
AUD/USD0.69+0.15%
USD/CAD1.41-0.28%

Gold, Oil and Gas

CommodityPriceChange (%)
Gold4,069.20+0.03%
Silver58.82+0.47%
WTI Crude74.02-0.38%
Brent Oil78.73-0.51%
Natural Gas2.89-0.59%

Crypto

CryptoPriceChange (%)
Bitcoin$63,995.74+0.40%
Ethereum$1,810.44+0.26%

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